Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 14, 2019

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $385.8000 (20.6%) ($342.8000 - $386.6000) on Wed. Aug. 14, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.94% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $385.8000(20.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY advances 15% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(22%)    VXX(12%)    TLT(7%)    UUP(6%)    SHY(4%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-22%)    VFMO(-21%)    XLY(-20%)    XLK(-20%)    VUG(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.97% (StdDev 5.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $339.66(13.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $335.71(14.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $295.75(30.45%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   63.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 15.51% (three month std-dev: 5.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.77%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.48%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 9.59%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -9.59%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.8%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.96%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2019	332.18	295.75	335.71	339.66	347.18	355.5	385.8(20.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	137	230	116	198	2.27	57%	-0.08	48.6	5.94%	0	2	72	-2.1
2	Aug_13_2019	332.46	289.39	324.15	330.16	335.18	350.03	319.9(-11.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	111	360	81	199	1.44	58%	-0.39	46.8	5.43%	0	0.7	69	-1
3	Aug_12_2019	333.77	286.27	317.86	333.18	338.51	338.85	359.9(10.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	182	60	164	235	1.35	63%	-0.27	46.8	5.9%	0	1.8	73	-1.9
4	Aug_9_2019	334.67	280.82	306.12	335.22	336.73	320.33	324.7(5.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-117	-330	-190	102	1.72	54%	-0.17	49.9	5.92%	0	1.2	65	-1.4
5	Aug_8_2019	335.25	277.31	297.84	331.48	345.13	338.18	308(-8.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-53	-20	-112	123	1.51	54%	-0.25	47.2	5.87%	0	0.9	60	-1.1

6	Aug_7_2019	336.08	275.01	292.02	330.12	342.34	353.13	338.3(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	143	330	119	215	2.64	65%	-0.14	46.7	5.78%	0	1.8	67	-1.9
7	Aug_6_2019	336.55	271.28	281.76	316.44	324.11	352.08	335(-9.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	261	680	274	222	2.55	67%	-0.14	38.3	6.56%	0	2	65	-2
8	Aug_5_2019	337.01	268.29	272.5	299.3	302.13	331.55	370.1(20.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	380	710	424	246	3.17	71%	-0.02	24.4	6.52%	0	3.5	74	-3.5
9	Aug_2_2019	337.09	263.28	260.39	273.34	275.27	296.14	306(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	259	550	296	146	2.93	63%	-0.25	-9	6.05%	0	2.3	66	-2.3
10	Aug_1_2019	337.95	261.26	255.89	259.7	258.22	272.7	301.2(11.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	190	380	223	91	4.21	64%	-0.3	-46.5	6.05%	0	2.5	65	-2.3

11	Jul_31_2019	338.95	259.43	251.5	248.74	246.77	254.4	269.9(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	96	190	120	25	2.42	61%	-0.41	-95.2	5.92%	0	0.8	51	-0.5
12	Jul_30_2019	340.34	259.46	250.8	242.02	242.62	243.74	249.3(3.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	30	40	47	-21	1.15	59%	-0.52	-125.2	5.87%	0	-0.7	38	0.8
13	Jul_29_2019	342.12	261.36	251.65	241.34	241.31	239.15	240.3(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-60	-40	-67	0.84	59%	-0.7	-126.6	5.84%	0	-1.4	27	1.4
14	Jul_26_2019	344.52	264.94	253.39	245.28	244.06	241.51	237.8(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-90	-56	-75	0.74	56%	-0.69	-103.3	5.85%	0	-1.5	26	1.4
15	Jul_25_2019	346.9	269.01	255.53	251.22	250.18	243.48	246.4(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-200	-53	-66	1.26	56%	-0.58	-83.1	5.87%	0	-1.1	38	1.1

16	Jul_24_2019	348.92	273.01	257.37	254.66	254.49	246.61	236.3(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-117	-220	-125	-91	0.93	56%	-0.56	-66.9	5.85%	0	-1.6	33	1.6
17	Jul_23_2019	350.87	277.84	260.97	260.72	260.15	256.89	245.9(-5.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-90	-62	-54	0.85	56%	-0.51	-56.4	5.85%	0	-1.3	35	1.4
18	Jul_22_2019	352.68	281.58	264.76	263.18	262.44	262.36	260(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10	2	-25	0.85	56%	-0.43	-56	5.82%	0	-0.8	33	1
19	Jul_19_2019	354.2	284.81	266.97	262.52	260.56	263.41	267.5(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	50	16	-32	1.15	56%	-0.49	-57.1	5.81%	0	-0.6	27	0.8
20	Jul_18_2019	355.93	287.2	267.33	260.54	259.37	262.53	263.6(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	25	70	47	-40	1.01	56%	-0.5	-63	5.85%	0	-0.9	23	1.1

21	Jul_17_2019	357.72	289.72	267.99	260.72	258.13	257.71	266.6(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-40	4	-75	1.08	56%	-0.49	-68.9	5.86%	0	-0.9	22	1
22	Jul_16_2019	359.47	292.87	268.61	261.62	259.67	256.21	258.2(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-120	-51	-115	1.03	56%	-0.49	-69.9	5.84%	0	-1.3	15	1.4
23	Jul_15_2019	361.25	296.71	271.63	266.82	264.38	258.54	256.7(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-98	-180	-87	-131	0.64	56%	-0.46	-68	5.84%	0	-1.4	24	1.5
24	Jul_12_2019	362.93	300.94	277.21	272.14	272.43	263.13	257.6(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-101	-240	-92	-127	0.7	53%	-0.53	-66.6	5.85%	0	-1.6	23	1.7
25	Jul_11_2019	364.85	305.37	283.45	274.92	277.94	270.21	264.5(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-118	-160	-114	-129	1.04	53%		-66.9	5.9%	0	-1.5	31	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.