Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $81.1200 (0.5%) ($79.6200 - $81.3600) on Wed. Aug. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $81.1200(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(62%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(56%)    XME(37%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.18(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.3(2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.3(4.94%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20170902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2017	79.6	77.3	79.3	81.18			81.12(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	4	103	3.38	37%	0	59.7	1.91%	0	1.3	66	0
2	Aug_1_2017	79.6	76.94	78.93	80.9			80.72(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	110	5.19	37%	-0.03	61.4	1.93%	0	1.4	68	0
3	Jul_31_2017	79.62	76.73	78.49	80.45			82.24(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	16	114	4.07	37%	0	70.7	1.93%	0	2.1	75	0
4	Jul_28_2017	79.62	76.39	77.81	79.2			81.36(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	38	-10000	18	99	4.16	37%	-0.04	76.5	1.93%	0	2.2	76	0
5	Jul_27_2017	79.65	75.99	77.31	77.87			80.48(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	10	82	3.37	37%	-0.06	75.9	1.92%	0	2.2	75	0

6	Jul_26_2017	79.7	75.63	76.82	77.15			79.68(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	6	70	4.86	37%	-0.13	85.2	1.92%	0	2.3	65	0
7	Jul_25_2017	79.8	75.27	76.3	76.72			78.48(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	6	65	3.45	37%	-0.15	91.6	1.91%	0	2	64	0
8	Jul_24_2017	79.92	74.92	75.86	76.29			76(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	1	44	2.47	33%	-0.19	79.4	1.87%	0	0.7	46	0
9	Jul_21_2017	80.07	74.68	75.59	76.21			74.72(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-6	29	4.85	32%	-0.19	63.1	1.86%	0	0	46	0
10	Jul_20_2017	80.22	74.48	75.43	76.61			76.88(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	40	2.57	34%	-0.19	55.3	1.84%	0	1.2	60	0

11	Jul_19_2017	80.37	74.13	75.18	76.38			77.52(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	8	41	3.2	32%	-0.17	40.3	1.84%	0	1.5	62	0
12	Jul_18_2017	80.51	73.83	74.81	75.81			76.32(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	6	31	3.37	32%	-0.2	23.4	1.89%	0	1.2	62	0
13	Jul_17_2017	80.67	73.65	74.84	75.38			75.6(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	7	43	3.13	32%	-0.2	11.6	1.88%	0	1	65	0
14	Jul_14_2017	80.83	73.55	74.86	74.86			76.72(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	11	53	3.1	32%	-0.2	0	1.87%	0	1.6	70	0
15	Jul_13_2017	80.99	73.37	74.54	74.08			75.76(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	4	46	2.57	32%	-0.18	-16.9	1.88%	0	1.3	70	0

16	Jul_12_2017	81.14	73.25	74.32	73.82			74.64(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	2	56	4.78	32%	-0.22	-26.4	1.87%	0	0.8	70	0
17	Jul_11_2017	81.32	73.33	74.15	73.7			74.16(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-8	56	3.08	32%	-0.1	-33.2	1.86%	0	0.4	59	0
18	Jul_10_2017	81.4	73.41	73.9	74.26			73.04(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-9	65	3.46	33%	-0.22	-29.5	1.85%	0	-0.2	51	0
19	Jul_7_2017	81.58	73.55	73.73	74.85			72.8(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-2	72	5.41	33%	-0.23	-27.1	1.87%	0	-0.4	47	0
20	Jul_6_2017	81.77	73.67	73.51	75.02			74.48(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	2	67	5.24	36%	-0.21	-33.1	1.85%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Jul_5_2017	81.94	73.72	73.06	74.85			74(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	3	47	8.52	36%	-0.33	-43.3	1.87%	0	0.1	50	0
22	Jul_3_2017	82.21	73.97	72.82	74.61			76.96(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	17	27	2.53	41%	-0.18	-41.9	1.81%	0	1.1	47	0
23	Jun_30_2017	82.36	74.01	72.36	73.5			76(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-10000	16	-14	4.08	43%	-0.18	-57.5	1.79%	0	0.7	47	0
24	Jun_29_2017	82.51	74.11	72.1	72.48			73.68(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	11	-53	3.91	42%	-0.19	-65.9	1.76%	0	-0.1	40	0
25	Jun_28_2017	82.67	74.37	72.04	71.79			73.6(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	12	-78	3.67	42%		-75.8	1.78%	0	-0.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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