Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCIT latest price $89.0500 (0.2%) ($88.8500 - $89.1900) on Thu. Oct. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $89.0500(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCIT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCIT declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(79%)    VCSH(71%)    BND(69%)    TIP(63%)    TLT(63%)
Factors Impacting VCIT price   VCIT will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-25%)    IPO(-5%)    UNG(3%)    USO(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $89.15
5 Day Moving Average   $88.92(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.98(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.15(-0.11%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCIT price fluctuates within 0.39% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2016	89.09	89.15	88.98	88.92	88.85	88.88	89.05(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	0	30	-83	0.85	49%	0.02	7.7	0.24%	0	-0.3	44	0
2	Oct_12_2016	89.07	89.15	89.04	88.88	88.83	88.77	88.87(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10	-9	-104	0.52	46%	0.02	-2.5	0.24%	0	-0.7	37	0
3	Oct_11_2016	89.05	89.14	89.12	88.85	88.84	88.82	88.79(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-0	-20	-94	0.57	45%	0.02	-14	0.25%	0	-0.9	44	0
4	Oct_10_2016	89.03	89.14	89.22	88.88	88.87	88.89	88.92(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	0	-6	-65	0.45	45%	0.02	-27.9	0.25%	0	-0.6	53	0
5	Oct_7_2016	89.01	89.14	89.29	88.94	88.92	88.86	88.97(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10	-20	-43	0.44	47%	0.02	-30.2	0.26%	0	-0.4	56	0

6	Oct_6_2016	88.99	89.13	89.33	89.06	89.02	88.85	88.83(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10	-62	-32	0.49	47%	0.02	-30.2	0.25%	0	-0.8	53	0
7	Oct_5_2016	88.97	89.15	89.39	89.23	89.21	88.97	88.74(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-60	-20	-80	0	0.97	49%	0.01	-20.5	0.26%	0	-1.1	52	0
8	Oct_4_2016	88.96	89.2	89.44	89.44	89.4	89.18	88.93(-0.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-54	-20	-85	40	1.8	49%	0.01	-6.7	0.26%	0	-0.7	58	0
9	Oct_3_2016	88.95	89.24	89.45	89.61	89.58	89.44	89.23(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-10	-52	88	1.25	51%	0.01	4.4	0.26%	0	-0	71	0
10	Sep_30_2016	88.94	89.25	89.42	89.68	89.68	89.62	89.58(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-0	-13	117	0.61	55%	0.02	8.7	0.26%	0	0.8	69	0

11	Sep_29_2016	88.92	89.24	89.35	89.63	89.67	89.72	89.69(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	10	9	121	0.71	55%	0.02	2.2	0.26%	0	1.1	73	0
12	Sep_28_2016	88.9	89.24	89.26	89.58	89.6	89.74	89.76(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	10	43	119	1.32	56%	0.02	-2.2	0.26%	0	1.3	56	0
13	Sep_27_2016	88.88	89.23	89.16	89.46	89.5	89.63	89.78(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	77	10	72	91	2.05	57%	0.02	-13.3	0.26%	0	1.4	47	0
14	Sep_26_2016	88.86	89.22	89.03	89.28	89.31	89.45	89.57(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	10	48	28	1.43	57%	0.02	-26.7	0.26%	0	0.9	43	0
15	Sep_23_2016	88.84	89.21	88.95	89.13	89.16	89.36	89.33(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	43	20	58	-1	0.46	58%	0.01	-37.8	0.27%	0	0.3	46	0

16	Sep_22_2016	88.83	89.23	88.9	89.03	89.03	89.17	89.44(0.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	41	10	65	-30	0.75	58%	0.02	-45.7	0.27%	0	0.5	46	0
17	Sep_21_2016	88.81	89.24	88.87	88.91	88.9	88.95	89.16(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	0	26	-75	0.49	57%	0.01	-50	0.26%	0	-0.2	38	0
18	Sep_20_2016	88.8	89.28	88.92	88.82	88.84	88.89	88.9(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	0	23	-90	0.46	56%	0.02	-50	0.26%	0	-0.8	29	0
19	Sep_19_2016	88.78	89.33	88.99	88.82	88.78	88.84	88.83(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	10	15	-107	0.46	56%	0.01	-52	0.26%	0	-1.1	29	0
20	Sep_16_2016	88.77	89.36	89.05	88.75	88.78	88.79	88.83(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	0	16	-111	1.6	56%	0.01	-55.1	0.26%	0	-1.2	38	0

21	Sep_15_2016	88.76	89.41	89.12	88.74	88.73	88.71	88.81(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-0	-10	-129	1.14	56%	0.01	-54.2	0.26%	0	-1.4	33	0
22	Sep_14_2016	88.75	89.46	89.2	88.84	88.79	88.68	88.73(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-10	-50	-138	1.27	56%	0.02	-50	0.26%	0	-1.8	30	0
23	Sep_13_2016	88.73	89.5	89.31	89.04	88.98	88.74	88.54(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-97	-20	-86	-129	0.99	56%	0.01	-41.5	0.26%	0	-2.6	25	0
24	Sep_12_2016	88.72	89.56	89.43	89.28	89.26	88.91	88.82(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-95	-30	-93	-102	1.17	57%	0.02	-24.2	0.26%	0	-2.5	31	0
25	Sep_9_2016	88.7	89.61	89.5	89.4	89.45	89.23	88.81(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-96	-20	-98	-90	0.73	57%		-7.4	0.26%	0	-3.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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