Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $90.9600 (-0.7%) ($90.1600 - $91.4400) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $90.9600(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(63%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(57%)    XME(36%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.33(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.31(3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.37(4.11%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   36.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.17% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	78.37	87.37	88.31	89.33			90.96(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	6	22	1.9	69%	0.01	53.9	2.61%	0	1.3	66	0
2	May_12_2016	78.36	86.93	88.2	88.67			91.6(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	8	23	2.99	71%	0.01	52.1	2.62%	0	1.7	62	0
3	May_11_2016	78.35	86.53	87.96	87.79			90.72(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	8	20	3.67	71%	0.06	60.7	2.66%	0	1.7	61	0
4	May_10_2016	78.3	86.18	87.75	86.91			87.92(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	3	13	2.63	70%	0.04	70.3	2.64%	0	0.7	56	0
5	May_9_2016	78.27	86.04	87.62	86.51			85.44(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-5	11	2.77	63%	0	86.8	2.66%	0	-0.2	58	0

6	May_6_2016	78.27	85.9	87.58	87.1			87.68(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-5	26	3.3	63%	0.03	102.2	2.74%	0	0.7	69	0
7	May_5_2016	78.25	85.55	87.43	87.65			87.2(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-4	45	4.27	63%	-0.01	97.2	2.76%	0	0.5	66	0
8	May_4_2016	78.26	85.03	87.43	88.16			86.32(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-5	57	3.11	63%	-0.06	90.3	2.78%	0	0.3	57	0
9	May_3_2016	78.31	84.59	87.3	88.72			85.92(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-1	73	3.55	68%	-0.05	79.6	2.8%	0	0.3	56	0
10	May_2_2016	78.35	83.99	87.12	88.83			88.4(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	6	71	2.7	66%	0	66.6	2.98%	0	0.9	58	0

11	Apr_29_2016	78.35	83.24	86.45	88.03			90.4(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	6	57	4.35	61%	0	53.5	3.14%	0	1.4	70	0
12	Apr_28_2016	78.35	82.45	85.6	87.17			89.76(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	6	51	3.12	63%	-0.04	45.7	3.14%	0	1.5	73	0
13	Apr_27_2016	78.38	81.82	84.98	86.37			89.12(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	17	-10000	4	56	4.74	63%	-0.06	40.2	3.21%	0	1.6	78	0
14	Apr_26_2016	78.43	81.23	84.43	85.76			86.48(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	65	2.4	65%	-0.09	32.5	3.2%	0	1.2	73	0
15	Apr_25_2016	78.5	80.81	84.26	85.17			84.4(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	4	84	2.75	60%	-0.2	23.3	3.25%	0	0.9	76	0

16	Apr_22_2016	78.66	80.58	84.06	84.56			86.08(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	6	96	3.75	63%	-0.22	15.3	3.39%	0	1.3	81	0
17	Apr_21_2016	78.83	80.26	83.49	83.74			85.76(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	3	94	3.39	64%	-0.19	6	3.54%	0	1.4	73	0
18	Apr_20_2016	78.98	79.98	82.56	83.36			86.08(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	3	89	5.31	63%	-0.23	2.7	3.56%	0	1.6	64	0
19	Apr_19_2016	79.16	79.83	81.65	82.96			83.52(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-10000	-2	83	4.68	61%	-0.26	8	3.57%	0	1	61	0
20	Apr_18_2016	79.37	79.85	80.66	83.28			81.36(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-1	79	4.87	61%	-0.29	17.3	3.59%	0	0.4	56	0

21	Apr_15_2016	79.6	79.94	79.86	83.46			82(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	2	69	4.37	59%	0.03	21.1	3.62%	0	0.5	53	0
22	Apr_14_2016	79.58	80.02	79.14	83.1			83.84(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	10	57	3.97	59%	-0.3	22.8	3.66%	0	1	55	0
23	Apr_13_2016	79.82	79.88	78.47	81.55			84.08(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	10	33	5.37	59%	-0.3	12.4	3.66%	0	1.1	55	0
24	Apr_12_2016	80.06	79.54	77.78	80.1			85.12(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	17	7	7.08	59%	-0.25	2.5	3.66%	0	1.5	48	0
25	Apr_11_2016	80.26	79.21	77.01	77.68			82.24(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	14	-35	3.63	56%		-18.6	3.64%	0	0.9	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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