Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $93.7600 (-0.26%) ($93.4400 - $94.4800) on Thu. Dec. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $93.7600(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(62%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(56%)    XME(37%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.15(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.6(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.92(2%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2016	86.89	91.92	92.6	93.15			93.76(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	23	2.01	54%	0.17	162.3	2.15%	0	1.3	62	0
2	Dec_28_2016	86.74	91.62	92.29	92.7			94(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	2	19	2.22	59%	0.16	139.5	2.16%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Dec_27_2016	86.6	90.98	92.23	92.5			93.84(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	4	26	1.77	56%	0.24	69.1	2.24%	0	1	60	0
4	Dec_23_2016	86.39	90.49	92.12	92.13			92.48(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	0	24	1.33	53%	0.16	54.9	2.27%	0	0.6	55	0
5	Dec_22_2016	86.25	90.02	92.02	92.11			91.68(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	1	24	2.28	53%	0.16	57.1	2.3%	0	0.5	50	0

6	Dec_21_2016	86.11	89.72	91.92	91.95			91.52(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	2	21	2.88	55%	0.2	59.1	2.31%	0	0.5	53	0
7	Dec_20_2016	85.94	89.41	91.68	91.76			92.96(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10000	-2	20	2.38	55%	0.21	59.8	2.33%	0	0.9	66	0
8	Dec_19_2016	85.76	89.06	91.41	91.94			92(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-2	49	2.4	55%	0.16	72	2.33%	0	0.8	76	0
9	Dec_16_2016	85.62	88.61	91.29	92.13			92.4(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	75	4.37	55%	0.18	76.4	2.33%	0	1	67	0
10	Dec_15_2016	85.47	88.05	91.22	91.95			90.88(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	1	98	4.57	55%	0.14	73.1	2.33%	0	0.7	67	0

11	Dec_14_2016	85.35	87.62	91.2	91.87			90.56(-3.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	3	115	5.1	53%	0.12	70.6	2.33%	0	0.7	60	0
12	Dec_13_2016	85.25	87.23	90.93	91.5			93.84(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	7	121	4.16	54%	0.15	70	2.31%	0	1.6	66	0
13	Dec_12_2016	85.12	86.49	89.66	90.8			92.96(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	95	6.61	54%	0.12	62.7	2.33%	0	1.5	62	0
14	Dec_9_2016	85.02	85.75	88.74	90.37			91.52(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10000	-1	91	4.11	51%	0.09	57.9	2.33%	0	1.3	66	0
15	Dec_8_2016	84.94	85.18	87.87	90.43			90.48(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	-0	98	4.09	54%	0.05	59.9	2.37%	0	1.2	67	0

16	Dec_7_2016	84.9	84.76	87.35	90.46			88.72(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	-10000	2	111	5.3	54%	0.04	63.1	2.41%	0	1	63	0
17	Dec_6_2016	84.87	84.35	86.98	90.21			90.32(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	-10000	19	123	3.79	54%	0.05	58.1	2.4%	0	1.5	64	0
18	Dec_5_2016	84.83	83.88	86.53	88.24			90.8(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	14	110	5.67	54%	0.04	43.4	2.4%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Dec_2_2016	84.8	83.31	85.69	86.78			91.84(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	-10000	18	101	4.77	54%	0.06	24.8	2.42%	0	2.4	73	0
20	Dec_1_2016	84.75	82.72	84.58	84.94			90.64(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	-10000	10	71	11.36	52%	0.06	-1.1	2.42%	0	2.7	66	0

21	Nov_30_2016	84.7	82.25	83.65	83.89			87.44(8.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-10000	5	52	13.78	47%	-0.02	-26.4	2.43%	0	2.2	58	0
22	Nov_29_2016	84.72	82.06	83.14	83.41			80.48(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	3	-10000	-12	49	8.37	40%	-0.06	-47.8	2.18%	0	-0.8	51	0
23	Nov_28_2016	84.77	82.25	83.07	84.54			83.52(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	2	72	7.27	43%	-0.04	-48.2	2.14%	0	0.6	55	0
24	Nov_25_2016	84.8	82.44	82.57	84.35			82.64(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	4	66	3.72	43%	-0.12	-50.5	2.14%	0	0.1	57	0
25	Nov_23_2016	84.9	82.75	82.36	84.03			85.36(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	8	62	3.27	43%		-45.5	2.11%	0	0.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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