Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 16, 2019

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $105.1200 (1.31%) ($104.6400 - $105.9200) on Thu. May. 16, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $105.1200(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(61%)    XLE(60%)    OIH(55%)    XME(38%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.2(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.11(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.88(0.23%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2019	96.08	104.88	103.11	103.2			105.12(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-32	2.46	53%	0.28	-30.8	1.35%	0	0.1	50	-0.9
2	May_15_2019	95.81	104.93	102.84	102.67			103.76(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	2	-70	2.75	53%	0.08	-38.2	1.35%	0	-0.4	37	-1.1
3	May_14_2019	95.73	105.08	103	102.54			102.96(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	3	-86	2.54	53%	0.31	-39.4	1.37%	0	-0.8	33	-1.3
4	May_13_2019	95.43	105.24	103.3	102.32			101.44(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-9	-113	4.85	50%	0.27	-45.1	1.37%	0	-1.5	27	-1.5
5	May_10_2019	95.17	105.51	103.74	102.94			102.72(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-1	-112	2.35	50%	0.27	-39.4	1.35%	0	-1.1	32	-1.4

6	May_9_2019	94.91	105.69	103.94	102.99			102.48(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-0	-118	2.4	50%	0.24	-35.1	1.36%	0	-1.4	42	-1.8
7	May_8_2019	94.68	105.94	104.5	103.01			103.12(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-7	-114	2.89	50%	0.28	-30.8	1.37%	0	-1.3	44	-2.1
8	May_7_2019	94.42	106.13	105.1	103.54			101.84(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-12	-98	3.74	50%	0.2	-20.3	1.37%	0	-2	39	-2.5
9	May_6_2019	94.23	106.42	105.94	104.43			104.56(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-61	4.74	55%	0.2	1.1	1.35%	0	-1	48	-2.5
10	May_3_2019	94.04	106.47	106.4	104.69			102.96(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-5	-45	3.27	53%	0.15	17.6	1.36%	0	-1.9	42	-3.1

11	May_2_2019	93.9	106.53	106.81	105.04			102.56(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-16	-40	5.29	53%	0.17	34.7	1.37%	0	-2.2	42	-4.6
12	May_1_2019	93.74	106.63	107.23	106.18			105.76(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-10	-17	3.22	60%	0.2	70.6	1.31%	0	-0.5	46	0.4
13	Apr_30_2019	93.55	106.57	107.38	106.91			106.32(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-10000	-11	1	2.1	60%	0.22	91.1	1.33%	0	-0.1	50	0.9
14	Apr_29_2019	93.34	106.4	107.36	107.71			105.84(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-10	16	2.93	60%	0.19	105.3	1.35%	0	-0.3	47	1
15	Apr_26_2019	93.16	106.14	107.45	108.42			104.72(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-10000	-5	38	5.27	60%	0.19	100	1.41%	0	-0.6	51	1.3

16	Apr_25_2019	92.98	105.89	107.64	108.78			108.24(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	6	64	2.2	70%	0.17	87.9	1.34%	0	0.8	68	0.9
17	Apr_24_2019	92.82	105.44	107.53	108.38			109.44(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	7	70	1.88	70%	0.23	74.6	1.33%	0	1.3	70	1.1
18	Apr_23_2019	92.61	104.96	107.24	107.89			110.32(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	12	72	2.32	70%	0.23	71.4	1.33%	0	1.6	73	1.6
19	Apr_22_2019	92.4	104.35	106.89	107.01			109.36(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	8	69	2.55	70%	0.33	62.8	1.33%	0	1.5	75	1.6
20	Apr_18_2019	92.1	103.77	106.46	106.42			106.56(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	19	-10000	1	74	1.55	65%	0.25	57.2	1.32%	0	0.8	76	1.9

21	Apr_17_2019	91.87	103.43	106.17	106.34			106.24(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	-3	89	1.93	65%	0.21	59.8	1.35%	0	0.8	78	1.8
22	Apr_16_2019	91.68	103.11	105.96	106.54			106.96(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-10000	1	118	1.68	65%	0.22	64.3	1.35%	0	1.1	81	2.1
23	Apr_15_2019	91.48	102.68	105.67	106.48			105.92(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10000	-4	135	1.98	71%	0.22	69.2	1.35%	0	0.9	73	2.1
24	Apr_12_2019	91.28	102.31	105.37	106.74			106.4(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	43	-10000	3	161	2.32	71%	0.18	76.4	1.4%	0	1.2	79	2.4
25	Apr_11_2019	91.12	101.87	104.76	106.5			106.16(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-10000	8	169	2.36	71%		81.3	1.41%	0	1.3	79	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.