Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 21, 2020

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $203.0000 (4.59%) ($201.7000 - $220.9000) on Mon. Sep. 21, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.56% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $203.0000(4.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -10.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(17%)    UUP(9%)    EDOC(7%)    VXX(7%)    TLT(4%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-18%)    XAR(-16%)    VYM(-16%)    VFMO(-16%)    XLY(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.78% (StdDev 5.56%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $217.86
5 Day Moving Average   $198.82(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $209.14(-2.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $217.86(-6.82%)
To recent high   -46.8%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 10.89% (three month std-dev: 5.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2020	293.67	217.86	209.14	198.82	200.39	200.46	203(4.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	30	34	-101	5.46	68%	-0.94	-4.4	5.56%	0.7	-0.6	46	0.8
2	Sep_18_2020	296.45	217.85	213.8	198.68	198.86	197.59	194.1(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-40	-43	-117	4.55	68%	-0.77	-6.6	5.53%	-0.2	-1	49	1.1
3	Sep_17_2020	298.75	218.3	222.81	201.46	201.29	200.33	194.5(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-40	-28	-74	4.73	68%	-0.7	-5.6	5.53%	-0.5	-1	49	1.1
4	Sep_16_2020	300.86	218.87	227.64	208.12	204.69	200.14	200.6(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-210	-64	-57	4.27	68%	-0.81	0.5	5.52%	-1	-0.8	54	0.7
5	Sep_15_2020	303.32	218.85	231.13	212.88	211.5	202.25	201.9(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-97	-330	-113	-50	3.18	68%	-0.77	-0.2	5.53%	-0.5	-0.7	57	0.6

6	Sep_14_2020	305.66	218.91	234.02	221.14	218.14	209.24	202.3(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-164	-330	-201	-51	3.23	68%	-0.94	6.7	5.54%	-1.3	-0.7	56	0.6
7	Sep_11_2020	308.57	219.42	235.52	231.28	233.15	220.75	208(-8.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-118	-350	-157	-0	5.99	82%	-1.05	16.4	5.68%	-2	-0.5	58	0.3
8	Sep_10_2020	311.86	219.64	236.52	247.48	247.96	227.04	227.8(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-107	-580	-149	20	5.44	88%	-0.99	33.6	8.46%	-0.5	0.3	64	-0.6
9	Sep_9_2020	314.98	218.77	234.47	250.08	258.33	245.55	224.4(-7.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-103	-250	-147	29	4.57	88%	-1.12	33.4	8.46%	-1.4	0.2	62	-0.4
10	Sep_8_2020	318.56	218.9	232.17	251.68	260.42	268.89	243.2(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	41	330	20	103	5.64	88%	-1.24	33.8	8.45%	-1.2	1	70	-1.2

11	Sep_4_2020	322.57	217.33	227.83	248.34	252.05	271.11	253(-12.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	167	570	169	160	12.94	88%	-0.69	24.2	8.44%	-0.5	1.6	72	-1.6
12	Sep_3_2020	324.81	215.64	222.39	239.96	238.79	251.95	289(20.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	169	370	177	146	13.6	100%	-0.57	8.7	8.3%	2.8	3.5	78	-3.2
13	Sep_2_2020	326.66	212.04	212.71	224.62	225.92	232.99	240.8(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	78	240	79	76	4.3	100%	-0.55	-28.4	7.96%	1.6	2.1	67	-1.3
14	Sep_1_2020	328.48	212.04	208.52	217.08	219.66	225.63	232.4(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	75	230	81	58	3.43	100%	-0.75	-51	7.96%	1.3	1.6	63	-1
15	Aug_31_2020	330.97	211.24	204.69	209.92	211.69	218.85	226.5(7.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	260	60	24	4.12	100%	-0.32	-64.8	7.95%	1.3	1	45	-0.6

16	Aug_28_2020	332.03	212.07	201.73	204.22	206.14	213.69	211.1(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	280	80	15	5.02	100%	-0.87	-69.8	7.92%	0	-0.1	48	0.5
17	Aug_27_2020	334.93	213.85	201.41	201.84	200.97	204.54	212.3(4.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	37	110	51	-6	7.34	100%	-0.9	-69.1	7.96%	1	-0.1	42	0.5
18	Aug_26_2020	337.96	215.96	200.99	199.02	198.38	198.59	203.1(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-0	0	-38	2.91	100%	-0.97	-71.3	7.94%	0.7	-0.6	35	1
19	Aug_25_2020	341.26	218.23	201.62	198.68	200.37	197.4	196.6(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-80	-2	-46	2.76	100%	-0.92	-69.5	7.93%	-1.1	-1	29	1.3
20	Aug_24_2020	344.42	221.24	204.66	198.52	199.8	198.16	198(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-40	-35	-62	2.5	100%	-1.08	-68.9	7.99%	-0.4	-1	27	1.3

21	Aug_21_2020	348.18	224.27	206.28	198.74	200.31	203.34	199.2(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	130	9	-54	2.75	100%	-1.17	-65.3	7.99%	-0.4	-1.1	24	1.4
22	Aug_20_2020	352.31	227.84	208.71	200.88	200.3	201.44	198.2(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	17	-55	3.26	100%	-1.32	-63	8%	0.1	-1.2	22	1.5
23	Aug_19_2020	357.01	231.43	211.52	203.3	201.86	197.27	201.4(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-180	-26	-76	3.51	100%	-1.09	-66.6	8.07%	-0.2	-1.3	21	1.5
24	Aug_18_2020	360.93	234.32	214.34	205.14	205.02	199.16	195.8(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-74	-200	-67	-95	2.29	100%	-1.23	-73.9	8.12%	-1.2	-1.6	24	1.8
25	Aug_17_2020	365.41	237.77	218.53	211.78	208.92	206.45	199.1(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-55	-120	-46	-81	2	100%		-81.5	8.2%	-1.6	-1.8	23	1.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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