Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VALE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 11, 2023

Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 12, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Vale S.A. AD)
VALE latest price $13.7200 (3.86%) ($13.2450 - $13.7800) on Tue. Jul. 11, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $13.7200(3.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VALE declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VALE declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VALE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(58%)    VWO(58%)    XLB(58%)    EWY(57%)    VT(55%)
Factors Impacting VALE price   VALE will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    VXX(-35%)    TBT(-24%)    UUP(-22%)    EDOC(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 2.5 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $8.24(-39.94%)
Resistance Level   $13.73
5 Day Moving Average   $13.38(2.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.48(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.73(-0.07%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $70.382b

Vale SA engages in the production and exportation of iron ore, pellets, manganese, and iron alloys, which are raw materials needed for steelmaking. It operates through the following segments: Ferrous Minerals, Coal and Base Metals. The Ferrous Minerals segment includes the extraction of iron ore and the production of pellets, manganese ore, iron alloys, and coal and logistics services. The Coal segment comprises the extraction of coal and its logistic services. The Base Metals segment involves the production of non-ferrous minerals, which include nickel, copper and aluminium. The company was founded on June 1, 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

$. VALE price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2023	14.7	13.73		13.38	13.33	13.38	13.72(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	20	2	-49	38.74	54%	-0.07	-32.3	2.2%	2.5	-0	44	-0.3
2	Jul_10_2023	14.71	13.74	13.48	13.39	13.31	13.38	13.21(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-30	-4	-59	16.9	51%	-0.27	-19.3	2.32%	-0.5	-1.4	30	-0.5
3	Jul_7_2023	14.75	13.78	13.53	13.43	13.43	13.28	13.4(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-80	-3	-68	24.67	51%	-0.27	-1.2	2.33%	0.9	-1.1	32	-0.3
4	Jul_6_2023	14.79	13.8	13.58	13.45	13.48	13.34	13.17(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-70	-8	-69	23.39	51%	-0.27	13.4	2.33%	-1.1	-1.8	41	-0.6
5	Jul_5_2023	14.83	13.83	13.66	13.48	13.52	13.58	13.39(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	40	-8	-63	27.23	51%	-0.4	23.2	2.33%	-0.7	-1.4	46	0.9

6	Jul_3_2023	14.89	13.85	13.73	13.48	13.53	13.62	13.76(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	30	2	-50	13.97	51%	-0.2	48.3	2.32%	0	-0.3	46	1.2
7	Jun_30_2023	14.92	13.82	13.79	13.59	13.59	13.46	13.42(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-70	-5	-48	17.53	50%	-0.2	48.1	2.27%	-0.5	-1.4	40	1
8	Jun_29_2023	14.95	13.79	13.89	13.65	13.65	13.45	13.52(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-100	-12	-37	17.98	52%	-0.27	38.5	2.29%	-0.3	-0.8	44	1
9	Jun_28_2023	14.99	13.79	13.93	13.73	13.72	13.72	13.33(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-0	-13	-27	24.68	53%	-0.27	26.5	2.3%	-1.6	-1	46	1.2
10	Jun_27_2023	15.03	13.76	13.99	13.86	13.84	13.86	13.91(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	10	1	-5	15.82	56%	-0.2	26	2.26%	1.2	0.3	58	1.1

11	Jun_26_2023	15.06	13.71	14	13.89	13.85	13.72	13.79(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-70	-12	-1	12.7	56%	-0.2	15.1	2.26%	0.1	0.2	54	1
12	Jun_23_2023	15.09	13.68	14.03	14.02	13.94	13.83	13.7(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-70	-15	30	20.91	53%	-0.33	12.8	2.26%	-1.2	0	65	1.1
13	Jun_22_2023	15.14	13.66	14.06	14.02	14.12	13.97	13.91(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-80	-3	73	26.12	53%	-0.26	17.3	2.3%	-1.3	0.5	73	1.4
14	Jun_21_2023	15.18	13.65	14.05	14.17	14.21	14.05	13.98(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-70	-2	93	25.38	53%	-0.33	13.6	2.3%	-0.9	0.6	72	1.3
15	Jun_20_2023	15.23	13.65	14.02	14.13	14.22	14.27	14.05(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	40	-1	97	24.52	53%	-0.52	12.4	2.3%	-0.6	0.8	62	1.2

16	Jun_16_2023	15.31	13.64	13.98	14.12	14.13	14.38	14.44(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	130	10	120	20.76	55%	-0.33	16.3	2.27%	1.3	1.6	72	1.6
17	Jun_15_2023	15.36	13.61	13.85	14.05	14.06	14.18	14.47(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	60	14	116	19.12	53%	-0.52	14.7	2.27%	0	1.8	67	1.2
18	Jun_13_2023	15.44	13.61	13.67	13.95	13.98	13.88	13.9(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-40	1	92	22.86	50%	-0.26	5.4	2.23%	-0.1	0.7	57	1.3
19	Jun_12_2023	15.48	13.61	13.56	13.92	13.94	13.94	13.77(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	0	-1	73	17.9	50%	-0.32	5	2.22%	-1	0.4	50	1.4
20	Jun_9_2023	15.53	13.57	13.51	13.88	13.95	14.08	14.04(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	80	9	63	26.76	50%	-0.26	2.1	2.22%	0	1	51	1.7

21	Jun_8_2023	15.57	13.55	13.39	13.81	13.84	13.94	14.09(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	60	18	37	15.32	52%	-0.26	0.9	2.23%	1.4	1.2	48	2
22	Jun_7_2023	15.61	13.54	13.29	13.6	13.75	13.81	13.94(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	60	21	-4	24.26	51%	-0.26	-9.9	2.25%	1.1	0.9	45	2.2
23	Jun_6_2023	15.65	13.54	13.22	13.35	13.52	13.73	13.74(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	150	18	-40	23.11	49%	-0.13	-22.3	2.25%	0.4	0.4	50	2.4
24	Jun_5_2023	15.67	13.55	13.21	13.15	13.24	13.68	13.61(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	250	16	-69	20.64	49%	-0.32	-36.6	2.26%	0.5	0.1	44	2.3
25	Jun_2_2023	15.72	13.56	13.22	13.08	13.01	13.31	13.68(4.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	150	24	-74	29.29	49%		-45.7	2.26%	1.4	0.3	49	2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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