Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 17, 2018

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $710.7000 (7.89%) ($654.2000 - $729.4000) on Mon. Dec. 17, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.84% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $710.7000(7.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY advances 9.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(9%)    TLT(7%)    SHY(4%)    UUP(3%)    UNG(1%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -3.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-22%)    VUG(-21%)    VFMO(-21%)    XLY(-20%)    XLK(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.42% (StdDev 6.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $654.76(8.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $624.66(13.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $598.93(18.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   99%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 9.42% (three month std-dev: 6.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 5.69%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.46%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 17.12%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.58%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 21.76%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.35%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2018	493.39	598.93	624.66	654.76	647.79	670.55	710.7(7.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	279	210	302	208	0.9	71%	0.48	45.9	6.84%	0	2	65	-1.9
2	Dec_14_2018	491.02	591.89	605.72	642.94	634.61	637.85	658.7(5.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	85	-0	81	98	0.66	70%	0.42	53.7	6.8%	0	1.3	54	-1.4
3	Dec_13_2018	488.99	588.07	594.29	641.92	637.67	625.04	622.4(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-21	-160	-41	41	0.6	70%	0.35	67.1	6.79%	0	0.7	52	-0.8
4	Dec_12_2018	487.3	585.29	585.2	635.18	637.05	631.37	637.1(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-104	-50	-133	-17	0.63	70%	0.37	67.3	6.81%	0	1.1	50	-1.2
5	Dec_11_2018	485.5	581.3	576.49	621.72	637.04	650.31	644.9(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	170	220	194	98	0.83	70%	0.36	60.2	6.81%	0	1.4	57	-1.5

6	Dec_10_2018	483.74	574.1	568.19	588.34	609.47	642.73	651.6(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	304	490	359	139	0.91	70%	0.37	33.1	6.85%	0	1.7	62	-1.8
7	Dec_7_2018	481.96	565.52	563.72	562.48	562.12	623.78	653.6(11.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	380	770	453	160	1.17	70%	0.38	6.8	6.87%	0	2	57	-2.4
8	Dec_6_2018	480.12	556.98	558.25	540.86	540.37	576.21	588.7(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	545	460	652	224	1.28	68%	0.3	-18.6	6.75%	0	0.7	51	-1.3
9	Dec_4_2018	478.68	554.58	562.09	528.94	521.34	500.46	569.8(19.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-45	-320	-41	-55	1.21	68%	0.2	-33.8	6.71%	0	0.3	52	-0.8
10	Dec_3_2018	477.72	554.48	563.73	525.74	524.1	504.53	478(-8.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-370	-270	-423	-210	0.61	65%	-0.01	-44.9	6.29%	0	-1.7	42	1.7

11	Nov_30_2018	477.75	559.76	571.37	544.18	547.74	542.22	522.3(-4.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-50	-84	-52	0.37	68%	0.07	-46.4	6.2%	0	-0.9	57	1.1
12	Nov_29_2018	477.41	562.51	577.8	564.28	560.31	543.67	545.5(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-150	-230	-181	-57	0.49	68%	0.07	-38.6	6.18%	0	-0.4	63	0.7
13	Nov_28_2018	477.09	565.23	582.55	578.16	580.01	553.26	529.1(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-241	-310	-297	-73	0.47	68%	0.08	-33.4	6.18%	0	-0.9	61	1
14	Nov_27_2018	476.71	570.28	587.32	600.02	599.35	576.94	553.8(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-268	-270	-337	-60	0.46	68%	0.11	-11.9	6.14%	0	-0.4	54	0.6
15	Nov_26_2018	476.2	575.57	588.7	607.12	617.78	606.76	570.2(-8.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-59	-70	-93	45	0.45	68%	0.04	5.5	6.13%	0	-0.1	51	0.4

16	Nov_23_2018	475.99	579.9	582.76	601.32	612.46	621.76	622.8(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	160	18	74	0.24	72%	0.06	14	6.02%	0	0.8	56	-0.7
17	Nov_21_2018	475.69	578.82	568.87	593.04	598.07	628.8	614.9(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	214	390	239	140	0.41	72%	-0.02	16.3	5.99%	0	0.7	55	-0.4
18	Nov_20_2018	475.8	579.55	556.08	588.08	593.6	603.16	638.4(8.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	337	140	390	177	0.97	72%	0.04	27.5	5.97%	0	1.1	53	-1.1
19	Nov_19_2018	475.6	575.55	545.61	574.18	577.29	567.34	589.3(8.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-122	-100	-141	-65	0.75	70%	-0.06	28	5.92%	0	0.3	44	-0.2
20	Nov_16_2018	475.88	572.93	543.01	568.52	577.86	584.04	541.2(-6.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	15	120	26	-20	0.69	65%	-0.21	24.6	5.85%	0	-0.6	33	0.5

21	Nov_15_2018	476.9	572.69	546.26	560.26	568.46	587.24	581.4(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	217	280	271	56	0.9	70%	-0.16	20.8	5.87%	0	0.2	37	-0.2
22	Nov_14_2018	477.67	570.52	544.87	539.78	543.86	571.68	590.1(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	253	380	320	51	1.03	66%	-0.03	4.5	5.97%	0	0.4	48	-0.5
23	Nov_13_2018	477.82	565.71	544.98	518.7	519.51	549.68	568.9(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	287	410	367	46	1.27	68%	-0.15	-8.5	6.04%	0	0.1	41	-0.2
24	Nov_12_2018	478.56	561.65	550.28	513.52	502.42	516.04	561(12.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	134	120	185	-21	1.1	68%	0.07	-6.5	6.13%	0	-0	52	-0.2
25	Nov_9_2018	478.21	560.47	559.73	515.62	508.76	489.35	499.9(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-105	-310	-100	-118	0.88	67%		4.1	6.01%	0	-1	50	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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