Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $74.4000 (1.64%) ($71.5200 - $74.8800) on Wed. Mar. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $74.4000(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(63%)    XLE(61%)    OIH(58%)    IWD(35%)    VYM(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.05(3.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.68(5.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.56(6.96%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.49% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2016	90.26	69.56	70.68	72.05			74.4(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	9	76	6.19	41%	-0.53	-7.8	3.55%	0	1.6	75	0
2	Mar_1_2016	90.74	69.25	70.22	70.91			73.2(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	9	73	5.95	41%	-0.57	-24.2	3.56%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Feb_29_2016	91.26	69.16	69.55	69.84			72(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	1	51	6.33	41%	-0.63	-29.4	3.52%	0	1	55	0
4	Feb_26_2016	91.84	69.36	69.01	69.7			70.24(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	40	7.35	40%	-0.65	-22.9	3.51%	0	0.3	47	0
5	Feb_25_2016	92.44	69.68	68.41	69.33			70.4(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	2	15	4.94	40%	-0.61	-12.3	3.54%	0	0.2	44	0

6	Feb_24_2016	93.01	69.81	67.76	69.1			68.72(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-3	-15	6.02	40%	-0.63	-5.1	3.52%	0	-0.3	38	0
7	Feb_23_2016	93.6	69.96	67.44	69.41			67.84(-4.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	2	-16	7.8	40%	-0.58	1.5	3.53%	0	-0.6	50	0
8	Feb_22_2016	94.15	70	67.55	69.14			71.28(4.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	8	-25	6.75	41%	-0.52	-2.7	3.49%	0	0.3	48	0
9	Feb_19_2016	94.64	70.12	67.46	68.21			68.4(-1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	8	-52	5.95	40%	-0.53	-8.9	3.44%	0	-0.4	38	0
10	Feb_18_2016	95.14	70.14	67.85	67.32			69.28(-1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	10	-74	6.92	40%	-0.52	-20	3.44%	0	-0.2	38	0

11	Feb_17_2016	95.64	70	68.31	66.2			70.24(5.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-15	-10000	9	-88	7.53	40%	-0.51	-35.1	3.44%	0	0.1	46	0
12	Feb_16_2016	96.13	69.9	68.12	65.24			66.48(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-10000	-5	-117	6.12	37%	-0.74	-47.8	3.35%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	Feb_12_2016	96.85	70.11	68.67	65.76			66.64(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-105	8.49	36%	-0.53	-54.4	3.36%	0	-0.9	50	0
14	Feb_11_2016	97.37	70.47	69.67	66.69			63.94(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-16	-91	12	34%	-0.54	-54.7	3.31%	0	-1.6	40	0
15	Feb_10_2016	97.9	70.94	71.03	68.5			63.68(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-19	-49	8.02	34%	-0.58	-56	3.31%	0	-2	48	0

16	Feb_9_2016	98.47	71.45	72.08	70.7			65.44(-5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	-10000	-5	3	7.23	34%	-0.58	-60.7	3.3%	0	-1.8	53	0
17	Feb_8_2016	99.04	71.9	72.8	71.33			69.12(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-5	22	4.79	35%	-0.49	-80.4	3.25%	0	-0.9	54	0
18	Feb_5_2016	99.53	72.35	72.81	71.94			71.28(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-10	25	4.36	35%	-0.52	-82.6	3.24%	0	-0.3	53	0
19	Feb_4_2016	100.05	72.71	73.1	73.12			72.96(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10000	-8	44	5.62	35%	-0.52	-77.6	3.24%	0	0.1	50	0
20	Feb_3_2016	100.57	73.07	72.7	74.05			74.72(8.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	53	9.03	37%	-0.43	-74	3.25%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Feb_2_2016	101	73.52	71.86	73.79			68.56(-4.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-6	32	5.55	32%	-0.47	-65.7	3.05%	0	-1	46	0
22	Feb_1_2016	101.48	74.44	71.88	74.43			72.16(-6.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	7	33	6.11	34%	-0.45	-56.4	3.01%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Jan_29_2016	101.94	75.18	71.7	73.66			77.2(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	6	1	5.9	36%	-0.43	-60.9	2.92%	0	0.4	47	0
24	Jan_28_2016	102.38	75.61	71.27	73.06			77.6(5.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	-10000	18	-18	8.27	40%	-0.39	-56.3	2.92%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Jan_27_2016	102.78	76.15	70.69	71.23			73.44(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	15	-68	8.93	36%		-56.3	2.95%	0	-0.4	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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