Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $112.6400 (-1.05%) ($111.6000 - $113.8400) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $112.6400(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(64%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(58%)    IWD(36%)    VYM(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $117.06
5 Day Moving Average   $116.67(-3.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.49(-3.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.06(-3.78%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2015	124.34	117.06	116.49	116.67			112.64(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-6	10	2.78	60%	-0.38	-62.8	2.95%	0	-1.3	43	0
2	Nov_6_2015	124.82	117.55	116.52	117.74			113.84(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-5	11	2.8	58%	-0.4	-44.8	2.96%	0	-1	43	0
3	Nov_5_2015	125.32	118.22	116.61	118.67			115.84(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-1	10	3.27	58%	-0.37	-25.1	2.95%	0	-0.6	41	0
4	Nov_4_2015	125.78	118.81	116.64	118.91			118.8(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	1	6	3.22	58%	-0.35	-11.4	2.94%	0	-0	45	0
5	Nov_3_2015	126.22	119.07	116.29	118.66			122.24(3.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	-10000	14	0	4.54	56%	-0.31	-5.7	2.92%	0	0.7	51	0

6	Nov_2_2015	126.61	119.2	115.76	116.32			118(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	7	-30	2.01	55%	-0.35	-11.2	2.91%	0	-0.3	44	0
7	Oct_30_2015	127.06	119.31	115.77	115.14			118.48(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	5	-48	2.42	53%	-0.36	-13.5	2.94%	0	-0.2	41	0
8	Oct_29_2015	127.52	119.3	116	114.27			117.04(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	1	-68	2.75	54%	-0.38	-18.3	2.93%	0	-0.5	30	0
9	Oct_28_2015	128	119.31	116.34	114.08			117.52(6.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-18	-10000	3	-81	6.12	54%	-0.35	-19.7	2.95%	0	-0.4	30	0
10	Oct_27_2015	128.45	119.33	116.58	113.66			110.56(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-32	-10000	-9	-100	3.3	50%	-0.36	-20.4	2.85%	0	-1.9	24	0

11	Oct_26_2015	128.92	119.71	117.61	115.12			112.08(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-30	-10000	-8	-95	2.64	50%	-0.37	-15.3	2.86%	0	-1.8	24	0
12	Oct_23_2015	129.4	119.93	118.67	116.43			114.16(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-9	-81	3.35	50%	-0.33	-13.5	2.85%	0	-1.4	43	0
13	Oct_22_2015	129.83	120.16	120.02	117.95			116.08(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-6	-52	2.08	48%	-0.35	-2.2	2.85%	0	-1.1	50	0
14	Oct_21_2015	130.29	120.23	121.21	118.94			115.44(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-6	-26	3.32	48%	-0.39	-0.9	2.87%	0	-1.2	52	0
15	Oct_20_2015	130.8	120.28	122.16	119.94			117.84(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	-10000	-3	-4	2.53	48%	-0.34	-2.6	2.87%	0	-0.6	54	0

16	Oct_19_2015	131.25	120.38	122.99	120.46			118.64(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-4	14	2.65	48%	-0.33	4.9	2.87%	0	-0.5	56	0
17	Oct_16_2015	131.69	120.48	123.21	121.23			121.76(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-7	29	2.89	48%	-0.27	16.9	2.86%	0	0.3	65	0
18	Oct_15_2015	132.05	120.24	122.92	122.46			121.04(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	42	4.52	46%	-0.26	25.8	2.86%	0	0.2	57	0
19	Oct_14_2015	132.4	120.27	122.57	123.92			120.4(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-5	59	2.35	46%	-0.28	39.6	2.88%	0	0	58	0
20	Oct_13_2015	132.77	120.38	122.35	124.75			120.48(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	14	-10000	-6	72	3.73	46%	-0.1	53.4	2.88%	0	0	61	0

21	Oct_12_2015	132.9	120.2	122.06	125.84			122.48(-4.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	23	-10000	3	84	3.62	46%	-0.3	55.8	2.88%	0	0.6	55	0
22	Oct_9_2015	133.3	119.84	121.38	125.34			127.92(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	11	77	3.72	49%	-0.28	46.7	2.83%	0	2	61	0
23	Oct_8_2015	133.67	119.27	120.31	123.39			128.32(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	14	61	3.71	47%	-0.23	30.4	2.84%	0	2.5	67	0
24	Oct_7_2015	133.98	118.78	119.08	121.06			124.56(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	8	28	5.1	46%	-0.25	12.7	2.83%	0	1.9	52	0
25	Oct_6_2015	134.31	118.33	118.14	119.63			125.92(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	9	-10000	11	3	5.57	43%		-4.8	2.83%	0	2.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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