Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 31, 2022

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $74.1200 (-4.86%) ($73.3400 - $76.8400) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.21% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $74.1200(-4.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(68%)    XOP(66%)    OIH(48%)    VFMO(35%)    URA(34%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-24%)    TLT(-13%)    VXX(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    BNDX(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.605% (StdDev 3.21%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $76.7
5 Day Moving Average   $76.69(-3.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.73(-4.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.7(-3.36%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   36.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.48% (three month std-dev: 3.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.4%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -7.4%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.91%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2022	61.97	76.7	77.73	76.69	75.78	76.51	74.12(-4.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	30	-15	46	10.71	62%	0.29	31	3.21%	-1.3	-0.6	49	-0.9
2	Mar_30_2022	61.79	76.75	77.78	77.82	77.01	76.12	77.91(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-110	4	72	5.23	65%	0.34	48.4	3.15%	1	0.3	56	-0.7
3	Mar_29_2022	61.58	76.63	76.9	78.62	77.67	75.05	76.15(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-40	-270	-67	41	8.92	65%	0.31	63.6	3.14%	-0.4	-0.1	52	-0.9
4	Mar_28_2022	61.39	76.44	76.24	79.11	79.54	77.91	74.53(-7.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-36	-130	-53	16	8.9	65%	0.31	68.4	3.13%	-2	-0.4	39	-1.5
5	Mar_25_2022	61.2	76.14	76.12	80.11	80.23	80.29	80.74(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	10	-1	31	7.53	72%	0.44	71.4	2.94%	0	0.9	48	-0.9

6	Mar_24_2022	60.93	75.42	75.62	78.89	79.86	81.17	79.75(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	150	44	24	4.4	72%	0.41	64.1	2.96%	-0.5	0.8	51	-0.7
7	Mar_23_2022	60.68	74.77	75.02	77.67	78.29	80.17	81.95(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	190	74	16	5.94	72%	0.41	58.4	2.95%	1.5	1.3	58	-0.8
8	Mar_22_2022	60.43	73.99	74.28	74.94	76.18	78.54	78.56(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	53	270	79	-24	4.16	70%	0.37	45.9	2.92%	0.6	0.8	55	-1
9	Mar_21_2022	60.21	73.36	74.8	72.95	73.89	76.41	79.54(6.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	56	280	81	-21	6.24	72%	0.38	35.1	2.91%	1.7	1.1	60	-1.2
10	Mar_18_2022	59.98	72.62	74.95	71.61	71.56	73.83	74.64(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	28	220	44	-22	4.43	69%	0.28	27.3	2.82%	1	0.4	61	0.2

11	Mar_17_2022	59.81	72.13	75.4	71.97	71.18	71.36	73.68(7.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-20	30	11	9.64	69%	0.3	28.4	2.85%	1.6	0.3	62	-0.9
12	Mar_16_2022	59.63	71.66	75.52	72.04	71.74	69.3	68.28(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-250	-63	-3	7.38	66%	0.17	27.4	2.71%	-1.1	-0.5	57	-0.6
13	Mar_15_2022	59.53	71.51	76.33	73.48	73.23	71	68.63(-5.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-78	-220	-113	28	13.52	66%	0.19	34.2	2.7%	-1.3	-0.5	57	-2.8
14	Mar_14_2022	59.42	71.44	76.79	76.84	75.24	74.18	72.84(-4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-27	-160	-79	128	9.44	72%	0.25	51.3	2.58%	-1.4	0.2	64	-1.8
15	Mar_11_2022	59.27	71.1	76.39	78.75	78.29	75.45	76.4(3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-270	-41	203	7.91	77%	0.34	60.8	2.49%	0.5	0.8	70	0.6

16	Mar_10_2022	59.07	70.48	75.43	79.36	79.76	76.3	74.06(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-29	-290	-106	204	11.7	76%	0.27	64.4	2.49%	-1	0.5	69	0.9
17	Mar_9_2022	58.91	70	74.76	79.45	80.45	81.14	75.47(-11.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	38	100	-35	255	29.75	72%	0.32	66.4	2.47%	-1.7	0.8	73	-0.8
18	Mar_8_2022	58.72	69.4	73.9	79.44	79.87	83.21	85.43(3.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	232	310	166	429	29.76	89%	0.5	68.1	1.95%	0.8	2.4	90	-1.2
19	Mar_7_2022	58.43	68.29	71.85	76.72	77.2	79.76	82.37(3.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	217	250	166	371	16.49	88%	0.45	69.4	1.91%	1.4	2.6	80	-1.6
20	Mar_4_2022	58.17	67.35	70.02	73.74	74.67	76.54	79.46(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	165	210	129	274	17.33	88%	0.41	70	1.95%	2.1	2.8	78	-1.2

21	Mar_3_2022	57.93	66.5	68.43	71.01	72	74.65	74.53(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	141	300	116	214	18.33	86%	0.31	69	1.82%	0.6	2.4	77	-0.8
22	Mar_2_2022	57.75	65.88	67.3	69.37	69.64	72.8	75.42(5.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	160	330	152	184	21.92	87%	0.35	65.9	1.81%	1.7	3.2	78	-1
23	Mar_1_2022	57.55	65.19	66.11	67.54	68.03	69.35	71.82(6.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	126	160	125	129	16.75	86%	0.3	74.4	1.75%	1.3	3.3	75	-1.8
24	Feb_28_2022	57.38	64.7	65.49	66.28	66.8	66.48	67.48(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10	9	56	8.88	73%	0.21	91.1	1.71%	0.5	2	60	-1
25	Feb_25_2022	57.26	64.42	65.29	65.73	66.47	66.72	65.8(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	60	1	32	8.8	54%		87.9	2.24%	-0.6	1	54	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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