Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 15, 2018

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $534.4000 (2.34%) ($514.7000 - $561.5000) on Mon. Oct. 15, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.16% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $534.4000(2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 5.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY advances 20.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(10%)    TLT(7%)    SHY(4%)    UUP(3%)    VIXM(2%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-23%)    VFMO(-22%)    XLY(-21%)    XLK(-21%)    VUG(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.58% (StdDev 5.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $518.04(3.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $455.63(17.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $415.16(28.72%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   49.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 16.12% (three month std-dev: 5.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 5.6%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.14%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.21%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.19%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2018	472.75	415.16	455.63	518.04	526.74	536.86	534.4(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	151	180	107	283	1.07	66%	-0.05	52.9	5.16%	0	1.8	76	-1.7
2	Oct_12_2018	473	407.77	438.2	492.86	497.12	545.61	522.2(-11.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	448	710	468	389	2.02	66%	-0.06	41.8	5.16%	0	1.9	76	-2.1
3	Oct_11_2018	473.27	400.24	422.36	469	468.35	516.62	591(12.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	855	720	955	554	3.43	73%	0.08	26.5	4.99%	0	3.5	89	-3.6
4	Oct_10_2018	472.88	389.32	398.48	428.88	429.11	448.63	523.1(24.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	437	320	482	301	2.8	69%	-0.1	1.9	4.76%	0	3.8	86	-3.5
5	Oct_9_2018	473.35	382.9	382.7	395.7	405.81	420.09	419.5(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	259	320	287	176	1.56	50%	-0.3	-46.2	3.66%	0	1.9	68	-1.3

6	Oct_8_2018	474.78	382.55	377.67	384.26	390.29	409.6	408.5(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	319	390	368	170	1.83	50%	-0.38	-56.5	3.78%	0	1.2	51	-0.9
7	Oct_5_2018	476.6	383.72	373.35	374.8	375.74	391.53	402.9(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	299	300	355	131	3.65	45%	-0.37	-52.9	3.86%	0	0.7	49	-0.2
8	Oct_4_2018	478.38	386.09	369.59	367.82	365.6	370.99	390.4(9.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	138	90	172	36	2.61	45%	-0.44	-50.4	3.88%	0	0.1	52	0.1
9	Oct_3_2018	480.5	388.66	367.07	363.36	362.56	359.95	357.2(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-60	-33	-69	1.01	38%	-0.58	-48.6	3.7%	0	-1	32	1.3
10	Oct_2_2018	483.31	392.24	369.02	367.72	365.45	360.21	362.3(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-93	-120	-91	-97	1.06	38%	-0.44	-44.6	3.71%	0	-1	27	1.1

11	Oct_1_2018	485.45	395.37	372.39	369.84	368.03	365.18	361.2(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-96	-70	-94	-102	1.08	38%	-0.5	-42.6	3.71%	0	-1.1	25	1.2
12	Sep_28_2018	487.9	398.42	376.09	371.24	370.16	370.69	368(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-22	0	-3	-78	1.15	38%	-0.52	-42.3	3.73%	0	-1	22	1.3
13	Sep_27_2018	490.43	401.6	377.63	371.32	370.19	370.89	368.1(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	0	23	-95	1.01	45%	-0.61	-41.3	3.73%	0	-1.1	19	1.3
14	Sep_26_2018	493.44	404.2	380.23	371.22	369.42	369.64	379(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10	12	-113	1.27	45%	-0.67	-44.3	3.91%	0	-0.9	27	1.3
15	Sep_25_2018	496.78	406.24	383.33	370.68	368.16	369.49	372.9(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	0	-23	-134	0.94	57%	-0.69	-48.4	3.94%	0	-1.2	34	1.4

16	Sep_24_2018	500.21	408.64	387.87	375.7	370.72	369.21	368.2(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-70	-17	-103	1.3	57%	-0.7	-46.1	4.83%	0	-1.5	34	1.7
17	Sep_21_2018	503.76	411.24	394.88	381.96	376.27	366.83	368.4(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-103	-220	-97	-120	1.07	61%	-0.77	-45.8	4.85%	0	-1.7	36	2.3
18	Sep_20_2018	507.66	414.03	403.79	384.88	382.4	372.24	367.6(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-163	-210	-172	-136	1.35	61%	-0.72	-52.7	5.02%	0	-2.1	33	2.6
19	Sep_19_2018	511.34	417.1	411.91	390.26	387.82	385.71	376.3(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-103	-60	-106	-95	1.34	63%	-0.72	-66.7	5.02%	0	-2	41	2.6
20	Sep_18_2018	515.03	420.07	417.48	397.6	392.88	392.57	398(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-40	-10	-43	1.34	66%	-0.7	-68	5.06%	0	-1.2	46	1.6

21	Sep_17_2018	518.66	421.24	420.32	402.1	398.29	389.93	399.5(4.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-98	-180	-106	-73	0.55	66%	-0.69	-80.6	5.07%	0	-1.3	46	1.1
22	Sep_14_2018	522.24	422.89	422.7	410.4	409.45	393.19	383(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-199	-280	-229	-109	0.56	66%	-0.76	-74.6	5.04%	0	-2.4	41	1.9
23	Sep_13_2018	526.24	426.29	427.91	425.9	422.98	406.66	394.5(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-245	-290	-291	-108	0.59	66%	-0.85	-46	5.06%	0	-2.2	43	1.6
24	Sep_12_2018	530.74	430.83	430.73	436.7	438.7	425.72	413(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-144	-190	-177	-46	0.6	66%	-0.78	-0.5	5.03%	0	-1	47	1
25	Sep_11_2018	534.93	432.5	431.56	439.9	445.18	439.31	420.5(-4.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-95	-60	-119	-21	0.6	66%		12.4	5.03%	0	-0.7	46	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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