Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 7, 2019

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $470.9000 (5.89%) ($452.7000 - $484.9000) on Thu. Mar. 7, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.77% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $470.9000(5.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(9%)    TLT(7%)    SHY(4%)    UUP(3%)    UNG(1%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-22%)    VFMO(-21%)    XLY(-20%)    XLK(-20%)    VYM(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.385% (StdDev 4.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $434.98(8.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $434.74(8.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $453.91(3.74%)
To recent high   -46.5%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 6.21% (three month std-dev: 4.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.3%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.73%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.21%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.55%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.31%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2019	586.44	453.91	434.74	434.98	436.72	451.2	470.9(5.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	238	240	289	83	1.57	61%	-0.03	-57.3	4.77%	0	0.6	44	-0.8
2	Mar_6_2019	586.61	454.34	431.71	428.28	424.86	431.39	444.7(4.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	68	80	95	-12	1.13	59%	-0.06	-74.1	4.93%	0	-0.3	41	0.2
3	Mar_5_2019	586.97	456.5	430.93	427.14	424.68	422.23	426.7(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-60	8	-59	0.68	59%	-0.19	-89	4.92%	0	-1	34	0.9
4	Mar_4_2019	588.11	459.92	434.51	429.4	429.45	418.33	423.8(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-118	-180	-120	-113	1.66	66%	-0.17	-102.3	4.96%	0	-1.2	30	1.2
5	Mar_1_2019	589.14	464.66	438.46	431.12	434.41	427.12	408.8(-6.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-120	-90	-122	-112	0.88	61%	-0.32	-104.2	5.6%	0	-1.8	23	1.8

6	Feb_28_2019	591.06	470.67	446.32	433.62	434.34	440.56	437.4(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	110	-1	-66	0.65	65%	-0.15	-113.5	5.53%	0	-1.1	25	0.8
7	Feb_27_2019	591.96	476.67	450.1	435.38	432.43	441.7	439(0.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	89	130	124	-16	0.75	65%	0.03	-106.3	5.56%	0	-1.1	38	0.9
8	Feb_26_2019	591.76	484.38	454.01	435.42	432.06	428.12	438(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-90	25	-58	0.62	60%	0.05	-92	5.57%	0	-1.1	36	1
9	Feb_25_2019	591.45	492.44	459.32	440.88	434.89	423.16	432.4(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-174	-230	-187	-136	0.8	60%	0.05	-76.8	5.66%	0	-1.2	33	1.2
10	Feb_22_2019	591.14	499.28	466.03	447.38	447.85	436	421.3(-5.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-152	-180	-161	-123	0.77	60%	0.06	-75.5	5.65%	0	-1.6	24	1.6

11	Feb_21_2019	590.81	508.37	474.97	460.84	458.53	446.63	446.2(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-168	-200	-184	-121	0.98	60%	0.16	-67.7	5.66%	0	-1.2	26	1.3
12	Feb_20_2019	589.87	517.54	479.08	466.98	470.53	459.7	439.2(-5.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-129	-140	-136	-109	1.12	63%	0.14	-56.5	5.67%	0	-1.4	19	1.6
13	Feb_19_2019	589.06	527.65	484.57	475.02	477.19	470.43	465.3(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-109	-90	-109	-109	0.55	65%	0.58	-49.2	5.74%	0	-1.1	18	1
14	Feb_15_2019	585.68	533	487.72	480.5	479.08	481.35	464.9(-4.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	20	-55	-99	0.66	62%	0.17	-52.4	5.87%	0	-1.2	17	1.5
15	Feb_14_2019	584.67	539.37	493.22	487.52	484.51	483.96	488.6(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-30	28	-68	0.95	62%	0.2	-55.8	5.85%	0	-0.9	33	1

16	Feb_13_2019	583.53	544.88	496.97	491.66	490.48	476.8	476.9(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-122	-200	-118	-135	0.63	62%	0.19	-59.5	5.86%	0	-1.2	25	1.3
17	Feb_12_2019	582.44	550.4	505.16	493.18	499.66	485.05	479.4(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-172	-170	-174	-167	0.56	65%	0.2	-69.7	5.86%	0	-1.4	23	1.5
18	Feb_11_2019	581.29	557.66	516.75	495.32	501.57	504.16	492.7(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-89	70	-76	-129	0.56	65%	0.22	-76.9	6.05%	0	-1.3	23	1.3
19	Feb_8_2019	579.99	564.13	527.54	495.86	500.05	514.28	500(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	91	220	134	-40	0.76	65%	0.24	-87.4	6.07%	0	-1.3	43	1.3
20	Feb_7_2019	578.61	571.77	534.47	499.92	497.85	498.98	509.3(5.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	56	0	93	-56	1.09	61%	0.24	-97.9	6.07%	0	-1.2	41	1.1

21	Feb_6_2019	577.23	579.47	543.67	503.84	500.43	485.83	484.5(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-167	-220	-170	-156	0.55	61%	0.16	-102.8	6.2%	0	-1.8	36	1.7
22	Feb_5_2019	576.33	589.66	558.59	519.5	515.44	496.73	490.1(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-247	-280	-271	-175	0.69	61%	0.17	-106.7	6.23%	0	-1.9	39	1.8
23	Feb_4_2019	575.38	600.61	574.11	541.76	538.48	515.04	495.4(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-248	-320	-278	-156	0.49	61%	0.2	-108.4	6.23%	0	-2	35	1.9
24	Feb_1_2019	574.21	612.54	582.49	563.9	561.75	534.15	520.3(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-292	-360	-334	-167	0.67	61%	0.23	-106.6	6.2%	0	-1.7	38	1.4
25	Jan_31_2019	572.9	627.59	590.15	573.78	583.37	561.92	528.9(-6.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-236	-210	-268	-141	0.62	61%		-82.2	6.22%	0	-1.4	36	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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