Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $3750.0000 (7.14%) ($3436.0000 - $3750.0000) on Mon. Apr. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.2% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $3750.0000(7.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(7%)    SHY(5%)    UUP(3%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-25%)    XLY(-23%)    XLK(-23%)    VYM(-23%)    VUG(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.1% (StdDev 4.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $3416.8(9.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3303.81(13.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3399.86(10.3%)
To recent high   -41.2%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 6.32% (three month std-dev: 4.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.23%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -6.63%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.22%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.18%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2017	5906.25	3399.86	3303.81	3416.8	3381.75	3514.25	3750(7.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	2318	240	2736	1065	0.18	50%	-1.35	-41.5	4.2%	0	1.6	55	INF
2	Apr_7_2017	5987.19	3390.66	3271.43	3319.6	3294.88	3337.75	3500(7.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1106	70	1315	480	0.18	47%	-1.39	-58	4.04%	0	0.5	57	INF
3	Apr_6_2017	6071.67	3402.05	3279.32	3266.4	3266.38	3249.25	3260(-3.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	104	-40	136	8	0.18	43%	-1.54	-63	3.94%	0	-0.6	52	INF
4	Apr_5_2017	6166.77	3432.26	3327.94	3240	3244.5	3252	3388(6.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-154	20	-171	-104	0.17	43%	-1.48	-67.8	3.93%	0	-0.2	53	INF
5	Apr_4_2017	6259.6	3457.21	3341.05	3182	3215.63	3283.5	3186(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	797	180	952	331	0.1	35%	-1.67	-75.3	3.81%	0	-1	43	INF

6	Apr_3_2017	6366.21	3491.4	3374.07	3170	3172.5	3237	3264(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	969	140	1157	403	0.15	31%	-1.65	-84.6	3.98%	0	-0.8	38	INF
7	Mar_31_2017	6473.25	3521.63	3377.27	3217.6	3166.75	3147.75	3234(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-430	-90	-488	-254	0.09	31%	-1.73	-82.4	4.3%	0	-1	41	INF
8	Mar_30_2017	6587.27	3560.4	3383.3	3299.6	3301.25	3108	3128(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1669	-410	-1946	-839	0.1	31%	-1.62	-72.7	4.28%	0	-1.4	35	INF
9	Mar_29_2017	6695.83	3617.16	3408.13	3432.8	3446.75	3185.75	3098(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3892	-520	-4564	-1877	0.07	31%	-1.71	-62.5	4.34%	0	-1.6	32	INF
10	Mar_28_2017	6812.21	3675.43	3449.76	3522.4	3590.75	3494.5	3126(-10.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2507	-130	-2935	-1222	0.15	35%	-1.83	-52.7	4.37%	0	-1.6	32	INF

11	Mar_27_2017	6939.02	3741.37	3514.33	3599.6	3661.38	3707.75	3502(-3.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	761	140	906	326	0.2	38%	-2.47	-45.2	4.33%	0	-0.7	40	INF
12	Mar_24_2017	7114.94	3777.23	3526.08	3553.2	3566	3687	3644(-3.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1384	250	1644	602	0.23	38%	-2.39	-45.6	4.32%	0	-0.4	43	INF
13	Mar_23_2017	7289.27	3807.72	3535.72	3477.2	3450.75	3615	3794(6.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2263	310	2686	995	0.16	38%	-2.03	-46	4.34%	0	-0	42	INF
14	Mar_22_2017	7440.58	3834.93	3539.47	3386.4	3347.25	3445	3546(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1824	170	2179	759	0.2	34%	-1.93	-47.2	4.21%	0	-0.8	28	INF
15	Mar_21_2017	7586.67	3866.47	3574.32	3374	3305.88	3286.5	3512(7.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-100	10	-122	0.31	34%	-1.76	-44.2	4.24%	0	-1	27	INF

16	Mar_20_2017	7722.9	3898.65	3609.13	3424.4	3365.13	3249.5	3270(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1559	-290	-1793	-857	0.08	29%	-1.67	-41.1	4.09%	0	-1.7	13	INF
17	Mar_17_2017	7854.25	3940.73	3671.89	3496.4	3482	3325.25	3264(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-2331	-330	-2702	-1217	0.11	27%	-1.49	-43.9	4.13%	0	-2	24	INF
18	Mar_16_2017	7972.75	3982.33	3749.81	3599.6	3592.88	3480.75	3340(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2321	-220	-2694	-1202	0.12	27%	-1.39	-48.6	4.16%	0	-2.2	25	INF
19	Mar_15_2017	8085.15	4017.43	3844.31	3711.2	3701.13	3638.75	3484(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1233	-130	-1419	-675	0.14	27%	-1.27	-58.3	4.15%	0	-2.1	25	INF
20	Mar_14_2017	8188.96	4035.34	3923.13	3800.8	3785.38	3705	3764(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-863	-160	-989	-486	0.12	29%	-1.19	-73.3	4.08%	0	-1.2	40	INF

21	Mar_13_2017	8287.56	4053.71	3989.6	3824	3822	3763.5	3630(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1370	-110	-1588	-714	0.08	29%	-1.31	-85.3	4.03%	0	-1.9	37	INF
22	Mar_10_2017	8397.98	4092.09	4052.78	3874	3864	3865.75	3780(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-369	-0	-415	-230	0.11	29%	-1.35	-91.8	4.02%	0	-1.5	44	INF
23	Mar_9_2017	8513.29	4129.14	4104.82	3923.2	3894.13	3880.5	3898(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-124	-50	-132	-99	0.11	29%	-1.37	-90.9	4.05%	0	-1.1	49	INF
24	Mar_8_2017	8631.65	4168.71	4154.3	4000.8	3941.13	3862.25	3932(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1127	-180	-1320	-547	0.1	29%	-1.44	-74.4	4.05%	0	-1	52	INF
25	Mar_7_2017	8757.56	4208.62	4181.24	4068	4042.38	3907.75	3880(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-1649	-250	-1942	-769	0.09	29%		-65.2	4.04%	0	-1.2	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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