Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 15, 2018

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $581.4000 (-1.47%) ($575.3000 - $629.0000) on Thu. Nov. 15, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.87% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $581.4000(-1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(10%)    TLT(7%)    SHY(4%)    UUP(3%)    IFRA(1%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-22%)    XLY(-21%)    VUG(-21%)    VFMO(-21%)    XLK(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.935% (StdDev 5.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $560.26(3.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $546.26(6.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $572.69(1.52%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   62.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 9.05% (three month std-dev: 5.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.43%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.8%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2018	476.9	572.69	546.26	560.26	568.46	587.24	581.4(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	217	280	271	56	0.9	70%	-0.16	20.8	5.87%	0	0.2	37	-0.2
2	Nov_14_2018	477.67	570.52	544.87	539.78	543.86	571.68	590.1(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	253	380	320	51	1.03	66%	-0.03	4.5	5.97%	0	0.4	48	-0.5
3	Nov_13_2018	477.82	565.71	544.98	518.7	519.51	549.68	568.9(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	287	410	367	46	1.27	68%	-0.15	-8.5	6.04%	0	0.1	41	-0.2
4	Nov_12_2018	478.56	561.65	550.28	513.52	502.42	516.04	561(12.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	134	120	185	-21	1.1	68%	0.07	-6.5	6.13%	0	-0	52	-0.2
5	Nov_9_2018	478.21	560.47	559.73	515.62	508.76	489.35	499.9(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-105	-310	-100	-118	0.88	67%	-0.1	4.1	6.01%	0	-1	50	0.8

6	Nov_8_2018	478.71	562.13	576.05	531.06	527.73	488.8	479(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-401	-540	-458	-228	0.51	67%	-0.05	21.6	6%	0	-1.4	48	0.8
7	Nov_7_2018	478.93	568.06	590.01	550.2	551.5	528.16	484.7(-10.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-388	-290	-451	-197	0.56	67%	-0.07	50.7	6.01%	0	-1.5	48	0.9
8	Nov_6_2018	479.25	570.69	606.36	573.72	574.98	566.66	543(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-115	-90	-144	-29	0.41	69%	0.13	72.4	5.86%	0	-0.5	63	0.1
9	Nov_5_2018	478.65	565.45	609.62	591.76	587.35	574.84	571.5(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-142	-170	-185	-12	0.42	69%	0.17	77.7	5.87%	0	0.1	68	-0.3
10	Nov_2_2018	477.85	558.06	607.08	611.06	607.4	583.3	577.1(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-196	-300	-255	-18	1.02	69%	0.19	83.5	5.88%	0	0.2	58	-0.5

11	Nov_1_2018	476.94	550.01	603.27	628.74	627.98	599.86	574.7(-4.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-286	-320	-368	-39	0.71	69%	0.13	87.8	5.88%	0	0.3	59	-0.5
12	Oct_31_2018	476.3	541.45	600.28	635.66	646.65	631.5	602.3(-4.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-167	-110	-228	18	0.79	69%	0.21	85.4	5.85%	0	0.7	52	-0.8
13	Oct_30_2018	475.28	529.76	589.82	643.16	649.27	656.09	633.2(-5.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	100	31	129	1	69%	0.28	83.8	5.84%	0	1.1	62	-1.1
14	Oct_29_2018	473.96	516.43	574.86	629.16	635.29	661.8	668(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	262	320	274	227	1.34	69%	0.33	77.8	5.82%	0	1.6	74	-1.6
15	Oct_26_2018	472.41	500.97	560.69	602.32	617.44	642.45	665.5(9.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	433	360	475	305	1.72	69%	0.31	70.9	5.83%	0	1.7	75	-1.8

16	Oct_25_2018	470.93	485.78	545.4	574.74	584.49	608.78	609.3(-4.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	256	340	268	220	1.22	68%	0.22	65.3	5.73%	0	1.4	73	-1.6
17	Oct_24_2018	469.91	473.56	542.3	559.86	562.38	592.43	639.8(13.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	380	390	406	303	1.82	68%	0.21	62.7	5.7%	0	1.9	77	-1.9
18	Oct_23_2018	468.91	460	529.62	529.36	542.8	560.21	563.2(5.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	372	300	394	306	1.53	64%	0.03	56.5	5.47%	0	1.3	77	-1.5
19	Oct_22_2018	468.77	450.3	515.93	512.46	519.55	532.34	533.8(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	139	210	120	194	1.14	63%	-0.11	49.9	5.44%	0	1.1	75	-1.2
20	Oct_19_2018	469.29	441.92	504.23	512.58	509.4	525.38	527.6(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	177	200	159	230	1.48	63%	-0.21	49.3	5.44%	0	1.1	74	-1.3

21	Oct_18_2018	470.28	433.8	492.45	511.5	511.71	506.77	534.9(9.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	127	-70	96	221	1.77	63%	-0.17	49.6	5.44%	0	1.4	74	-1.7
22	Oct_17_2018	471.06	425.15	478.45	522.72	515.14	493.41	487.3(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-210	-340	-314	101	1.14	60%	-0.37	55.9	5.32%	0	0.9	71	-1
23	Oct_16_2018	472.81	419.46	466.47	529.88	531.13	516.65	478.7(-10.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-72	-180	-157	184	1.18	60%	0.01	58.6	5.32%	0	0.9	68	-0.9
24	Oct_15_2018	472.75	415.16	455.63	518.04	526.74	536.86	534.4(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	151	180	107	283	1.07	66%	-0.05	52.9	5.16%	0	1.8	76	-1.7
25	Oct_12_2018	473	407.77	438.2	492.86	497.12	545.61	522.2(-11.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	448	710	468	389	2.02	66%		41.8	5.16%	0	1.9	76	-2.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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