Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $20380.0000 (11.24%) ($18110.0000 - $20840.0000) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.65% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $20380.0000(11.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 6.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(8%)    SHY(5%)    IPO(3%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -3.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-25%)    VUG(-24%)    XLY(-23%)    XLK(-23%)    VYM(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.825% (StdDev 7.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $17748(14.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15974.09(27.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16130.82(26.34%)
To recent high   -18.6%
To recent low   54%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 10.67% (three month std-dev: 7.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.89%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	26654.09	16130.82	15974.09	17748	17777.51	18728.88	20380(11.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8769	380	10302	4171	0.06	67%	-1.98	25.8	7.65%	0	2.5	58	INF
2	Nov_2_2016	27192.17	15880.08	15376.04	16600	16761.26	17765.13	18320(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8580	450	10093	4040	0.06	65%	-2.06	1.2	7.54%	0	1.7	49	INF
3	Nov_1_2016	27765.2	15755.66	15033.69	15762	15793.08	16826.15	17570(5.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8911	460	10492	4168	0.07	65%	-2.17	-15.7	7.59%	0	1.4	52	INF
4	Oct_31_2016	28380.65	15683.07	14837.16	14938	14923.63	15757.4	16590(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7940	390	9357	3688	0.03	65%	-1.54	-33.6	7.56%	0	0.7	48	INF
5	Oct_28_2016	28823.73	15667.19	14872.33	14266	14231.18	14760	15880(8.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5397	250	6368	2483	0.06	65%	-1.22	-53.4	7.58%	0	0.2	55	INF

6	Oct_27_2016	29179.99	15699.81	15004.2	13936	13740.56	14089.86	14640(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1785	140	2120	781	0.03	63%	-1.18	-56.2	7.5%	0	-0.8	45	INF
7	Oct_26_2016	29529.58	15862.46	15313.93	13978	13856.18	13702.36	14130(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	782	-100	937	317	0.03	63%	-1.18	-51.7	7.5%	0	-1.3	43	INF
8	Oct_25_2016	29881.26	15967.27	15592.64	14204	14139.38	13391.25	13450(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5191	-380	-6092	-2486	0.03	63%	-1.18	-54.5	7.46%	0	-2	37	INF
9	Oct_24_2016	30237.32	16126.73	15945.56	14718	14620.63	14010	13230(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7512	-310	-8828	-3565	0.02	63%	-1.21	-60.7	7.45%	0	-2.3	34	INF
10	Oct_21_2016	30608.23	16385.12	16183.67	15554	15346.88	14887.5	14230(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4389	-250	-5158	-2081	0.03	63%	-0.54	-63.3	7.43%	0	-2.1	38	INF

11	Oct_20_2016	30775.36	16510.39	16377.08	16224	16048.75	15231.25	14850(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5080	-390	-5976	-2393	0.04	63%	-0.53	-78.8	7.46%	0	-1.8	40	INF
12	Oct_19_2016	30939.53	16589.34	16499.23	16848	16573.99	15806.25	15260(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-8472	-370	-9968	-3983	0.03	63%	-0.53	-97.8	7.48%	0	-1.6	35	INF
13	Oct_18_2016	31102.86	16699.85	16605.52	17178	17291.49	16866.25	16020(-7.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3113	-150	-3666	-1452	0.03	63%	-0.51	-90.9	7.46%	0	-0.6	53	INF
14	Oct_17_2016	31261.63	16911.9	16651.08	17338	17409.93	17341.73	17410(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1087	-10	-1284	-495	0.03	67%	-0.47	-82.9	7.42%	0	0.4	57	INF
15	Oct_14_2016	31408.99	17064.12	16547.05	16894	17104.3	17716.73	17580(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3026	290	3560	1423	0.04	67%	-0.47	-69.9	7.42%	0	0.3	47	INF

16	Oct_13_2016	31557.69	17260.26	16439.89	16556	16622.82	17478.13	17970(6.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7628	370	8977	3581	0.06	67%	-0.47	-64.1	7.41%	0	0.3	57	INF
17	Oct_12_2016	31705.38	17461.74	16408.62	16128	16050.94	16491.88	16910(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4793	180	5643	2243	0.04	67%	-0.51	-48.5	7.37%	0	-0.2	55	INF
18	Oct_11_2016	31867.96	17808.63	16318.7	15974	15872.51	15767.51	16820(10.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1043	-70	1234	469	0.05	67%	-0.52	-33.9	7.38%	0	-0.3	49	INF
19	Oct_10_2016	32035.16	18170.55	16268.48	15888	15831.88	15610.01	15190(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3130	-110	-3669	-1513	0.02	64%	-0.59	-25	7.23%	0	-1	33	INF
20	Oct_7_2016	32224.44	18393.7	16571.21	16140	16102.5	15977.5	15890(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1207	-60	-1406	-611	0.04	64%	-0.57	-21.1	7.35%	0	-0.9	33	INF

21	Oct_6_2016	32410.05	18715.25	16640.97	16292	16319.38	16053.75	15830(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1682	-110	-1959	-851	0.03	64%	-0.58	-16.2	7.35%	0	-1	31	INF
22	Oct_5_2016	32600.63	18798.08	16692.64	16726	16508.13	16227.5	16140(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3110	-160	-3635	-1536	0.03	64%	-0.58	-16.9	7.37%	0	-0.9	30	INF
23	Oct_4_2016	32792.03	18858.4	16818.51	16704	16805.41	16585	16390(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1180	-70	-1356	-650	0.05	64%	-0.59	-21.7	7.39%	0	-0.9	27	INF
24	Oct_3_2016	32985	18927.51	17206.57	16702	16799.78	16788.75	16450(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1856	10	-2148	-978	0.03	64%	-0.59	-25.9	7.45%	0	-0.9	27	INF
25	Sep_30_2016	33181.84	19037.19	17627.78	17068	16936.66	17025.81	16650(-7.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	131	10	185	-33	0.04	64%		-27	7.47%	0	-0.9	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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