Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $76.8800 (-0.83%) ($76.6400 - $78.2400) on Thu. Jul. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $76.8800(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(62%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(56%)    XME(37%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.61(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.43(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.48(3.22%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2017	80.22	74.48	75.43	76.61			76.88(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	40	2.57	34%	-0.19	55.3	1.84%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Jul_19_2017	80.37	74.13	75.18	76.38			77.52(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	8	41	3.2	32%	-0.17	40.3	1.84%	0	1.5	62	0
3	Jul_18_2017	80.51	73.83	74.81	75.81			76.32(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	6	31	3.37	32%	-0.2	23.4	1.89%	0	1.2	62	0
4	Jul_17_2017	80.67	73.65	74.84	75.38			75.6(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	7	43	3.13	32%	-0.2	11.6	1.88%	0	1	65	0
5	Jul_14_2017	80.83	73.55	74.86	74.86			76.72(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	11	53	3.1	32%	-0.2	0	1.87%	0	1.6	70	0

6	Jul_13_2017	80.99	73.37	74.54	74.08			75.76(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	4	46	2.57	32%	-0.18	-16.9	1.88%	0	1.3	70	0
7	Jul_12_2017	81.14	73.25	74.32	73.82			74.64(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	2	56	4.78	32%	-0.22	-26.4	1.87%	0	0.8	70	0
8	Jul_11_2017	81.32	73.33	74.15	73.7			74.16(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-8	56	3.08	32%	-0.1	-33.2	1.86%	0	0.4	59	0
9	Jul_10_2017	81.4	73.41	73.9	74.26			73.04(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-9	65	3.46	33%	-0.22	-29.5	1.85%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Jul_7_2017	81.58	73.55	73.73	74.85			72.8(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-2	72	5.41	33%	-0.23	-27.1	1.87%	0	-0.4	47	0

11	Jul_6_2017	81.77	73.67	73.51	75.02			74.48(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	2	67	5.24	36%	-0.21	-33.1	1.85%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Jul_5_2017	81.94	73.72	73.06	74.85			74(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	3	47	8.52	36%	-0.33	-43.3	1.87%	0	0.1	50	0
13	Jul_3_2017	82.21	73.97	72.82	74.61			76.96(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	17	27	2.53	41%	-0.18	-41.9	1.81%	0	1.1	47	0
14	Jun_30_2017	82.36	74.01	72.36	73.5			76(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-10000	16	-14	4.08	43%	-0.18	-57.5	1.79%	0	0.7	47	0
15	Jun_29_2017	82.51	74.11	72.1	72.48			73.68(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	11	-53	3.91	42%	-0.19	-65.9	1.76%	0	-0.1	40	0

16	Jun_28_2017	82.67	74.37	72.04	71.79			73.6(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	12	-78	3.67	42%	-0.21	-75.8	1.78%	0	-0.2	42	0
17	Jun_27_2017	82.84	74.65	72.03	71.01			72.8(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	4	-110	3.64	42%	-0.22	-81.8	1.78%	0	-0.5	38	0
18	Jun_26_2017	83.02	75.08	72.37	70.77			71.44(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10000	-5	-134	4.66	40%	-0.26	-86	1.76%	0	-1	23	0
19	Jun_23_2017	83.24	75.61	72.82	71.07			70.88(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-10	-140	3.88	40%	-0.25	-82.1	1.76%	0	-1.3	27	0
20	Jun_22_2017	83.45	76.09	73.32	71.68			70.24(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-10	-138	3.95	40%	-0.26	-82.1	1.76%	0	-1.6	24	0

21	Jun_21_2017	83.67	76.81	73.86	72.32			69.68(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-10000	-13	-141	7.65	39%	-0.26	-71.5	1.76%	0	-1.9	21	0
22	Jun_20_2017	83.89	77.58	74.49	73.15			71.6(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-16	-141	6.08	40%	-0.23	-62	1.74%	0	-1.6	23	0
23	Jun_19_2017	84.08	78.22	75.29	74.19			72.96(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-39	-10000	-10	-124	3.23	42%	-0.21	-52.6	1.73%	0	-1.4	21	0
24	Jun_16_2017	84.26	78.76	75.84	74.83			73.92(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-6	-124	2.68	42%	-0.22	-44.3	1.72%	0	-1.3	22	0
25	Jun_15_2017	84.45	79.18	76.33	75.23			73.44(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-6	-122	3.95	44%		-40.1	1.72%	0	-1.6	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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