Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCIT latest price $85.4100 (0.14%) ($85.2800 - $85.4800) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.22% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $85.4100(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCIT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCIT advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(79%)    VCSH(71%)    BND(69%)    TIP(64%)    TLT(63%)
Factors Impacting VCIT price   VCIT will decline at least -0.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-24%)    XME(-0%)    IPO(-0%)    UNG(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.11% (StdDev 0.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.22(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.07(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.9(0.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCIT price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.19%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	84.63	84.9	85.07	85.22	85.26	85.36	85.41(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	10	40	51	1.97	53%	-0.01	58.7	0.22%	0	1.3	64	INF
2	Mar_14_2016	84.64	84.83	85.01	85.16	85.18	85.26	85.29(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	10	35	47	0.67	49%	-0.01	51.1	0.22%	0	1.2	65	INF
3	Mar_11_2016	84.65	84.78	85	85.08	85.13	85.17	85.23(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	10	32	47	0.54	49%	-0.01	41.3	0.23%	0	1.2	66	INF
4	Mar_10_2016	84.66	84.74	84.99	85.03	85.04	85.1	85.14(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	10	16	53	0.52	49%	-0.01	40	0.23%	0	1.1	66	INF
5	Mar_9_2016	84.67	84.7	84.98	84.97	84.98	85.09	85.02(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	10	40	76	0.84	49%	0	38.6	0.23%	0	0.9	66	INF

6	Mar_8_2016	84.67	84.67	84.96	84.9	84.91	84.98	85.13(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	10	44	91	0.52	49%	-0.01	34.1	0.23%	0	1.2	75	INF
7	Mar_7_2016	84.68	84.64	84.91	84.84	84.8	84.87	84.86(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	0	-3	80	0.87	47%	-0.01	41.5	0.23%	0	0.6	69	INF
8	Mar_4_2016	84.69	84.61	84.88	84.9	84.81	84.85	84.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	9	108	1.51	50%	-0.01	43.9	0.23%	0	1.1	68	INF
9	Mar_3_2016	84.7	84.58	84.83	84.95	84.9	84.73	84.88(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-23	106	2.51	45%	-0.01	55	0.23%	0	0.9	58	INF
10	Mar_2_2016	84.71	84.56	84.79	84.99	84.96	84.78	84.63(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-34	-20	-73	84	0.64	42%	-0.01	62.5	0.25%	0	0.2	54	INF

11	Mar_1_2016	84.72	84.54	84.73	85.03	85.07	85.06	84.84(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	0	-10	104	0.77	44%	-0.01	72.5	0.25%	0	0.9	59	INF
12	Feb_29_2016	84.73	84.5	84.65	84.98	85.04	85.15	85.19(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	10	49	112	1.15	47%	0	68.3	0.24%	0	2	63	INF
13	Feb_26_2016	84.73	84.46	84.55	84.85	84.88	85.07	85.2(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	20	64	93	3.53	47%	0	70.3	0.24%	0	2.4	68	INF
14	Feb_25_2016	84.73	84.4	84.46	84.7	84.72	84.93	85.11(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	82	20	83	78	2.42	47%	0	65.6	0.24%	0	2.6	64	INF
15	Feb_24_2016	84.73	84.34	84.39	84.56	84.57	84.69	84.79(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	10	73	54	0.46	43%	-0.01	55.6	0.24%	0	2	61	INF

16	Feb_23_2016	84.74	84.3	84.35	84.38	84.41	84.52	84.63(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	10	44	18	0.56	43%	0	33.3	0.24%	0	1.4	58	INF
17	Feb_22_2016	84.74	84.27	84.34	84.27	84.26	84.45	84.53(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	20	50	15	0.8	43%	-0.01	11.5	0.24%	0	1.2	64	INF
18	Feb_19_2016	84.75	84.24	84.32	84.27	84.18	84.3	84.45(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	10	52	1	0.55	43%	-0.01	-7.7	0.24%	0	1	48	INF
19	Feb_18_2016	84.76	84.22	84.31	84.19	84.13	84.08	84.39(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-10	-10	-8	-16	0.45	43%	-0.01	-20	0.24%	0	0.8	57	INF
20	Feb_17_2016	84.77	84.21	84.3	84.2	84.22	84.06	83.92(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-10	-57	-23	0.54	38%	-0.01	-24	0.23%	0	-1.4	52	INF

21	Feb_16_2016	84.78	84.23	84.3	84.31	84.35	84.19	84.04(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-51	-10	-69	4	0.45	38%	-0.01	-16.7	0.23%	0	-0.9	56	INF
22	Feb_12_2016	84.79	84.25	84.35	84.42	84.46	84.39	84.15(-0.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-22	-0	-40	34	0.68	38%	-0.01	-8.3	0.23%	0	-0.5	54	INF
23	Feb_11_2016	84.8	84.26	84.39	84.45	84.54	84.51	84.44(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	0	5	76	0.46	40%	-0.01	-4.2	0.22%	0	0.9	59	INF
24	Feb_10_2016	84.81	84.26	84.35	84.44	84.48	84.53	84.46(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	10	-5	69	0.64	44%	0	-3.8	0.22%	0	0.9	59	INF
25	Feb_9_2016	84.81	84.27	84.3	84.42	84.46	84.57	84.45(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	10	40	76	0.77	41%		0	0.23%	0	0.8	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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