Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VALE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 13, 2019

Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 12, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Vale S.A. AD)
VALE latest price $11.2200 (-2.43%) ($11.1800 - $11.3900) on Wed. Nov. 13, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $11.2200(-2.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VALE declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VALE declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VALE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(63%)    XLB(59%)    XME(59%)    EEM(58%)    VT(58%)
Factors Impacting VALE price   VALE will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-40%)    VXX(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $11.81
5 Day Moving Average   $11.66(-3.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11.89(-5.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.81(-5%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $57.558b

Vale SA engages in the production and exportation of iron ore, pellets, manganese, and iron alloys, which are raw materials needed for steelmaking. It operates through the following segments: Ferrous Minerals, Coal and Base Metals. The Ferrous Minerals segment includes the extraction of iron ore and the production of pellets, manganese ore, iron alloys, and coal and logistics services. The Coal segment comprises the extraction of coal and its logistic services. The Base Metals segment involves the production of non-ferrous minerals, which include nickel, copper and aluminium. The company was founded on June 1, 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

$. VALE price fluctuates within 3.47% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.7%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.44%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.54%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.92%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.01%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20191213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2019	12	11.81	11.89	11.66	11.54	11.39	11.22(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-120	-22	-57	14.86	58%	-0.17	7.5	2.04%	0	-1.4	49	1.3
2	Nov_12_2019	12.02	11.81	11.99	11.85	11.76	11.53	11.5(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-160	-20	-21	20.03	58%	-0.17	22.7	2.07%	0	-0.8	51	1.5
3	Nov_11_2019	12.04	11.81	12.06	12.03	11.92	11.68	11.61(-1.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-13	-170	-22	14	60.85	58%	-0.17	40.6	2.08%	0	-0.5	54	1.4
4	Nov_8_2019	12.06	11.81	12.12	12.17	12.13	11.99	11.77(-3.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-90	-12	56	18.26	57%	-0.17	55.8	2.12%	0	-0.1	60	1.2
5	Nov_7_2019	12.08	11.82	12.15	12.25	12.27	12.16	12.21(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-60	6	96	22.39	60%	-0.08	64.5	2.1%	0	1	72	1.1

6	Nov_6_2019	12.09	11.78	12.09	12.15	12.24	12.27	12.17(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	40	-1	89	18.87	60%	-0.17	60.9	2.11%	0	1	71	1
7	Nov_5_2019	12.11	11.73	12.04	12.14	12.17	12.39	12.38(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	130	9	105	17.27	55%	0	62.3	2.1%	0	1.5	74	1
8	Nov_4_2019	12.11	11.66	11.96	12.1	12.06	12.22	12.33(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	80	8	98	14.03	55%	-0.08	58	2.23%	0	1.7	66	1.3
9	Nov_1_2019	12.12	11.6	11.87	12.08	12	11.95	12.14(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-50	2	92	24.9	53%	-0.08	58.6	2.23%	0	1.5	60	1.5
10	Oct_31_2019	12.13	11.57	11.77	12.06	12.02	11.91	11.74(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	19	-70	0	76	16.01	50%	-0.16	59.5	2.23%	0	0.5	48	1.2

11	Oct_30_2019	12.15	11.53	11.72	12.01	12.06	12.05	12.13(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	10	7	70	16.14	53%	-0.08	48.8	2.2%	0	1.6	63	1.4
12	Oct_29_2019	12.16	11.47	11.63	11.91	11.97	12.14	12.14(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	110	12	63	16.32	53%	0	36.6	2.21%	0	1.9	68	1.3
13	Oct_28_2019	12.16	11.43	11.55	11.8	11.85	12.07	12.23(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	140	22	62	21.69	53%	-0.08	35	2.2%	0	2.5	71	1.3
14	Oct_25_2019	12.17	11.39	11.48	11.63	11.68	11.79	12.04(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	80	20	47	28.14	53%	0	24.5	2.19%	0	2.4	63	1.7
15	Oct_24_2019	12.17	11.36	11.45	11.45	11.52	11.63	11.51(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	90	8	27	19.61	49%	-0.08	4.5	2.12%	0	0.7	51	1.5

16	Oct_23_2019	12.18	11.35	11.44	11.38	11.42	11.58	11.65(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	110	12	28	13.36	49%	-0.08	-6.7	2.12%	0	1.4	61	1.5
17	Oct_22_2019	12.19	11.34	11.38	11.3	11.33	11.42	11.57(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	60	8	20	17.36	49%	-0.08	-24.2	2.13%	0	1	63	1.5
18	Oct_21_2019	12.2	11.32	11.33	11.27	11.24	11.26	11.38(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	0	-3	4	10.12	49%	-0.08	-44.1	2.12%	0	0.3	49	1.8
19	Oct_18_2019	12.21	11.33	11.32	11.31	11.29	11.23	11.15(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-40	-12	-0	13.18	49%	-0.08	-45.4	2.1%	0	-0.8	45	1.7
20	Oct_17_2019	12.22	11.35	11.35	11.44	11.38	11.22	11.17(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-110	-9	20	14.85	49%	-0.16	-40.7	2.1%	0	-0.8	47	1.8

21	Oct_16_2019	12.24	11.37	11.34	11.49	11.51	11.35	11.21(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-90	-3	22	23.01	49%	-0.08	-45	2.1%	0	-0.7	47	1.9
22	Oct_15_2019	12.25	11.39	11.32	11.47	11.54	11.53	11.44(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	10	5	9	18.83	49%	-0.08	-43	2.09%	0	0.2	50	1.9
23	Oct_14_2019	12.26	11.41	11.31	11.39	11.45	11.67	11.58(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	150	10	5	12.99	49%	0	-46.4	2.1%	0	0.6	57	1.6
24	Oct_11_2019	12.26	11.43	11.3	11.33	11.33	11.55	11.81(3.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	12	140	16	-1	23.54	49%	0	-43.5	2.09%	0	1.2	54	1.1
25	Oct_10_2019	12.26	11.44	11.25	11.25	11.23	11.22	11.42(2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10	8	-19	22.74	49%		-35.4	2.04%	0	-0.1	47	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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