Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $3484.0000 (-7.44%) ($3422.0000 - $3696.0000) on Wed. Mar. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $3484.0000(-7.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(7%)    SHY(5%)    UUP(3%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-25%)    XLY(-23%)    XLK(-23%)    VYM(-23%)    VUG(-23%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.1%

Resistance Level   $4017.43
5 Day Moving Average   $3711.2(-6.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3844.31(-9.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4017.43(-13.28%)
To recent high   -61.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 6.23% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 3.21%(73%) Average negative next day return: -2.36%(27%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 5.62%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -4.56%(30%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 5.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.52%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2017	8085.15	4017.43	3844.31	3711.2	3701.13	3638.75	3484(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1233	-130	-1419	-675	0.14	27%	-1.27	-58.3	4.15%	0	-2.1	25	0
2	Mar_14_2017	8188.96	4035.34	3923.13	3800.8	3785.38	3705	3764(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-863	-160	-989	-486	0.12	29%	-1.19	-73.3	4.08%	0	-1.2	40	0
3	Mar_13_2017	8287.56	4053.71	3989.6	3824	3822	3763.5	3630(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1370	-110	-1588	-714	0.08	29%	-1.31	-85.3	4.03%	0	-1.9	37	0
4	Mar_10_2017	8397.98	4092.09	4052.78	3874	3864	3865.75	3780(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-369	-0	-415	-230	0.11	29%	-1.35	-91.8	4.02%	0	-1.5	44	0
5	Mar_9_2017	8513.29	4129.14	4104.82	3923.2	3894.13	3880.5	3898(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-124	-50	-132	-99	0.11	29%	-1.37	-90.9	4.05%	0	-1.1	49	0

6	Mar_8_2017	8631.65	4168.71	4154.3	4000.8	3941.13	3862.25	3932(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1127	-180	-1320	-547	0.1	29%	-1.44	-74.4	4.05%	0	-1	52	0
7	Mar_7_2017	8757.56	4208.62	4181.24	4068	4042.38	3907.75	3880(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-1649	-250	-1942	-769	0.09	29%	-1.58	-65.2	4.04%	0	-1.2	59	0
8	Mar_6_2017	8898.5	4248.76	4211.29	4184	4115	4020	3880(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2319	-210	-2738	-1063	0.09	29%	-1.58	-58.4	4.04%	0	-1.3	47	0
9	Mar_3_2017	9041.21	4289.89	4233.98	4256	4220.88	4177	4026(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-534	-100	-638	-221	0.1	26%	-1.58	-52.8	4.34%	0	-1	43	0
10	Mar_2_2017	9186.46	4331.74	4238.16	4308.4	4257.37	4210	4286(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-895	-110	-1062	-395	0.11	27%	-1.41	-44.8	4.33%	0	-0.2	44	0

11	Mar_1_2017	9317.96	4356.61	4207.78	4330	4319.12	4264.75	4268(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-626	-100	-740	-285	0.11	27%	-1.38	-40.9	4.33%	0	-0.3	40	0
12	Feb_28_2017	9448.71	4389.77	4159.6	4311.2	4359.5	4304.75	4460(5.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-408	-50	-473	-211	0.1	27%	-1.17	-40.6	4.41%	0	0.2	42	0
13	Feb_27_2017	9560.48	4415.11	4120.84	4246.8	4315.48	4373.5	4240(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-111	140	-116	-97	0.09	23%	-1.25	-48.9	4.35%	0	-0.5	38	0
14	Feb_24_2017	9681.83	4440.79	4130.83	4208.8	4264.98	4414.25	4288(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2060	290	2443	910	0.13	23%	-1.23	-61.4	4.35%	0	-0.4	39	0
15	Feb_23_2017	9802.06	4469.27	4149.09	4155.6	4172.86	4257.46	4394(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1684	150	2006	716	0.12	23%	-1.23	-77.5	4.38%	0	-0.2	37	0

16	Feb_22_2017	9924.42	4489.39	4173.48	4069.2	4117.61	4115.71	4174(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	764	30	930	265	0.09	19%	-1.27	-94.5	4.3%	0	-0.8	32	0
17	Feb_21_2017	10051.67	4533.12	4226.86	3984.4	4031.5	4088.25	4138(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-174	130	-168	-193	0.08	18%	-1.9	-107.6	4.31%	0	-1	28	0
18	Feb_17_2017	10246.62	4602.71	4279.26	3978	4003.63	4119.5	4050(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1332	220	1607	508	0.09	18%	-1.38	-92.9	4.35%	0	-1.1	24	0
19	Feb_16_2017	10390.43	4682.04	4343.83	4044.4	4010.75	3974.75	4022(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	370	-90	473	62	0.16	18%	-1.18	-82	4.38%	0	-1.2	34	0
20	Feb_15_2017	10514.23	4785.41	4429.93	4146	4085	3887.75	3962(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2664	-380	-3101	-1353	0.12	16%	-1.2	-74.1	4.37%	0	-1.4	30	0

21	Feb_14_2017	10642.25	4887.76	4518.71	4298.4	4269.38	4046.75	3750(-8.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3586	-390	-4192	-1767	0.1	12%	-1.39	-69.3	4.35%	0	-1.9	25	0
22	Feb_13_2017	10792.04	5004.96	4647.22	4501.2	4481.75	4282.25	4106(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2941	-320	-3441	-1439	0.09	13%	-1.17	-70.8	4.26%	0	-1.6	26	0
23	Feb_10_2017	10919.71	5105.64	4743.59	4618.8	4619.13	4492	4382(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2436	-190	-2849	-1198	0.07	14%	-1.1	-68.6	4.24%	0	-1.3	23	0
24	Feb_9_2017	11041.55	5191.06	4786.38	4683.6	4705.5	4681.25	4530(-4.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-816	-20	-939	-446	0.07	14%	-1.19	-69.4	4.31%	0	-1.2	23	0
25	Feb_8_2017	11174.23	5269.88	4823.88	4756.4	4731	4746.25	4724(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-44	10	-25	-100	0.09	14%		-70.2	4.32%	0	-0.9	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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