Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $768.0000 (2.61%) ($766.0000 - $852.5000) on Thu. Nov. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.66% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $768.0000(2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(6%)    SHY(5%)    UUP(3%)    UNG(1%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -3.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-25%)    XLY(-23%)    XLK(-23%)    VUG(-23%)    VYM(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.83% (StdDev 7.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.7%

Resistance Level   $790.11
5 Day Moving Average   $750.5(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $761.4(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $790.11(-2.8%)
To recent high   -64.4%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 5.37% (three month std-dev: 7.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.83%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2017	1357.64	790.11	761.4	750.5	760.22	775.13	768(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	171	180	213	45	1.39	47%	-0.88	-86.2	7.66%	0	-0.5	53	INF
2	Nov_8_2017	1369.68	794.85	771.14	748.2	748.94	749.38	748.5(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	10	2	-33	0.44	47%	-0.92	-87.6	7.68%	0	-1	46	INF
3	Nov_7_2017	1382.34	801.16	783.76	753	754.75	745.31	746(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-80	-39	-41	0.56	47%	-0.83	-86.6	7.73%	0	-1.1	44	INF
4	Nov_6_2017	1393.94	809.44	792.03	757	759.22	748.5	738(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-119	-90	-134	-75	0.27	47%	-0.92	-79	7.73%	0	-1.2	42	INF
5	Nov_3_2017	1406.91	820.14	799.95	767.9	766.55	764.19	752(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-30	-83	-49	0.51	47%	-0.93	-76	7.72%	0	-1.2	44	INF

6	Nov_2_2017	1420.14	828.49	802.04	773.7	777.8	769.94	756.5(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-50	-37	-34	0.76	47%	-0.88	-80.9	7.73%	0	-1.2	41	INF
7	Nov_1_2017	1432.8	836.65	806.22	797.9	787.02	768.91	772.5(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-181	-200	-209	-97	0.56	47%	-0.88	-74.9	7.74%	0	-1	38	INF
8	Oct_31_2017	1445.48	847.01	809.76	819.9	811.18	785.66	766(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-210	-250	-244	-106	0.41	47%	-0.98	-70.3	7.74%	0	-1.2	36	INF
9	Oct_30_2017	1459.77	857.54	814.78	832.3	840.75	805.13	792.5(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-183	-270	-212	-96	0.65	47%	-0.92	-72	7.73%	0	-0.9	34	INF
10	Oct_27_2017	1473.26	867.09	816.56	836.2	842.53	836.69	781(-11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-201	-30	-230	-114	0.61	47%	-0.88	-73.9	7.73%	0	-1.1	29	INF

11	Oct_26_2017	1486.28	879.22	822.28	832.6	835.88	876.38	877.5(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	233	350	283	82	0.78	51%	-0.87	-74.6	7.63%	0	-0	43	INF
12	Oct_25_2017	1499.33	888.01	820.19	815.4	812	848.38	882.5(6.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	343	300	416	122	1.71	51%	-0.89	-73.3	7.63%	0	-0.1	44	INF
13	Oct_24_2017	1512.8	897.95	818.37	799.6	795.88	795.38	828(1.97%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	100	-20	136	-7	0.64	51%	-0.85	-71.5	7.58%	0	-0.7	29	INF
14	Oct_23_2017	1525.81	911.76	826.21	796.2	794.78	775.63	812(6.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-156	-170	-163	-133	0.55	51%	-0.85	-67.8	7.59%	0	-0.9	27	INF
15	Oct_20_2017	1538.84	927.73	839.82	795.2	801.59	796.38	763(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-163	-20	-171	-140	0.3	51%	-0.87	-65.1	7.54%	0	-1.4	16	INF

16	Oct_19_2017	1552.29	946.66	855.82	809.8	814.06	813.94	791.5(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	7	10	30	-61	0.72	51%	-0.91	-66.5	7.53%	0	-1.3	15	INF
17	Oct_18_2017	1566.49	963.55	868.93	825.1	817.06	806.81	803.5(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-127	-120	-127	-128	0.29	51%	-0.87	-69.8	7.53%	0	-1.4	14	INF
18	Oct_17_2017	1580.18	980.04	887.02	839.9	835.34	814.19	811(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-170	-190	-177	-150	0.36	51%	-0.49	-72.9	7.53%	0	-1.5	13	INF
19	Oct_16_2017	1588.03	996.21	904.04	861.1	856.28	827.31	807(-3.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-287	-250	-314	-205	0.33	51%	-0.88	-79.4	7.55%	0	-1.7	12	INF
20	Oct_13_2017	1602.14	1012.63	922.65	891.5	884.47	856.5	836(-3.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-271	-250	-296	-195	0.45	51%	-0.9	-83.3	7.55%	0	-1.6	12	INF

21	Oct_12_2017	1616.73	1032.49	942.1	908.5	909.73	885.25	868(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-227	-180	-244	-175	0.45	51%	-0.85	-89.8	7.55%	0	-1.4	13	INF
22	Oct_11_2017	1630.55	1052.81	962.22	919	924.95	912.44	877.5(-4.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-188	-80	-199	-156	0.4	51%	-0.91	-96.9	7.57%	0	-1.5	17	INF
23	Oct_10_2017	1645.47	1071.25	984.38	941	937.38	934.21	917(-4.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-89	-40	-84	-104	0.45	51%	-0.88	-97.9	7.56%	0	-1.3	18	INF
24	Oct_9_2017	1660.07	1091.95	1004.05	953.7	952.2	937.46	959(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-66	-110	-58	-90	0.33	51%	-0.99	-95.4	7.56%	0	-1	21	INF
25	Oct_6_2017	1676.71	1113.7	1021.66	959.7	961.31	940.56	921(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-223	-150	-244	-161	0.42	54%		-78.3	7.57%	0	-1.2	11	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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