Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VALE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 4, 2022

Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 12, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Vale S.A. AD)
VALE latest price $20.1500 (1.56%) ($19.3000 - $20.1600) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $20.1500(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VALE advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VALE advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VALE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(51%)    XLE(49%)    XLB(47%)    XME(47%)    XOP(47%)
Factors Impacting VALE price   VALE will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-34%)    VIXM(-30%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-0%)    TBT(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.36(4.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.35(9.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.82(13.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   50.5%
Market Cap   $103.368b

Vale SA engages in the production and exportation of iron ore, pellets, manganese, and iron alloys, which are raw materials needed for steelmaking. It operates through the following segments: Ferrous Minerals, Coal and Base Metals. The Ferrous Minerals segment includes the extraction of iron ore and the production of pellets, manganese ore, iron alloys, and coal and logistics services. The Coal segment comprises the extraction of coal and its logistic services. The Base Metals segment involves the production of non-ferrous minerals, which include nickel, copper and aluminium. The company was founded on June 1, 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

$. VALE price fluctuates within 5.72% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 2.96%(68%) Average negative next day return: -2.7%(32%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 8.27%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -3.44%(36%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 8.49%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.48%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2022	14.57	17.82	18.35	19.36	19.44	19.83	20.15(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	150	32	182	28.81	87%	0.41	91.4	2.33%	1.2	2.3	71	-1.2
2	Mar_3_2022	14.51	17.62	17.99	18.9	19.01	19.56	19.84(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	220	45	134	39.7	87%	0.42	89	2.35%	1.2	2.4	65	-0.8
3	Mar_2_2022	14.45	17.44	17.73	18.34	18.36	19.04	19.47(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	260	41	87	48.96	88%	0.35	88.7	2.37%	1.4	2.5	65	-1
4	Mar_1_2022	14.4	17.27	17.48	17.9	17.75	18.46	18.86(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	250	36	46	47.58	88%	0.28	89.8	2.45%	0.9	2.3	63	-1.8
5	Feb_28_2022	14.36	17.08	17.33	17.57	17.32	17.68	18.49(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	100	34	23	35.62	88%	0.28	72.3	2.42%	1.3	2	63	-1

6	Feb_25_2022	14.32	16.94	17.22	17.2	17.07	17.03	17.82(4.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	-40	15	-2	42.38	87%	0.21	58.7	2.42%	1.7	1.2	64	-0.7
7	Feb_24_2022	14.29	16.83	17.21	16.95	16.93	16.97	17.07(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	10	-7	-9	53.61	86%	0.21	44.8	2.39%	-0.3	0.3	63	-1.1
8	Feb_23_2022	14.26	16.75	17.25	17.03	16.95	17.12	17.27(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	60	6	18	30.47	86%	0.28	41.6	2.38%	1.1	0.7	62	-1.5
9	Feb_22_2022	14.22	16.67	17.25	17	17	16.9	17.18(3.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-40	-1	30	34.53	88%	0.21	39	2.39%	1.8	0.6	63	-0.8
10	Feb_18_2022	14.19	16.58	17.25	17.06	17.01	16.78	16.64(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-100	-17	55	26.23	81%	0.21	39.5	2.48%	-0.8	0.1	69	-1.1

11	Feb_17_2022	14.16	16.53	17.27	17.24	17.21	17.1	16.6(-4.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-50	-17	82	38.55	81%	0.21	47.7	2.56%	-1.7	0.1	63	-1
12	Feb_16_2022	14.13	16.5	17.25	17.49	17.42	17.25	17.44(1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-80	-4	120	20.29	87%	0.28	59.1	2.5%	0.8	1.1	72	0.3
13	Feb_15_2022	14.09	16.43	17.14	17.51	17.53	17.31	17.14(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-80	-8	135	33.99	87%	0.14	65.6	2.51%	-1.1	0.8	71	-0.1
14	Feb_14_2022	14.07	16.35	17.06	17.56	17.59	17.59	17.49(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	10	0	157	24.14	87%	0.21	73	2.51%	-1.1	1.3	76	-1
15	Feb_11_2022	14.04	16.25	16.84	17.5	17.53	17.75	17.54(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	90	15	161	38.01	88%	0.29	76.6	2.51%	-0.7	1.5	78	-1

16	Feb_10_2022	14	16.13	16.65	17.3	17.36	17.59	17.85(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	100	25	149	55.17	88%	0.07	81.7	2.57%	1.2	2.2	76	0.1
17	Feb_9_2022	13.99	16.01	16.41	16.96	16.99	17.31	17.51(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	140	17	115	36.91	88%	0.14	92.9	2.58%	1.2	2.1	66	0.6
18	Feb_8_2022	13.97	15.89	16.21	16.73	16.71	17.13	17.43(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	170	24	92	36.61	89%	0.14	107.9	2.58%	1.1	2.5	62	0.5
19	Feb_7_2022	13.95	15.75	16.01	16.48	16.44	16.67	17.17(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	90	29	73	33.55	89%	0.07	114.6	2.65%	1.8	2.5	67	0.2
20	Feb_4_2022	13.94	15.63	15.81	16.08	16.16	16.3	16.55(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	80	14	35	27.56	89%	0	118.6	2.63%	2.1	1.9	64	-0.1

21	Feb_3_2022	13.94	15.5	15.71	15.89	15.89	16.22	16.15(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	150	11	22	22.27	89%	-0.14	93.5	2.64%	0.3	1.2	62	-0.5
22	Feb_2_2022	13.96	15.38	15.68	15.77	15.76	16.02	16.35(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	110	18	22	26.14	83%	-0.07	75.7	2.65%	1.4	1.5	60	-0
23	Feb_1_2022	13.97	15.25	15.65	15.61	15.62	15.57	16.18(6.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-20	9	17	35.33	83%	-0.14	62.1	2.72%	1.9	1.3	62	-0.3
24	Jan_31_2022	13.99	15.13	15.58	15.47	15.57	15.49	15.18(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-5	12	40.39	81%	-0.21	53.2	2.61%	-1.6	0.1	61	-0.8
25	Jan_28_2022	14.02	15.08	15.61	15.49	15.6	15.67	15.58(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	50	1	25	42.8	77%		53.6	2.63%	-1	0.6	63	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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