Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $73.4400 (2.34%) ($70.3200 - $75.4000) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $73.4400(2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(64%)    XLE(62%)    OIH(58%)    IVE(35%)    IWD(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

Resistance Level   $76.15
5 Day Moving Average   $71.23(3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.69(3.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.15(-3.56%)
To recent high   -39.9%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 9.09% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	102.78	76.15	70.69	71.23			73.44(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	15	-68	8.93	36%	-0.46	-56.3	2.95%	0	-0.4	39	0
2	Jan_26_2016	103.26	76.82	70.62	69.73			71.76(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	-10000	8	-124	6.43	36%	-0.32	-55.8	2.92%	0	-0.7	32	0
3	Jan_25_2016	103.59	77.71	70.8	68.96			68.32(-7.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-10000	-4	-179	6.93	33%	-0.52	-54.7	2.83%	0	-1.2	25	0
4	Jan_22_2016	104.13	78.79	71.77	69.36			74.16(8.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-50	-10000	1	-204	7.82	36%	-0.49	-53.7	2.69%	0	-0.6	28	0
5	Jan_21_2016	104.64	79.39	72.17	69.3			68.48(3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-10000	-10	-255	10.9	29%	-0.51	-54	2.43%	0	-1.3	16	0

6	Jan_20_2016	105.18	80.27	73.38	70.14			65.92(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-83	-10000	-18	-277	10.4	26%	-0.52	-54.2	2.36%	0	-1.8	6	0
7	Jan_19_2016	105.73	81.3	75.29	71.63			67.92(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-75	-10000	-14	-258	7.54	27%	-0.7	-56.6	2.35%	0	-1.8	16	0
8	Jan_15_2016	106.48	82.25	77.25	72.85			70.32(-4.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-77	-10000	-19	-249	11.6	28%	-0.39	-63	2.33%	0	-1.8	16	0
9	Jan_14_2016	106.9	83.18	79.01	74.46			73.84(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-10000	-13	-232	5.95	30%	-0.27	-66.5	2.28%	0	-1.6	19	0
10	Jan_13_2016	107.19	84.06	80.35	75.54			72.72(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-10000	-19	-218	12.57	30%	-0.28	-68.2	2.26%	0	-2	28	0

11	Jan_12_2016	107.49	84.93	82.09	77.17			73.36(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-10000	-26	-183	12.76	28%	-0.26	-70.3	2.26%	0	-2.2	32	0
12	Jan_11_2016	107.77	85.74	83.56	79.55			74(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-57	-10000	-29	-139	10.29	28%	-0.3	-78.8	2.3%	0	-2.6	32	0
13	Jan_8_2016	108.09	86.63	85.26	82.32			78.4(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-21	-83	5.59	34%	-0.28	-93.6	2.22%	0	-2.3	37	0
14	Jan_7_2016	108.39	87.35	86.46	84.24			79.2(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-17	-43	6.5	34%	-0.27	-102	2.27%	0	-2.6	35	0
15	Jan_6_2016	108.68	88.08	87.26	85.89			80.88(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-22	-10000	-19	-30	9.14	38%	-0.3	-119.4	2.27%	0	-2.7	32	0

16	Jan_5_2016	109.01	88.74	87.79	87.73			85.28(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-4	-4	4.02	41%	-0.24	-131.9	2.3%	0	-1.4	43	0
17	Jan_4_2016	109.27	89.42	87.85	88.16			87.84(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-6	4.53	43%	-0.26	-129.3	2.29%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Dec_31_2015	109.55	90.08	87.68	88.67			88(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-11	3.8	43%	-0.25	-78.2	2.3%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Dec_30_2015	109.83	90.64	87.66	89.09			87.44(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	3	-14	3.1	43%	-0.26	-75.6	2.3%	0	-0.7	40	0
20	Dec_29_2015	110.12	91.4	88	88.83			90.08(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	10	-22	2.95	45%	-0.27	-68.6	2.28%	0	-0.2	42	0

21	Dec_28_2015	110.42	92.01	87.88	87.87			87.44(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	4	-53	2.56	42%	-0.34	-67	2.25%	0	-0.8	35	0
22	Dec_24_2015	110.8	92.82	88	87.44			90.4(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	9	-88	2.38	45%	-0.27	-64.7	2.23%	0	-0.4	30	0
23	Dec_23_2015	111.1	93.6	87.99	86.54			90.08(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-31	-10000	4	-135	4.92	42%	-0.29	-61.1	2.23%	0	-0.5	26	0
24	Dec_22_2015	111.42	94.38	88.17	86.11			86.16(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-10000	-11	-173	2.74	37%	-0.31	-58.2	2.17%	0	-1.1	23	0
25	Dec_21_2015	111.77	95.28	88.87	87.12			85.28(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-52	-10000	-8	-184	3.32	41%		-57.3	2.16%	0	-1.3	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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