Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $16910.0000 (0.54%) ($16100.0000 - $17300.0000) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.37% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $16910.0000(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(8%)    SHY(5%)    IPO(3%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -3.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-25%)    VUG(-24%)    XLY(-23%)    XLK(-23%)    VYM(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.685% (StdDev 7.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $17461.74
5 Day Moving Average   $16128(4.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16408.62(3.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17461.74(-3.16%)
To recent high   -51.7%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 14.67% (three month std-dev: 7.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.49%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.87%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2016	31705.38	17461.74	16408.62	16128	16050.94	16491.88	16910(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4793	180	5643	2243	0.04	67%	-0.51	-48.5	7.37%	0	-0.2	55	0
2	Oct_11_2016	31867.96	17808.63	16318.7	15974	15872.51	15767.51	16820(10.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1043	-70	1234	469	0.05	67%	-0.52	-33.9	7.38%	0	-0.3	49	0
3	Oct_10_2016	32035.16	18170.55	16268.48	15888	15831.88	15610.01	15190(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3130	-110	-3669	-1513	0.02	64%	-0.59	-25	7.23%	0	-1	33	0
4	Oct_7_2016	32224.44	18393.7	16571.21	16140	16102.5	15977.5	15890(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1207	-60	-1406	-611	0.04	64%	-0.57	-21.1	7.35%	0	-0.9	33	0
5	Oct_6_2016	32410.05	18715.25	16640.97	16292	16319.38	16053.75	15830(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1682	-110	-1959	-851	0.03	64%	-0.58	-16.2	7.35%	0	-1	31	0

6	Oct_5_2016	32600.63	18798.08	16692.64	16726	16508.13	16227.5	16140(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3110	-160	-3635	-1536	0.03	64%	-0.58	-16.9	7.37%	0	-0.9	30	0
7	Oct_4_2016	32792.03	18858.4	16818.51	16704	16805.41	16585	16390(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1180	-70	-1356	-650	0.05	64%	-0.59	-21.7	7.39%	0	-0.9	27	0
8	Oct_3_2016	32985	18927.51	17206.57	16702	16799.78	16788.75	16450(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1856	10	-2148	-978	0.03	64%	-0.59	-25.9	7.45%	0	-0.9	27	0
9	Sep_30_2016	33181.84	19037.19	17627.78	17068	16936.66	17025.81	16650(-7.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	131	10	185	-33	0.04	64%	-0.6	-27	7.47%	0	-0.9	48	0
10	Sep_29_2016	33381.02	19197.57	18140.04	17036	17249.16	16810.81	18000(12.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	496	-140	615	138	0.07	68%	-0.56	-29.7	7.46%	0	-0.4	44	0

11	Sep_28_2016	33568.6	19294.11	18562.48	16676	17036.56	16847.5	16030(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4916	-10	-5754	-2401	0.03	53%	-0.64	-34.7	7.37%	0	-1.2	55	0
12	Sep_27_2016	33785.12	19492.65	19384.42	16950	17049.06	17687.5	16380(-10.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1289	280	1535	549	0.03	53%	-0.64	-34.2	7.8%	0	-1.2	56	0
13	Sep_26_2016	34002.69	19688.88	20197.45	17792	17416.56	17225.63	18280(10.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2500	-140	2948	1154	0.04	58%	-0.58	-27.1	7.73%	0	-0.6	58	0
14	Sep_23_2016	34201.71	19818.67	20344.37	18322	18013.44	16410.63	16490(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8291	-670	-9751	-3909	0.03	59%	-0.66	-20.1	9.49%	0	-1.3	52	0
15	Sep_22_2016	34428.78	20042.59	20966.53	19440	19099.38	17607.5	16200(-6.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13076	-600	-15389	-6138	0.03	59%	-0.68	-6.7	9.74%	0	-1.6	48	0

16	Sep_21_2016	34665.52	20285.01	21139.52	20726	20743.75	19616.25	17400(-15.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-7385	-380	-8698	-3447	0.05	59%	-0.65	9.8	9.78%	0	-1.3	50	0
17	Sep_20_2016	34892.69	20424.44	21167.89	22146	21950	20591.25	20590(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7998	-460	-9424	-3718	0.03	60%	-0.54	26.2	9.62%	0	0.1	57	0
18	Sep_19_2016	35083.4	20391.68	20882.44	22954	22836.13	21871.25	20930(-5.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7825	-310	-9223	-3629	0.03	60%	-0.54	37.5	9.76%	0	0.3	56	0
19	Sep_16_2016	35274.66	20332.41	20639.05	22648	23441.76	23308.75	22080(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-939	70	-1119	-399	0.05	60%	-0.51	31.4	9.75%	0	0.8	56	0
20	Sep_15_2016	35455.41	20202.05	20383.47	22716	22984.88	23801.01	22630(-7.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3147	280	3688	1523	0.04	60%	-0.5	29.8	9.76%	0	1.2	58	0

21	Sep_14_2016	35633.54	20070.96	20080.68	21576	22165.51	23574.76	24500(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	10747	530	12636	5080	0.06	60%	-0.44	12.3	9.73%	0	2.2	61	0
22	Sep_13_2016	35790.35	19885.26	19544.15	20036	20415.63	22168.75	24630(26.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	10181	660	11978	4789	0.09	66%	-0.44	-7.6	9.73%	0	2.7	64	0
23	Sep_12_2016	35949.78	19627.52	19013.03	18570	18890.31	20756.25	19400(-13.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11251	740	13244	5270	0.07	60%	-0.66	-41.4	9.87%	0	-0.2	52	0
24	Sep_9_2016	36189.63	19688.62	19133.63	18344	18023.44	18662.5	22420(32.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	8039	200	9466	3758	0.08	70%	-0.56	-49.5	10.04%	0	2	62	0
25	Sep_8_2016	36392.13	19599.82	18904.44	17786	17587.81	17024.38	16930(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3701	-260	-4343	-1776	0.02	63%		-73.1	9.15%	0	-2.1	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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