Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $73.8400 (1.54%) ($72.3200 - $74.7200) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $73.8400(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(64%)    XLE(62%)    OIH(58%)    IWD(36%)    VYM(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $63.23(-14.37%)
Resistance Level   $83.18
5 Day Moving Average   $74.46(-0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.01(-6.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.18(-11.23%)
To recent high   -39.6%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 7.19% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2016	106.9	83.18	79.01	74.46			73.84(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-10000	-13	-232	5.95	30%	-0.27	-66.5	2.28%	0	-1.6	19	0
2	Jan_13_2016	107.19	84.06	80.35	75.54			72.72(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-10000	-19	-218	12.57	30%	-0.28	-68.2	2.26%	0	-2	28	0
3	Jan_12_2016	107.49	84.93	82.09	77.17			73.36(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-10000	-26	-183	12.76	28%	-0.26	-70.3	2.26%	0	-2.2	32	0
4	Jan_11_2016	107.77	85.74	83.56	79.55			74(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-57	-10000	-29	-139	10.29	28%	-0.3	-78.8	2.3%	0	-2.6	32	0
5	Jan_8_2016	108.09	86.63	85.26	82.32			78.4(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-21	-83	5.59	34%	-0.28	-93.6	2.22%	0	-2.3	37	0

6	Jan_7_2016	108.39	87.35	86.46	84.24			79.2(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-17	-43	6.5	34%	-0.27	-102	2.27%	0	-2.6	35	0
7	Jan_6_2016	108.68	88.08	87.26	85.89			80.88(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-22	-10000	-19	-30	9.14	38%	-0.3	-119.4	2.27%	0	-2.7	32	0
8	Jan_5_2016	109.01	88.74	87.79	87.73			85.28(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-4	-4	4.02	41%	-0.24	-131.9	2.3%	0	-1.4	43	0
9	Jan_4_2016	109.27	89.42	87.85	88.16			87.84(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-6	4.53	43%	-0.26	-129.3	2.29%	0	-0.6	49	0
10	Dec_31_2015	109.55	90.08	87.68	88.67			88(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-11	3.8	43%	-0.25	-78.2	2.3%	0	-0.5	44	0

11	Dec_30_2015	109.83	90.64	87.66	89.09			87.44(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	3	-14	3.1	43%	-0.26	-75.6	2.3%	0	-0.7	40	0
12	Dec_29_2015	110.12	91.4	88	88.83			90.08(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	10	-22	2.95	45%	-0.27	-68.6	2.28%	0	-0.2	42	0
13	Dec_28_2015	110.42	92.01	87.88	87.87			87.44(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	4	-53	2.56	42%	-0.34	-67	2.25%	0	-0.8	35	0
14	Dec_24_2015	110.8	92.82	88	87.44			90.4(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	9	-88	2.38	45%	-0.27	-64.7	2.23%	0	-0.4	30	0
15	Dec_23_2015	111.1	93.6	87.99	86.54			90.08(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-31	-10000	4	-135	4.92	42%	-0.29	-61.1	2.23%	0	-0.5	26	0

16	Dec_22_2015	111.42	94.38	88.17	86.11			86.16(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-10000	-11	-173	2.74	37%	-0.31	-58.2	2.17%	0	-1.1	23	0
17	Dec_21_2015	111.77	95.28	88.87	87.12			85.28(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-52	-10000	-8	-184	3.32	41%	-0.36	-57.3	2.16%	0	-1.3	18	0
18	Dec_18_2015	112.17	96.21	89.71	87.92			85.28(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-10000	-7	-194	4.64	38%	-0.39	-57.3	2.2%	0	-1.5	18	0
19	Dec_17_2015	112.61	97.16	91.11	88.58			85.92(-2.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-56	-10000	-10	-193	3.76	38%	-0.39	-60.3	2.25%	0	-1.6	18	0
20	Dec_16_2015	113.05	98.12	92.7	89.58			87.92(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-55	-10000	-9	-191	4.55	45%	-0.35	-64.3	2.24%	0	-1.6	17	0

21	Dec_15_2015	113.45	98.96	93.88	90.5			91.2(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-10000	-4	-187	4.49	47%	-0.3	-70.8	2.32%	0	-1.3	21	0
22	Dec_14_2015	113.79	99.76	95.06	90.94			89.28(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-10000	-8	-186	4.89	47%	-0.34	-74.3	2.31%	0	-1.7	24	0
23	Dec_11_2015	114.18	100.56	96.47	91.84			88.56(-2.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-10000	-20	-180	5.56	47%	-0.36	-84	2.31%	0	-2.1	24	0
24	Dec_10_2015	114.59	101.51	98.07	94.06			90.96(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-10000	-20	-151	4.22	52%	-0.35	-91.6	2.3%	0	-2.1	26	0
25	Dec_9_2015	114.99	102.48	99.68	96.3			92.48(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-13	-112	4.86	49%		-94.9	2.33%	0	-2.2	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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