Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $72.8000 (1.9%) ($71.8400 - $73.1200) on Tue. Jun. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $72.8000(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(62%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(56%)    XME(37%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $63.6(-12.64%)
Resistance Level   $74.65
5 Day Moving Average   $71.01(2.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.03(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.65(-2.48%)
To recent high   -18.5%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2017	82.84	74.65	72.03	71.01			72.8(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	4	-110	3.64	42%	-0.22	-81.8	1.78%	0	-0.5	38	0
2	Jun_26_2017	83.02	75.08	72.37	70.77			71.44(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10000	-5	-134	4.66	40%	-0.26	-86	1.76%	0	-1	23	0
3	Jun_23_2017	83.24	75.61	72.82	71.07			70.88(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-10	-140	3.88	40%	-0.25	-82.1	1.76%	0	-1.3	27	0
4	Jun_22_2017	83.45	76.09	73.32	71.68			70.24(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-10	-138	3.95	40%	-0.26	-82.1	1.76%	0	-1.6	24	0
5	Jun_21_2017	83.67	76.81	73.86	72.32			69.68(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-10000	-13	-141	7.65	39%	-0.26	-71.5	1.76%	0	-1.9	21	0

6	Jun_20_2017	83.89	77.58	74.49	73.15			71.6(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-16	-141	6.08	40%	-0.23	-62	1.74%	0	-1.6	23	0
7	Jun_19_2017	84.08	78.22	75.29	74.19			72.96(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-39	-10000	-10	-124	3.23	42%	-0.21	-52.6	1.73%	0	-1.4	21	0
8	Jun_16_2017	84.26	78.76	75.84	74.83			73.92(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-6	-124	2.68	42%	-0.22	-44.3	1.72%	0	-1.3	22	0
9	Jun_15_2017	84.45	79.18	76.33	75.23			73.44(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-6	-122	3.95	44%	-0.2	-40.1	1.72%	0	-1.6	30	0
10	Jun_14_2017	84.62	79.61	76.92	75.63			73.84(-3.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-38	-10000	-6	-134	7.59	44%	-0.21	-36.9	1.74%	0	-1.7	23	0

11	Jun_13_2017	84.8	79.99	77.52	76			76.8(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-45	-10000	-9	-154	3.25	47%	-0.16	-31.4	1.68%	0	-1.1	26	0
12	Jun_12_2017	84.94	80.23	78	76.59			76.16(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-7	-151	3.18	47%	-0.18	-21.3	1.67%	0	-1.4	28	0
13	Jun_9_2017	85.09	80.43	78.59	77.04			75.92(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-9	-148	3.2	45%	-0.16	-14.4	1.69%	0	-1.6	29	0
14	Jun_8_2017	85.23	80.65	79.04	77.63			75.44(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-10000	-12	-143	5.11	41%	-0.16	-2.8	1.7%	0	-2	35	0
15	Jun_7_2017	85.37	80.86	79.97	78.4			75.68(-5.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-11	-108	7.34	41%	-0.19	5.2	1.81%	0	-2.2	37	0

16	Jun_6_2017	85.53	80.96	80.92	79.2			79.76(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-6	-79	3.3	45%	-0.07	9.7	1.7%	0	-0.5	48	0
17	Jun_5_2017	85.59	80.86	81.36	79.63			78.4(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-11	-61	3.52	43%	-0.15	7.5	1.69%	0	-1	43	0
18	Jun_2_2017	85.72	80.84	81.91	80.4			78.88(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-4	-25	3.84	41%	-0.16	7.6	1.69%	0	-0.8	51	0
19	Jun_1_2017	85.86	80.72	82.27	80.69			79.28(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-16	-13	3.77	41%	-0.14	-0.6	1.71%	0	-0.5	53	0
20	May_31_2017	85.98	80.74	82.54	81.79			79.68(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-15	24	4.16	43%	-0.1	6.7	1.73%	0	-0.4	56	0

21	May_30_2017	86.07	80.73	82.71	82.88			81.92(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-7	72	1.99	44%	-0.2	12.2	1.7%	0	0.4	70	0
22	May_26_2017	86.24	80.69	82.68	83.36			82.24(2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-5	104	3.93	44%	-0.13	16.5	1.68%	0	0.6	67	0
23	May_25_2017	86.35	80.65	82.45	83.68			80.32(-5.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	28	-10000	-5	127	10.48	41%	-0.15	19.1	1.66%	0	-0.1	64	0
24	May_24_2017	86.48	80.73	82.43	84.03			84.8(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	10	174	4.15	46%	-0.08	18.6	1.54%	0	1.6	87	0
25	May_23_2017	86.55	80.56	81.84	83.38			85.12(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	-10000	13	159	3.28	46%		7.1	1.54%	0	1.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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