Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $149.2000 (-2.36%) ($149.1200 - $153.3600) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $149.2000(-2.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(59%)    IVE(36%)    VT(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $154.27(-3.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.78(-2.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.41(0.53%)
To recent high   -35.9%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.75% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	194.09	148.41	153.78	154.27			149.2(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-3	26	3.57	36%	-0.67	39.1	3.25%	0	0.1	58	0
2	Feb_19_2015	195.4	147.95	154.15	155.12			152.8(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	4	57	6.03	36%	-0.64	37.7	3.25%	0	0.6	67	0
3	Feb_18_2015	196.66	147.41	153.59	154.18			154.08(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	2	67	3.15	35%	-0.64	35.8	3.26%	0	0.8	68	0
4	Feb_17_2015	197.92	146.7	153.84	153.66			158.32(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	0	86	3.81	35%	-1.07	34.7	3.25%	0	1.3	65	0
5	Feb_13_2015	200.07	146.04	152.89	153.63			156.96(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	1	107	3.86	35%	-0.63	37.2	3.23%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Feb_12_2015	201.33	145.14	151.51	153.39			153.44(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	1	117	3.99	35%	-0.64	33.2	3.22%	0	1	64	0
7	Feb_11_2015	202.63	144.72	149.66	153.15			148.08(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	30	-10000	2	114	4.52	34%	-0.65	33.1	3.18%	0	0.4	58	0
8	Feb_10_2015	203.95	144.36	148.28	152.78			151.52(-4.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-4	100	4.22	33%	-0.61	30.1	3.17%	0	0.9	57	0
9	Feb_9_2015	205.21	143.73	146.95	153.87			158.16(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	8	116	4.35	34%	-0.59	28.2	3.14%	0	1.9	64	0
10	Feb_6_2015	206.43	143.03	144.61	152.03			155.76(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	11	91	5.19	34%	-0.6	15.2	3.13%	0	1.9	55	0

11	Feb_5_2015	207.68	142.56	142.57	149.39			152.24(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	17	71	6.27	35%	-0.63	-5.7	3.11%	0	1.5	59	0
12	Feb_4_2015	208.99	142.22	141.18	145.63			146.24(-6.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	12	32	8.32	33%	-0.67	-34.7	3.08%	0	0.7	50	0
13	Feb_3_2015	210.39	142.09	140.69	142.88			156.96(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	18	-10000	19	15	9.56	34%	-0.59	-61.2	2.98%	0	2.5	60	0
14	Feb_2_2015	211.63	141.63	138.79	139.02			148.96(4.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	-10000	14	-18	5.19	31%	-0.61	-102.5	2.89%	0	1.4	58	0
15	Jan_30_2015	212.92	142.01	138.35	136.22			142.56(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	7	-45	6	28%	-0.65	-103.6	2.81%	0	0.1	47	0

16	Jan_29_2015	214.32	142.91	138	134.91			133.44(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-7	-79	3.58	25%	-0.67	-113.4	2.63%	0	-1.5	37	0
17	Jan_28_2015	215.77	144.32	139.25	136.08			132.48(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-11	-72	5.01	25%	-0.69	-96.4	2.64%	0	-1.6	38	0
18	Jan_27_2015	217.26	145.79	140.17	138.02			137.68(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-2	-58	2.9	25%	-0.66	-91.4	2.62%	0	-1	45	0
19	Jan_26_2015	218.7	147.16	140.37	138.45			134.96(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-13	-76	3.55	25%	-0.68	-84.5	2.6%	0	-1.4	37	0
20	Jan_23_2015	220.19	148.8	141.51	140.78			136(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-4	-71	4.07	27%	-0.68	-75	2.6%	0	-1.4	32	0

21	Jan_22_2015	221.69	150.58	142.75	141.5			139.28(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-7	-86	4.72	26%	-0.67	-74.8	2.61%	0	-1.3	32	0
22	Jan_21_2015	223.19	151.97	143.52	142.88			142.16(1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	-10000	1	-93	2.96	26%	-0.62	-67.2	2.61%	0	-1	34	0
23	Jan_20_2015	224.59	153.59	143.75	142.64			139.84(-4.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-30	-10000	1	-121	3.56	26%	-0.67	-62.3	2.6%	0	-1.3	31	0
24	Jan_16_2015	226.1	154.91	144.79	142.53			146.64(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10000	0	-148	4.72	28%	-0.62	-64	2.54%	0	-0.7	32	0
25	Jan_15_2015	227.5	156.09	145.87	142.45			139.6(-4.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-51	-10000	-10	-172	6.26	25%		-70	2.45%	0	-1.4	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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