Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCIT latest price $84.3300 (0.01%) ($84.2600 - $84.6400) on Wed. Feb. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.23% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $84.3300(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCIT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCIT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(79%)    VCSH(71%)    BND(69%)    TIP(64%)    TLT(63%)
Factors Impacting VCIT price   VCIT will decline at least -0.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-24%)    IPO(-1%)    UNG(3%)    USO(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.115% (StdDev 0.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.24(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.13(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.27(0.07%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCIT price fluctuates within 0.27% (three month std-dev: 0.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2016	84.83		84.13	84.24	84.3	84.33	84.33(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	0	49	7	0.64	35%	0	18.5	0.23%	0	0.3	40	0
2	Feb_2_2016	84.83	84.27	84.11	84.17	84.21	84.19	84.32(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-0	9	-30	0.45	33%	0	11.1	0.23%	0	0.2	45	0
3	Feb_1_2016	84.83	84.26	84.09	84.17	84.1	84.26	84.02(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	10	11	-53	0.59	29%	-0.01	0	0.24%	0	-1	40	0
4	Jan_29_2016	84.84	84.27	84.13	84.08	84.06	84.23	84.49(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	55	10	83	-29	0.56	29%	0	0	0.23%	0	1	45	0
5	Jan_28_2016	84.84	84.27	84.11	84.08	83.96	83.95	84.06(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-0	12	-79	0.77	21%	-0.01	-22.2	0.23%	0	-0.7	34	0

6	Jan_27_2016	84.85	84.23	84.17	84	83.97	83.89	83.95(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10	-32	-90	0.5	21%	-0.01	-26.7	0.24%	0	-1.1	33	0
7	Jan_26_2016	84.86	84.24	84.22	84.05	84.05	83.97	83.89(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10	-32	-78	1.14	21%	-0.01	-19.4	0.24%	0	-1.3	43	0
8	Jan_25_2016	84.87	84.26	84.28	84.1	84.13	84.05	84.03(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10	-33	-66	0.72	21%	-0.01	-14.3	0.24%	0	-1	47	0
9	Jan_22_2016	84.88	84.27	84.34	84.18	84.18	84.14	84.05(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-0	-34	-39	1.03	21%	-0.01	-3.6	0.24%	0	-0.9	51	0
10	Jan_21_2016	84.89	84.28	84.39	84.25	84.28	84.14	84.08(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-0	-22	-1	0.88	25%	0	10.7	0.24%	0	-0.8	61	0

11	Jan_20_2016	84.89	84.29	84.43	84.37	84.36	84.21	84.2(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-30	-10	-48	23	1.04	25%	0	22.2	0.24%	0	-0.4	61	0
12	Jan_19_2016	84.89	84.29	84.44	84.43	84.46	84.35	84.13(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-26	-10	-47	36	0.96	25%	0	18.5	0.24%	0	-0.7	49	0
13	Jan_15_2016	84.89	84.3	84.45	84.49	84.52	84.51	84.44(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	0	-11	61	0.54	27%	0	19.2	0.24%	0	0.6	55	0
14	Jan_14_2016	84.89	84.28	84.42	84.51	84.51	84.56	84.41(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	0	2	71	0.45	32%	0	7.7	0.24%	0	0.6	56	0
15	Jan_13_2016	84.89	84.26	84.37	84.54	84.52	84.53	84.67(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	0	22	69	0.94	33%	0.01	-3.7	0.25%	0	1.8	58	0

16	Jan_12_2016	84.88	84.24	84.29	84.51	84.5	84.45	84.48(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-0	-6	41	0.37	33%	-0.01	-16	0.25%	0	1.1	54	0
17	Jan_11_2016	84.89	84.25	84.26	84.46	84.49	84.51	84.43(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	0	6	38	0.44	33%	0	-25	0.25%	0	0.9	55	0
18	Jan_8_2016	84.89	84.25	84.24	84.41	84.43	84.54	84.58(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	10	37	48	0.71	31%	0	-25	0.25%	0	1.3	62	0
19	Jan_7_2016	84.89	84.26	84.19	84.32	84.33	84.46	84.55(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	10	54	43	0.49	35%	-0.01	-42.9	0.25%	0	1.2	64	0
20	Jan_6_2016	84.9	84.27	84.16	84.16	84.24	84.32	84.5(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	10	52	23	0.39	35%	0	-64.5	0.26%	0	0.9	62	0

21	Jan_5_2016	84.9	84.28	84.16	84.16	84.09	84.2	84.23(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	10	13	-13	0.42	30%	-0.01	-81.8	0.26%	0	-0.2	45	0
22	Jan_4_2016	84.91	84.3	84.13	84.03	84.09	84.16	84.21(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	19	10	32	-20	0.84	30%	-0.01	-80.6	0.26%	0	-0.3	34	0
23	Dec_31_2015	84.92	84.31	84.13	84.04	84.04	83.99	84.09(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-0	12	-39	0.53	29%	-0.01	-89.2	0.26%	0	-0.7	37	0
24	Dec_30_2015	84.93	84.36	84.12	84.05	84.03	83.93	83.77(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-57	-10	-48	-82	0.72	25%	-0.01	-85	0.26%	0	-1.7	26	0
25	Dec_29_2015	84.94	84.44	84.15	84.15	84.08	84.1	83.87(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-0	-24	-74	0.53	28%		-68.2	0.26%	0	-1.5	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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