Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 20, 2022

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $81.6500 (1.33%) ($80.2550 - $81.8400) on Fri. May. 20, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $81.6500(1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(69%)    XOP(68%)    OIH(45%)    URA(36%)    VFMO(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-24%)    TLT(-14%)    VXX(-11%)    BNDX(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.15(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.66(2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.91(3.47%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(60%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -3.1%(45%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 1.46%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.78%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2022	70.83	78.91		81.15	80.91	80.48	81.65(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-50	4	20	3.09	60%	0.38	37.7	3.62%	1.2	1.1	56	2
2	May_19_2022	70.56	78.64	79.66	81.07	81.11	80.11	80.58(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-80	-17	21	4.13	60%	0.37	32.2	3.65%	0.1	0.8	57	1.7
3	May_18_2022	70.3	78.5	79.63	80.8	81.39	81.33	79.29(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	20	-6	27	3.86	60%	0.36	29	3.67%	-1.8	0.3	53	2
4	May_17_2022	70.05	78.4	79.72	80.58	80.96	82.12	81.11(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	110	27	46	4.04	60%	0.39	28.7	3.66%	-0.8	1.2	59	1.8
5	May_16_2022	69.78	78.18	79.29	79.27	79.94	81.44	83.11(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	43	160	45	38	4.8	60%	0.2	22.3	3.64%	1.4	2.2	62	2.4

6	May_13_2022	69.64	78.01	78.78	77.96	78.37	79.79	81.28(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	140	23	22	4.17	58%	0.42	20.9	3.61%	1.5	1.6	63	1.6
7	May_12_2022	69.35	77.89	78.35	78.13	77.71	78.43	79.23(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	50	13	22	4.32	58%	0.39	40.2	3.63%	0.9	0.7	56	1.6
8	May_11_2022	69.08	77.84	78.23	78.38	78.43	76.94	78.18(4.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-130	-10	16	4.59	59%	0.41	57.5	3.65%	0.8	0.2	51	1.8
9	May_10_2022	68.8	77.74	78.07	78.79	79.18	76.99	74.53(-2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-38	-180	-52	3	5.73	57%	0.36	65.9	3.62%	-1.3	-1.6	46	2.4
10	May_9_2022	68.55	77.68	78.32	79.22	80.17	79.92	76.57(-6.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	10	-20	21	5.61	57%	0.4	55.7	3.6%	-1.8	-0.5	51	2

11	May_6_2022	68.28	77.58	78.18	79.58	79.84	81.36	82.13(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	140	32	37	5.67	61%	0.46	57.7	3.44%	1.3	2	52	1.4
12	May_5_2022	67.97	77.12	77.57	78.59	78.61	80.41	80.48(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	160	40	21	5.97	61%	0.44	45.5	3.46%	0.8	1.5	51	1.7
13	May_4_2022	67.67	76.75	77.29	78.11	77.88	78.31	80.22(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	30	33	12	5.39	61%	0.45	29.6	3.49%	1.7	1.5	53	1
14	May_3_2022	67.37	76.75	76.96	77.34	77.22	76.82	76.69(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-40	-6	-11	2.99	59%	0.39	18.6	3.45%	-0.7	0.1	53	-0.9
15	May_2_2022	67.11	76.47	76.98	77.29	76.94	77.45	78.38(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	30	5	2	4.46	59%	0.4	23.2	3.44%	0.3	0.9	66	-0.1

16	Apr_29_2022	66.84	76.26	77.13	76.54	76.69	77.63	77.16(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	90	29	15	6.09	59%	0.41	-0.4	3.38%	-0.1	0.4	58	0.2
17	Apr_28_2022	66.57	76.12	77.35	76.37	75.55	76.43	78.08(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	50	11	19	6.85	59%	0.41	-14	3.41%	1.8	0.9	62	0.8
18	Apr_27_2022	66.3	76.09	77.36	76.38	75.46	75.76	76.37(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10	9	30	4.51	59%	0.38	-22.5	3.4%	1	0.1	60	0.4
19	Apr_26_2022	66.05	76.07	77.35	76.56	76.08	74.67	76.46(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-150	-11	27	7.34	59%	0.41	-25.3	3.4%	0.6	0.2	55	1.4
20	Apr_25_2022	65.78	75.98	77.35	76.64	76.4	75.16	74.65(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-38	-120	-51	3	5.06	59%	0.41	-34.4	3.39%	-0.6	-0.6	46	1.9

21	Apr_22_2022	65.51	76.27	77	77.79	77.34	77.48	76.31(-2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-0	-16	34	3.65	59%	0.44	-7.3	3.35%	-1.4	0	56	1.1
22	Apr_21_2022	65.22	76.42	76.73	78.44	78.33	77.63	78.12(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-70	5	50	4.8	59%	0.49	10.9	3.36%	0.8	0.7	60	1.3
23	Apr_20_2022	64.9	76.57	76.24	78.5	78.44	77.2	77.24(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-110	-26	29	5.04	59%	0.48	32.8	3.36%	-0.5	0.2	48	0.7
24	Apr_19_2022	64.59	76.63	75.99	78.25	78.55	79.03	76.86(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	9	50	1	34	7.55	59%	0.42	46.6	3.36%	-1.2	0.1	52	0.8
25	Apr_18_2022	64.32	76.74	75.97	77.34	78.11	79.69	80.41(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	170	54	49	5.25	62%		47.7	3.31%	0.9	1.3	61	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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