Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 14, 2022

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $13.1200 (3.39%) ($12.2100 - $13.4760) on Fri. Oct. 14, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.81% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $13.1200(3.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(10%)    UNG(7%)    UUP(7%)    ARKG(4%)    TLT(4%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
XAR(-15%)    VT(-13%)    VFMO(-13%)    VYM(-12%)    VWO(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.405% (StdDev 4.81%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.14(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.55(4.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.13(8.16%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   49.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 8.33% (three month std-dev: 4.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 3.51%(47%) Average negative next day return: -2.71%(53%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 5.33%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.79%(57%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 6.78%(51%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.06%(49%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2022	12	12.13	12.55	13.14	13.13	12.94	13.12(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-100	0	37	65.61	57%	-0.17	76.6	4.81%	0.8	1	55	0.8
2	Oct_13_2022	12.02	12	12.51	13.04	13.2	13.2	12.69(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	40	4	44	75.98	57%	-0.25	78.3	4.79%	-1.1	0.7	58	0.2
3	Oct_12_2022	12.05	11.89	12.49	12.91	13.04	13.31	13.25(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	180	16	58	38.13	57%	-0.17	77.5	4.77%	-0.3	1.3	68	0.8
4	Oct_11_2022	12.07	11.75	12.36	12.55	12.63	13.21	13.48(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	340	22	50	53.76	57%	-0.25	73.3	4.77%	1.6	1.7	69	0.6
5	Oct_10_2022	12.1	11.59	12.27	12.12	12.2	12.77	13.15(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	350	18	46	59.18	57%	-0.25	59	4.78%	0.7	1.5	70	0.6

6	Oct_7_2022	12.13	11.4	12.19	11.89	11.76	12.06	12.65(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	150	4	53	54.52	57%	-0.25	47.6	4.77%	1.5	1.2	71	0.6
7	Oct_6_2022	12.16	11.24	12.1	11.93	11.68	11.63	12.02(4.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-90	-3	70	42.65	55%	-0.49	44.9	4.73%	2.3	0.7	64	1.1
8	Oct_5_2022	12.22	11.12	12	12.03	11.91	11.47	11.45(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-290	-8	82	39.17	54%	-0.24	44.4	4.7%	-0.8	0.3	61	1.7
9	Oct_4_2022	12.25	11.04	11.96	12.13	12.17	11.73	11.33(-5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-240	-18	92	45.01	54%	-0.33	44.1	4.7%	-1	0.3	60	1.9
10	Oct_3_2022	12.29	11	11.9	12.41	12.41	12.34	12.01(-6.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-40	-6	120	57.03	56%	-0.32	52.3	4.69%	-1.1	0.9	65	0.6

11	Sep_30_2022	12.33	10.91	11.71	12.5	12.49	12.6	12.85(2.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	60	9	148	69.97	60%	-0.4	55.8	4.64%	0.4	1.7	80	-0.2
12	Sep_29_2022	12.38	10.77	11.46	12.3	12.4	12.47	12.49(4.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	60	14	154	95.9	60%	-0.48	60.3	4.63%	0.5	1.7	78	0.8
13	Sep_28_2022	12.44	10.65	11.25	11.97	12.17	12.38	11.95(-6.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	170	11	146	73.51	60%	-0.56	59.2	4.59%	-1.4	1.4	73	0.9
14	Sep_27_2022	12.51	10.57	11.1	11.76	11.8	12.33	12.75(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	57	320	25	151	95.85	63%	-0.56	58.9	4.56%	1.5	2.4	77	-0
15	Sep_26_2022	12.58	10.44	10.86	11.3	11.31	11.96	12.48(5.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	54	400	31	121	88.74	63%	-0.4	53.9	4.59%	1	2.8	63	0.7

16	Sep_23_2022	12.63	10.32	10.54	10.8	10.85	11.27	11.83(9.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	34	280	21	71	141.72	61%	-0.47	53.1	4.54%	1.6	2.6	62	0.7
17	Sep_22_2022	12.69	10.18	10.28	10.51	10.5	10.66	10.84(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	100	7	38	76.25	57%	-0.31	46.5	4.38%	0.5	1.3	58	0.7
18	Sep_21_2022	12.73	10.11	10.15	10.43	10.46	10.43	10.91(4.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10	5	22	99.94	57%	-0.39	48.3	4.44%	0.9	1.6	57	0.8
19	Sep_20_2022	12.78	10.07	10.15	10.34	10.43	10.33	10.46(5.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-40	-2	3	72.39	57%	-0.62	57.2	4.4%	-0	0.8	49	1.9
20	Sep_19_2022	12.86	10.05	10.03	10.35	10.47	10.49	9.96(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	7	50	6	10	48.2	55%	-0.62	73.8	4.38%	-1.7	-0.2	48	1.5

21	Sep_16_2022	12.94	10.03	10.06	10.21	10.44	10.54	10.38(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	130	13	1	84.7	59%	-0.46	64.2	4.39%	-0.2	0.7	50	0.3
22	Sep_15_2022	13	9.95	10.03	10	10.07	10.44	10.42(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	280	11	-3	72.37	59%	-0.61	42.5	4.55%	0.9	0.9	65	0.9
23	Sep_14_2022	13.08	9.88	10.03	9.82	9.79	10.35	10.47(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	390	15	-6	70.3	59%	-0.53	29.6	4.65%	1.2	1	60	0.9
24	Sep_13_2022	13.15	9.8	10	9.67	9.61	9.7	10.52(13.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	50	4	-15	111.03	67%	-0.3	14.1	4.68%	2.1	1.2	55	1.2
25	Sep_12_2022	13.19	9.72	9.97	9.69	9.6	9.23	9.27(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-300	-12	-19	49.25	62%		7	5.08%	-0	-0.8	43	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.