Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $1948.0000 (-2.5%) ($1874.0000 - $2072.0000) on Fri. Jun. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.04% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $1948.0000(-2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(7%)    SHY(5%)    IPO(3%)    UUP(3%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -3.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-25%)    XLY(-23%)    XLK(-23%)    VUG(-23%)    XAR(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.52% (StdDev 7.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

Resistance Level   $2001.93
5 Day Moving Average   $1898(2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1915.2(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2001.93(-2.69%)
To recent high   -54.6%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 5.64% (three month std-dev: 7.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(75%) Average negative next day return: -4.15%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.39%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -4.17%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.18%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.7%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2017	3050.39	2001.93	1915.2	1898	1913.75	1973.75	1948(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	426	240	511	171	0.25	54%	-0.86	-54.3	7.04%	0	-0.5	40	INF
2	Jun_29_2017	3076.73	2009.48	1921.16	1885.2	1883.5	1920.25	1998(10.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	475	130	571	188	0.57	54%	-0.9	-63.7	7.03%	0	-0.1	45	INF
3	Jun_28_2017	3104.55	2013.97	1925.28	1870.8	1861	1853.75	1812(-5.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-40	-61	-70	0.14	47%	-0.96	-68.5	6.9%	0	-1.7	39	INF
4	Jun_27_2017	3134.67	2033.55	1945.7	1900.4	1885.75	1846.75	1926(6.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-222	-170	-248	-144	0.22	47%	-0.89	-72.4	6.99%	0	-1	39	INF
5	Jun_26_2017	3162.92	2045.19	1955.4	1915.6	1907.13	1868.25	1806(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-491	-160	-563	-274	0.14	47%	-0.93	-76.9	6.94%	0	-2.1	30	INF

6	Jun_23_2017	3192.51	2065.08	1992.47	1933.2	1942.63	1924.75	1884(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-154	-50	-168	-110	0.1	50%	-0.95	-98.6	6.93%	0	-1.8	40	INF
7	Jun_22_2017	3223.22	2084.24	2016.94	1960.8	1945	1946	1926(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-190	-20	-213	-121	0.09	50%	-0.91	-124.4	7%	0	-1.6	42	INF
8	Jun_21_2017	3252.84	2099.29	2032.01	1988	1969.63	1960.5	1960(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-60	-53	-53	0.15	52%	-0.94	-162.2	7%	0	-1.5	44	INF
9	Jun_20_2017	3283.69	2117.89	2052.59	1998	2009.25	1944	2002(5.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-272	-210	-311	-155	0.17	52%	-0.94	-150	7.07%	0	-1.1	41	INF
10	Jun_19_2017	3314.69	2134.72	2073.08	2003.2	2024.38	1978.75	1894(-6.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-720	-130	-839	-364	0.15	52%	-0.88	-141.7	7.03%	0	-2.2	37	INF

11	Jun_16_2017	3344	2168.59	2097.13	2060.4	2059.63	2074.5	2022(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-130	50	-147	-77	0.14	52%	-0.87	-104.2	6.99%	0	-1.1	41	INF
12	Jun_15_2017	3373.18	2215.22	2106.05	2081.6	2100.59	2070	2062(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	142	-70	173	49	0.21	50%	-0.83	-50.9	7.01%	0	-0.7	38	INF
13	Jun_14_2017	3401.33	2266.61	2109.95	2083.2	2102.09	2044.75	2010(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-603	-160	-702	-305	0.22	50%	-0.91	-29.2	7.04%	0	-0.9	39	INF
14	Jun_13_2017	3432.53	2283.75	2129.12	2115.2	2121.72	2131.18	2028(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-299	40	-345	-160	0.15	50%	-1.05	-29.6	7.07%	0	-0.9	34	INF
15	Jun_12_2017	3468.88	2302.11	2143.08	2152.8	2154.84	2159.43	2180(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	296	20	354	120	0.25	50%	-1.02	-28.9	7.03%	0	-0.4	39	INF

16	Jun_9_2017	3504.59	2317.11	2143.17	2140	2151	2112.25	2128(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-224	-110	-252	-139	0.3	50%	-1.16	-32.4	7.03%	0	-0.7	27	INF
17	Jun_8_2017	3545.76	2335.45	2155.96	2134.8	2146.88	2150.25	2070(-4.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-246	30	-271	-172	0.14	50%	-1.13	-35.2	7.02%	0	-0.9	16	INF
18	Jun_7_2017	3586.24	2357.84	2171.6	2139.6	2144.38	2189.75	2170(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	323	150	407	71	0.17	50%	-1.1	-39.2	7%	0	-0.7	15	INF
19	Jun_6_2017	3626.14	2374.18	2186.98	2145.2	2144.38	2143.5	2216(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	248	30	319	36	0.14	50%	-0.4	-41.7	7%	0	-0.6	52	INF
20	Jun_5_2017	3640.68	2388.66	2198.31	2133.6	2126.25	2099	2116(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-180	-100	-183	-169	0.1	50%	-1.12	-45.3	6.98%	0	-1	49	INF

21	Jun_2_2017	3682.02	2414.79	2242.95	2148.4	2151.75	2109	2102(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-421	-130	-468	-278	0.11	48%	-1.11	-48	7.01%	0	-1.1	46	INF
22	Jun_1_2017	3723.28	2440.82	2329.48	2181.2	2186	2153.5	2094(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-384	-100	-431	-241	0.11	48%	-1.1	-50.4	7.01%	0	-1.3	46	INF
23	May_31_2017	3764.78	2473.56	2431.91	2206.8	2217.63	2194.5	2198(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-242	-60	-272	-153	0.2	48%	-1.13	-52.1	7.13%	0	-1.1	48	INF
24	May_30_2017	3807.9	2496.21	2449	2235.2	2241.38	2218.5	2158(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-272	-60	-307	-167	0.11	48%	-1.85	-54.6	7.15%	0	-1.3	47	INF
25	May_26_2017	3879.57	2520.7	2475	2273.2	2276.38	2240.75	2190(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-300	-110	-341	-178	0.12	49%		-59.2	7.04%	0	-1.4	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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