Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $23670.0000 (-5.47%) ($23320.0000 - $24920.0000) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.86% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $23670.0000(-5.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY declines -2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -11.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(7%)    SHY(5%)    UUP(3%)    IPO(1%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -5.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-26%)    XLK(-24%)    VUG(-24%)    XLY(-23%)    VYM(-23%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.43% (StdDev 10.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

Resistance Level   $30086.02
5 Day Moving Average   $24960(-5.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26921.85(-12.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30086.02(-21.33%)
To recent high   -69.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.12%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.12% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 15% (three month std-dev: 10.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.38%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 16.16%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -6.92%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 8.35%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -18.21%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	45378.5	30086.02	26921.85	24960	25145.63	24961.25	23670(-5.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4945	-30	-5799	-2384	0.03	62%	-1.1	-91.1	10.86%	0	-1.4	22	0
2	Aug_3_2016	45883.35	30962.01	27751.52	25674	25674.38	25902.5	25040(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	989	60	1181	413	0.02	62%	-1.07	-87.1	10.97%	0	-1.2	23	0
3	Aug_2_2016	46379.62	31854.25	28297.36	26316	26195	25330	26310(7.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2098	-240	-2451	-1039	0.05	62%	-1.04	-84.7	11.09%	0	-1	25	0
4	Aug_1_2016	46869.12	32790.78	28860.96	26980	26905.63	25446.25	24430(-3.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-9305	-390	-10930	-4429	0.03	62%	-1.18	-100.5	11.14%	0	-1.5	12	0
5	Jul_29_2016	47430.1	33773.8	29661.76	28134	28271.88	27060	25350(-6.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-7427	-290	-8722	-3541	0.02	62%	-1.18	-112.4	11.27%	0	-1.5	12	0

6	Jul_28_2016	47996.26	34846.21	30489.16	29164	29371.25	28365	27240(-3.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-5916	-220	-6946	-2826	0.02	62%	-1.13	-107.5	11.38%	0	-1.3	14	0
7	Jul_27_2016	48542.47	35972.88	31145.04	30126	30139.38	29483.75	28250(-4.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4752	-150	-5576	-2279	0.03	62%	-1.12	-103.2	11.53%	0	-1.2	11	0
8	Jul_26_2016	49090.92	37355.85	31719.93	30556	30791.88	30377.5	29630(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1795	-70	-2095	-895	0.02	62%	-1.09	-89.4	11.67%	0	-1	10	0
9	Jul_25_2016	49631.5	39413.93	32251.68	31039.2	30910	30795	30200(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-2362	-40	-2760	-1169	0.02	62%	-1.11	-60.2	11.83%	0	-0.9	10	0
10	Jul_22_2016	50186.69	41524.92	32880.03	31439.2	31312.25	31206.25	30500(-4.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-381	-40	-428	-240	0.01	62%	-1.14	-49	12%	0	-0.9	16	0

11	Jul_21_2016	50765.71	42616.85	33484.41	32029.2	31784.13	31025	32050(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2634	-190	-3076	-1306	0.01	62%	-1.1	-53.6	12.16%	0	-0.8	15	0
12	Jul_20_2016	51332.85	44197.86	34379.02	32359.2	32374.75	31418.25	30400(-5.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-5317	-210	-6231	-2573	0.01	62%	-1.26	-54	12.3%	0	-1	7	0
13	Jul_19_2016	51987	45698.9	35646.26	33059.2	33052.88	32543.25	32046(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-3787	-110	-4430	-1858	0.01	62%	-1.22	-57.3	12.48%	0	-1	6	0
14	Jul_18_2016	52630.26	47097.61	36969.09	33650	33581.25	33331.25	32200(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1992	-60	-2313	-1027	0.01	62%	-1.28	-62.3	12.68%	0	-1.1	4	0
15	Jul_15_2016	53311.27	48944.02	38165.56	34540	34171.88	33562.5	33450(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1999	-160	-2318	-1043	0.01	62%	-1.27	-58.4	12.89%	0	-1.2	4	0

16	Jul_14_2016	53996.14	50745.8	39509.73	35170	34718.75	33831.25	33700(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5271	-220	-6168	-2580	0.01	62%	-1.32	-53.4	13.11%	0	-1.3	40	0
17	Jul_13_2016	54721	52730.44	41153.35	36750	35828.13	34781.25	33900(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6553	-280	-7676	-3182	0.01	62%	-1.39	-45	13.35%	0	-1.4	35	0
18	Jul_12_2016	55492.15	54788.64	43415.1	38660	37865.63	35606.25	35000(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8879	-480	-10415	-4269	0.01	62%	-1.4	-35.6	13.6%	0	-1.4	39	0
19	Jul_11_2016	56280.31	56962.58	47086.96	40819.2	40469.09	36875	36650(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14882	-650	-17484	-7076	0.01	62%	-1.38	-23.8	13.85%	0	-1.5	40	0
20	Jul_8_2016	57065.52	58260.9	50780.36	42339.2	43121.97	40125	36600(-12.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15247	-430	-17917	-7236	0.01	62%	-1.47	-19.4	14.13%	0	-1.7	36	0

21	Jul_7_2016	57918.25	59158.8	52495.51	44449.2	44993.84	44063.19	41600(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8750	-110	-10273	-4180	0.01	62%	-1.21	0	14.22%	0	-1.5	39	0
22	Jul_6_2016	58627.74	59700.7	54819.1	46219.2	46434.47	46118.94	43450(-5.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1963	-30	-2290	-983	0.01	62%	-1.16	0	14.51%	0	-1.4	38	0
23	Jul_5_2016	59317.64	60129.99	56603.26	48959.2	47862.25	45924.5	45796(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9070	-350	-10652	-4325	0.01	62%	-1.07	0	14.8%	0	-1.3	38	0
24	Jul_1_2016	59961.52	60420.4	58107.17	54520	51734.38	46750	44250(-6.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21578	-830	-25370	-10203	0.01	62%	-1.29	0	15.15%	0	-1.5	36	0
25	Jun_30_2016	60747.1	60854.62	60702.98	60660	59456.25	49800	47150(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28495	-1200	-33514	-13437	0.01	62%		0	15.47%	0	-1.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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