Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $20930.0000 (-5.21%) ($19700.0000 - $21790.0000) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.76% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $20930.0000(-5.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY advances 9.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(8%)    SHY(5%)    UUP(3%)    UNG(1%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -4.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-26%)    VUG(-24%)    XLY(-23%)    XLK(-23%)    VYM(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.88% (StdDev 9.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $22954(-8.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20882.44(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20391.68(2.64%)
To recent high   -72.1%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 10.37% (three month std-dev: 9.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 12.85%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 10.04%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2016	35083.4	20391.68	20882.44	22954	22836.13	21871.25	20930(-5.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7825	-310	-9223	-3629	0.03	60%	-0.54	37.5	9.76%	0	0.3	56	0
2	Sep_16_2016	35274.66	20332.41	20639.05	22648	23441.76	23308.75	22080(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-939	70	-1119	-399	0.05	60%	-0.51	31.4	9.75%	0	0.8	56	0
3	Sep_15_2016	35455.41	20202.05	20383.47	22716	22984.88	23801.01	22630(-7.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3147	280	3688	1523	0.04	60%	-0.5	29.8	9.76%	0	1.2	58	0
4	Sep_14_2016	35633.54	20070.96	20080.68	21576	22165.51	23574.76	24500(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	10747	530	12636	5080	0.06	60%	-0.44	12.3	9.73%	0	2.2	61	0
5	Sep_13_2016	35790.35	19885.26	19544.15	20036	20415.63	22168.75	24630(26.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	10181	660	11978	4789	0.09	66%	-0.44	-7.6	9.73%	0	2.7	64	0

6	Sep_12_2016	35949.78	19627.52	19013.03	18570	18890.31	20756.25	19400(-13.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11251	740	13244	5270	0.07	60%	-0.66	-41.4	9.87%	0	-0.2	52	0
7	Sep_9_2016	36189.63	19688.62	19133.63	18344	18023.44	18662.5	22420(32.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	8039	200	9466	3758	0.08	70%	-0.56	-49.5	10.04%	0	2	62	0
8	Sep_8_2016	36392.13	19599.82	18904.44	17786	17587.81	17024.38	16930(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3701	-260	-4343	-1776	0.02	63%	-0.79	-73.1	9.15%	0	-2.1	30	0
9	Sep_7_2016	36682.61	19826.48	19286.77	18370	18310.31	17384.38	16800(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-5632	-360	-6618	-2675	0.02	63%	-0.81	-81.2	9.15%	0	-2.6	25	0
10	Sep_6_2016	36983.86	20019.41	19614.4	18940	19048.76	18151.25	17300(-5.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-6534	-310	-7681	-3094	0.03	62%	-0.81	-112.6	9.15%	0	-2.9	22	0

11	Sep_2_2016	37286.69	20217.29	19901.6	19478	19581.26	19236.25	18270(-6.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-4480	-110	-5266	-2120	0.03	62%	-0.79	-133.7	9.14%	0	-2.4	41	0
12	Sep_1_2016	37583.83	20407.44	20071.41	19990	20000.63	19946.26	19630(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-460	-20	-539	-223	0.03	62%	-0.75	-115.1	9.18%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	Aug_31_2016	37868.81	20597.14	20079.41	20198	20198.13	19926.26	19850(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1223	-90	-1437	-582	0.03	62%	-0.76	-91.1	9.25%	0	-0.6	42	0
14	Aug_30_2016	38159.43	20838.1	20125.78	20362	20426.25	20055	19650(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2297	-120	-2700	-1088	0.02	62%	-0.79	-75	9.32%	0	-0.7	39	0
15	Aug_29_2016	38462.87	21149.92	20298.31	20394	20573.13	20470	19990(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1070	-10	-1257	-507	0.02	62%	-0.79	-78.5	9.4%	0	-0.6	49	0

16	Aug_26_2016	38770.75	21362.32	20309.63	20378	20421.25	20797.5	20830(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	950	140	1120	441	0.07	62%	-0.78	-84.6	9.47%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Aug_25_2016	39074.83	21571.47	20286.37	20162	20270.62	20676.25	20670(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3469	160	4085	1619	0.03	62%	-0.81	-84.2	9.55%	0	-0.4	42	0
18	Aug_24_2016	39392.15	21876.62	20316.81	19950	20023.12	20045	20670(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	993	20	1175	445	0.03	62%	-0.83	-82.8	9.63%	0	-0.5	35	0
19	Aug_23_2016	39720.61	22230.61	20368.02	19878	19946.24	19864.99	19810(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1502	-20	-1757	-738	0.02	62%	-0.89	-76.1	9.69%	0	-0.8	26	0
20	Aug_22_2016	40076.16	22698.53	20429.65	20206	20285.62	20001.24	19910(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-869	-90	-1009	-449	0.03	62%	-0.91	-70.2	9.78%	0	-0.8	24	0

21	Aug_19_2016	40442.81	23191.8	20543.43	20232	20570.63	20027.5	19750(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2474	-130	-2895	-1211	0.02	62%	-0.94	-68	9.86%	0	-1	34	0
22	Aug_18_2016	40826.01	23713.11	20766.91	20422	20617.44	20570	19610(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2892	10	-3385	-1411	0.02	62%	-0.97	-65.3	9.95%	0	-1.1	31	0
23	Aug_17_2016	41226.32	24317.53	21158.8	20720	20833.06	21113.75	20310(-5.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1977	110	2344	877	0.03	62%	-0.97	-65	10.04%	0	-1	29	0
24	Aug_16_2016	41628.55	24815.93	21604.6	20922	20795.94	20664.88	21450(7.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	650	-60	783	249	0.02	62%	-0.94	-65.3	10.13%	0	-0.8	29	0
25	Aug_15_2016	42024.21	25329.95	22047.46	20702	20719.69	20552.38	20040(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-1719	-50	-2001	-873	0.02	62%		-67.5	10.16%	0	-1.2	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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