Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $82.0800 (0.69%) ($80.7200 - $82.4800) on Thu. May. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $82.0800(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(62%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(56%)    XME(37%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.09(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.62(3.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.17(2.38%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2017	86.76	80.17	79.62	81.09			82.08(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	51	2.66	43%	-0.14	-57.8	1.54%	0	0.9	48	0
2	May_17_2017	86.88	80.25	78.98	80.58			81.52(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	9	10	3.38	43%	-0.15	-67.9	1.55%	0	0.5	47	0
3	May_16_2017	87.01	80.39	78.74	80.05			80.88(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	-10000	14	-15	2.1	43%	-0.07	-67.8	1.55%	0	0.2	44	0
4	May_15_2017	87.07	80.71	78.55	79.18			81.36(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	13	-54	4.59	43%	-0.14	-67.9	1.55%	0	0.2	43	0
5	May_12_2017	87.19	81.03	78.47	78.38			79.6(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	8	-85	2.43	40%	-0.15	-72.3	1.51%	0	-0.4	41	0

6	May_11_2017	87.32	81.47	78.66	77.92			79.52(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	13	-99	2.42	40%	-0.14	-66.5	1.52%	0	-0.5	38	0
7	May_10_2017	87.44	81.91	78.86	77.15			78.88(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	-10000	-2	-138	4.17	40%	-0.17	-64.2	1.52%	0	-0.7	31	0
8	May_9_2017	87.59	82.42	79.15	77.26			76.56(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-47	-10000	-10	-156	2.55	35%	-0.18	-57.4	1.48%	0	-1.4	19	0
9	May_8_2017	87.75	83.05	79.78	77.82			77.36(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-10000	-13	-168	3.82	35%	-0.17	-50.1	1.48%	0	-1.3	16	0
10	May_5_2017	87.9	83.57	80.25	78.59			77.28(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-10000	-16	-179	4.45	35%	-0.17	-44.5	1.48%	0	-1.5	15	0

11	May_4_2017	88.05	84.08	80.79	79.52			75.68(-4.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-63	-10000	-21	-188	8.78	31%	-0.17	-38.9	1.46%	0	-2.2	6	0
12	May_3_2017	88.2	84.61	81.69	80.77			79.44(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-10000	-10	-185	4.57	36%	-0.17	-32.3	1.36%	0	-1.5	10	0
13	May_2_2017	88.35	84.95	82.24	81.3			79.36(-2.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-10000	-13	-194	5.52	36%	-0.16	-24	1.36%	0	-1.8	9	0
14	May_1_2017	88.49	85.23	83.11	82			81.2(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-10000	-3	-180	2.01	39%	-0.12	-13.5	1.33%	0	-1.4	12	0
15	Apr_28_2017	88.6	85.46	83.81	82.16			81.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-45	-10000	-2	-174	1.99	39%	-0.1	-5.4	1.33%	0	-1.3	26	0

16	Apr_27_2017	88.69	85.61	84.49	82.29			81.92(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-10000	-9	-165	4.25	39%	-0.08	3.7	1.34%	0	-1.4	32	0
17	Apr_26_2017	88.76	85.61	85.18	82.77			82.08(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-10	-138	3.35	39%	-0.1	12.7	1.35%	0	-1.5	41	0
18	Apr_25_2017	88.85	85.7	85.91	83.34			82.88(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-19	-109	2.96	39%	-0.09	19.4	1.37%	0	-1.1	42	0
19	Apr_24_2017	88.93	85.62	86.54	84.43			82(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-10000	-22	-62	3.48	39%	-0.11	26.4	1.36%	0	-1.3	46	0
20	Apr_21_2017	89.03	85.6	87.16	85.73			82.56(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-22	-14	4.83	39%	-0.1	35.7	1.35%	0	-1.1	44	0

21	Apr_20_2017	89.12	85.52	87.65	87.02			84.32(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-16	36	3.67	42%	-0.03	42.1	1.34%	0	-0.4	53	0
22	Apr_19_2017	89.15	85.38	87.83	87.94			84.96(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-15	75	6.31	42%	0.06	46.1	1.36%	0	-0.1	62	0
23	Apr_18_2017	89.1	85.2	87.95	88.82			88.32(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-10000	-3	137	1.81	44%	0.06	51.5	1.28%	0	0.9	83	0
24	Apr_17_2017	89.05	84.89	87.59	88.98			88.48(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-10000	3	166	1.86	44%	0.07	54	1.31%	0	1.1	85	0
25	Apr_13_2017	88.99	84.59	87.27	88.82			89.04(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	-10000	8	189	2.17	44%		56.1	1.31%	0	1.4	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.