Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VALE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 9, 2022

Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 12, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Vale S.A. AD)
VALE latest price $17.5100 (0.46%) ($17.1150 - $17.5400) on Wed. Feb. 9, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $17.5100(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VALE advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VALE advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VALE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(49%)    XLE(49%)    XME(47%)    XLB(46%)    XOP(46%)
Factors Impacting VALE price   VALE will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-33%)    VIXM(-30%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-1%)    TBT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.96(3.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.41(6.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.01(9.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   55.4%
Market Cap   $89.825b

Vale SA engages in the production and exportation of iron ore, pellets, manganese, and iron alloys, which are raw materials needed for steelmaking. It operates through the following segments: Ferrous Minerals, Coal and Base Metals. The Ferrous Minerals segment includes the extraction of iron ore and the production of pellets, manganese ore, iron alloys, and coal and logistics services. The Coal segment comprises the extraction of coal and its logistic services. The Base Metals segment involves the production of non-ferrous minerals, which include nickel, copper and aluminium. The company was founded on June 1, 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

$. VALE price fluctuates within 4.37% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.6%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.42%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.92%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.72%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.94%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2022	13.99	16.01	16.41	16.96	16.99	17.31	17.51(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	140	17	115	36.91	88%	0.14	92.9	2.58%	1.2	2.1	66	0.6
2	Feb_8_2022	13.97	15.89	16.21	16.73	16.71	17.13	17.43(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	170	24	92	36.61	89%	0.14	107.9	2.58%	1.1	2.5	62	0.5
3	Feb_7_2022	13.95	15.75	16.01	16.48	16.44	16.67	17.17(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	90	29	73	33.55	89%	0.07	114.6	2.65%	1.8	2.5	67	0.2
4	Feb_4_2022	13.94	15.63	15.81	16.08	16.16	16.3	16.55(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	80	14	35	27.56	89%	0	118.6	2.63%	2.1	1.9	64	-0.1
5	Feb_3_2022	13.94	15.5	15.71	15.89	15.89	16.22	16.15(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	150	11	22	22.27	89%	-0.14	93.5	2.64%	0.3	1.2	62	-0.5

6	Feb_2_2022	13.96	15.38	15.68	15.77	15.76	16.02	16.35(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	110	18	22	26.14	83%	-0.07	75.7	2.65%	1.4	1.5	60	-0
7	Feb_1_2022	13.97	15.25	15.65	15.61	15.62	15.57	16.18(6.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-20	9	17	35.33	83%	-0.14	62.1	2.72%	1.9	1.3	62	-0.3
8	Jan_31_2022	13.99	15.13	15.58	15.47	15.57	15.49	15.18(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-5	12	40.39	81%	-0.21	53.2	2.61%	-1.6	0.1	61	-0.8
9	Jan_28_2022	14.02	15.08	15.61	15.49	15.6	15.67	15.58(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	50	1	25	42.8	77%	-0.21	53.6	2.63%	-1	0.6	63	-1.4
10	Jan_27_2022	14.05	15	15.59	15.5	15.52	15.65	15.57(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	60	-2	42	34.02	77%	-0.14	52.7	2.65%	0.2	0.7	72	-1.8

11	Jan_26_2022	14.07	14.91	15.58	15.58	15.54	15.53	15.53(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10	-5	74	37.74	77%	-0.28	51	2.67%	0.4	0.7	74	-2
12	Jan_25_2022	14.11	14.81	15.56	15.71	15.67	15.39	15.48(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-130	-6	112	26.94	77%	0.14	53.8	2.67%	0.5	0.8	75	-2.1
13	Jan_24_2022	14.09	14.74	15.49	15.72	15.86	15.56	15.31(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-110	-8	126	50.47	77%	-0.28	54.9	2.69%	-0.9	0.7	69	-3.1
14	Jan_21_2022	14.13	14.67	15.44	15.73	15.9	15.95	15.6(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	50	1	146	45.46	73%	-0.28	54	2.68%	-2	1.1	69	-3
15	Jan_20_2022	14.17	14.59	15.3	15.67	15.77	16.15	15.99(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	190	12	148	35.38	73%	-0.21	56.5	2.7%	0	1.6	72	-2.2

16	Jan_19_2022	14.2	14.49	15.07	15.58	15.56	15.84	16.18(4.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	52	120	19	149	36.52	73%	-0.21	60.3	2.72%	1.4	2.1	79	-1.6
17	Jan_18_2022	14.23	14.36	14.81	15.4	15.4	15.38	15.51(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10	12	135	30.69	72%	-0.63	61.2	2.69%	1	1.6	74	-1.1
18	Jan_14_2022	14.32	14.28	14.64	15.22	15.28	15.29	15.38(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	20	4	117	25.26	72%	-0.28	63.2	2.69%	0.2	1.7	64	0.3
19	Jan_13_2022	14.36	14.21	14.5	15.11	15.16	15.42	15.3(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	130	18	117	32.18	72%	-0.28	68.9	2.69%	-0.2	1.8	65	0.3
20	Jan_12_2022	14.4	14.12	14.37	14.85	14.94	15.27	15.55(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	170	31	100	31.67	72%	-0.21	61.5	2.69%	1.3	2.6	64	1

21	Jan_11_2022	14.43	14.02	14.16	14.47	14.56	14.89	15.24(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	35	180	27	59	31.8	72%	-0.21	52.8	2.68%	1.6	2.8	63	0.8
22	Jan_10_2022	14.46	13.94	13.99	14.14	14.22	14.6	14.65(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	200	19	26	27.74	70%	-0.28	45.6	2.64%	0.7	2.2	63	1
23	Jan_7_2022	14.5	13.89	13.92	13.97	13.97	14.23	14.81(5.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	16	130	18	11	45.61	71%	-0.21	46.8	2.63%	1.8	3.1	59	0.7
24	Jan_6_2022	14.53	13.82	13.82	13.81	13.97	13.85	14.01(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	10	2	-14	28.83	69%	-0.34	54.7	2.56%	1.1	0.9	47	0.7
25	Jan_5_2022	14.58	13.8	13.83	13.82	13.84	13.7	13.66(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-70	-3	-8	57.86	67%		87.4	2.56%	-1.2	-0.6	52	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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