Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $87.9200 (1.1%) ($87.1200 - $88.6100) on Fri. Jul. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $87.9200(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(63%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(57%)    XME(36%)    IVE(34%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $81.45(-7.36%)
Resistance Level   $90.62
5 Day Moving Average   $87.12(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.21(-0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.62(-2.98%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.71% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2016	86.8	90.62	88.21	87.12			87.92(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	3	-70	2.96	48%	0.21	-43.4	2.22%	0	-0.8	46	0
2	Jul_14_2016	86.62	90.71	88.64	86.86			86.96(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	-10000	1	-84	2.68	48%	0.21	-58.2	2.24%	0	-1.1	38	0
3	Jul_13_2016	86.44	90.96	89.34	86.78			86(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-10	-90	4.29	48%	0.22	-71.9	2.23%	0	-1.6	40	0
4	Jul_12_2016	86.25	91.37	89.94	87.71			89.52(5.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	0	-83	3.83	51%	0.21	-73.8	2.18%	0	-0.6	42	0
5	Jul_11_2016	86.07	91.6	89.95	87.7			85.2(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-10000	-19	-110	2.1	46%	0.21	-77.5	2.13%	0	-2.1	34	0

6	Jul_8_2016	85.89	92.11	90.6	89.5			86.64(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-12	-84	2.69	52%	0.2	-69.6	2.14%	0	-2	41	0
7	Jul_7_2016	85.72	92.68	91.52	90.69			86.56(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-15	-47	4.54	52%	0.2	-54.5	2.24%	0	-2.3	49	0
8	Jul_6_2016	85.55	93.32	92.29	92.24			90.64(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-2	-12	2.18	61%	0.29	-32.9	2.17%	0	-1	50	0
9	Jul_5_2016	85.3	93.67	92.73	92.46			89.44(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1	-10000	-0	-4	3.77	61%	0.27	-25.5	2.25%	0	-1.5	45	0
10	Jul_1_2016	85.07	94.03	93.33	92.48			94.24(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	6	2	2.57	62%	0.37	-26.9	2.16%	0	0.1	50	0

11	Jun_30_2016	84.76	94.04	93.23	91.87			92.56(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-18	2.76	62%	0.34	-35.3	2.2%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Jun_29_2016	84.47	94.16	92.93	92.53			94.32(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	1	-28	3.1	62%	0.36	-31.5	2.18%	0	0.1	43	0
13	Jun_28_2016	84.17	94.21	92.67	92.45			91.76(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-7	-53	2.92	60%	0.27	-31	2.18%	0	-1	36	0
14	Jun_27_2016	83.94	94.38	92.88	93.12			89.52(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-11	-56	3.23	58%	0.21	-21.2	2.16%	0	-1.9	36	0
15	Jun_24_2016	83.76	94.72	93.36	94.27			91.2(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-4	-41	4.1	58%	0.23	-6.2	2.17%	0	-1.5	42	0

16	Jun_23_2016	83.57	94.95	93.75	94.69			95.84(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	14	-28	2.37	59%	0.26	1.3	2.07%	0	0.4	53	0
17	Jun_22_2016	83.35	94.96	93.9	93.34			93.92(-1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	4	-46	3.26	59%	0.31	-10.6	2.13%	0	-0.5	49	0
18	Jun_21_2016	83.09	95	94.4	92.91			95.12(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	3	-44	2.73	59%	0.28	-17.8	2.12%	0	0.1	50	0
19	Jun_20_2016	82.86	94.92	94.62	92.66			95.28(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	2	-41	3.26	59%	0.22	-22.7	2.13%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Jun_17_2016	82.68	94.86	94.7	92.42			93.28(4.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-3	-47	4.37	57%	0.19	-19.6	2.11%	0	-0.7	45	0

21	Jun_16_2016	82.52	94.92	94.85	92.75			89.12(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-10000	-18	-52	3.88	57%	0.19	-10.1	2.08%	0	-2.7	34	0
22	Jun_15_2016	82.36	95.19	95.5	94.53			91.76(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-10000	-15	-25	2.92	61%	0.26	23.6	2.13%	0	-2	37	0
23	Jun_14_2016	82.15	95.39	95.92	96.06			93.84(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-10000	-8	5	1.98	64%	0.32	77	2.12%	0	-1	50	0
24	Jun_13_2016	81.89	95.42	96.06	96.85			94.08(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	3	-10000	-4	24	2.27	64%	0.24	119.4	2.16%	0	-0.9	55	0
25	Jun_10_2016	81.69	95.29	96.26	97.3			94.96(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	11	-10000	1	39	2.63	64%		119.1	2.16%	0	-0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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