Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $296.3200 (1.23%) ($293.6800 - $296.6400) on Tue. May. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $296.3200(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(60%)    VT(35%)    XLB(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    VIXM(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $292.99(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $291.48(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $293.98(0.8%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2014	286.18	293.98	291.48	292.99			296.32(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	11	-6	0.28	44%	0.05	-27.9	0.89%	0	0.6	50	0
2	May_12_2014	286.04	294.08	291.14	291.63			292.72(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	6	-31	0.19	42%	0.03	-27.1	0.88%	0	-0.3	40	0
3	May_9_2014	285.95	294.31	291.19	290.91			291.2(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	1	-60	0.19	42%	0.03	-25.2	0.86%	0	-0.8	27	0
4	May_8_2014	285.86	294.63	291.33	290.74			291.92(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	4	-79	0.16	42%	0.05	-17.9	0.87%	0	-0.7	28	0
5	May_7_2014	285.73	294.93	291.73	290.21			292.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-21	-10000	4	-94	0.24	46%	0.05	-9	0.88%	0	-0.5	34	0

6	May_6_2014	285.59	295.06	291.93	289.76			289.52(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-6	-110	0.21	44%	0.04	-2.3	0.91%	0	-1.4	28	0
7	May_5_2014	285.49	295.15	292.57	290.61			289.12(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-7	-108	0.29	44%	0.05	0.8	0.91%	0	-1.6	27	0
8	May_2_2014	285.36	295.15	293.73	291.52			290.32(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-4	-91	0.23	44%	0.04	6.4	0.9%	0	-1.4	35	0
9	May_1_2014	285.25	295.33	294.79	292.02			289.28(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.32	44%	0.04	6.3	0.91%	0	-1.6	32	0
10	Apr_30_2014	285.15	295.27	295.87	293.44			290.56(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-7	-60	0.45	44%	0.03	13.9	0.91%	0	-1.2	33	0

11	Apr_29_2014	285.07	295.14	296.76	294.38			293.76(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.17	46%	0.05	19.7	0.9%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Apr_28_2014	284.92	295.11	297.31	294.83			293.68(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-11	-20	0.17	49%	0.05	29.1	0.9%	0	-0.3	62	0
13	Apr_25_2014	284.78	295.09	297.73	296.32			292.8(-1.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-8	-10000	-13	9	0.25	47%	0.05	45	0.91%	0	-0.5	57	0
14	Apr_24_2014	284.64	295.08	298.28	298.02			296.4(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-5	51	0.17	49%	0.06	63.8	0.91%	0	0.3	70	0
15	Apr_23_2014	284.46	294.72	298.44	298.7			295.28(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-6	83	0.3	49%	0.07	69.2	0.91%	0	0.1	73	0

16	Apr_22_2014	284.26	294.3	298.5	299.47			296(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-4	114	0.39	52%	0.1	70.8	0.91%	0	0.3	74	0
17	Apr_21_2014	283.98	293.86	298.04	300.08			301.12(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	6	124	0.17	55%	0.12	76.7	0.9%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Apr_17_2014	283.63	293.13	297.09	299.34			301.28(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	5	115	0.39	55%	0.13	74.3	0.9%	0	1.6	65	0
19	Apr_16_2014	283.26	292.29	295.9	298.61			299.84(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	3	101	0.58	55%	0.11	76.2	0.9%	0	1.5	65	0
20	Apr_15_2014	282.95	291.57	294.6	298.19			299.12(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	94	0.34	59%	0.11	79.2	0.9%	0	1.5	69	0

21	Apr_14_2014	282.65	290.84	293.37	297.41			299.04(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	13	87	0.17	59%	0.1	73.1	0.94%	0	1.6	72	0
22	Apr_11_2014	282.37	289.95	292.67	295.65			297.44(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	9	77	0.33	57%	0.09	58	0.95%	0	1.6	69	0
23	Apr_10_2014	282.12	289.27	292.15	294.45			297.6(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	12	77	0.37	57%	0.11	43	0.96%	0	1.8	69	0
24	Apr_9_2014	281.82	288.51	291.53	292.75			297.76(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	16	73	0.56	57%	0.1	25	0.96%	0	2.2	72	0
25	Apr_8_2014	281.53	287.74	290.57	290.48			295.2(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	12	52	0.56	54%		3.1	0.95%	0	2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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