Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $297.6000 (-0.05%) ($297.0400 - $298.6400) on Thu. Apr. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $297.6000(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(60%)    VT(35%)    XLB(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $294.45(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $292.15(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $289.27(2.88%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2014	282.12	289.27	292.15	294.45			297.6(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	12	77	0.37	57%	0.11	43	0.96%	0	1.8	69	0
2	Apr_9_2014	281.82	288.51	291.53	292.75			297.76(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	16	73	0.56	57%	0.1	25	0.96%	0	2.2	72	0
3	Apr_8_2014	281.53	287.74	290.57	290.48			295.2(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	12	52	0.56	54%	0.1	3.1	0.95%	0	2	67	0
4	Apr_7_2014	281.26	287.26	289.66	288.77			290.24(-0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10000	-4	29	0.25	52%	0.07	-24.1	0.95%	0	0.9	63	0
5	Apr_4_2014	281.06	287.23	289.31	289.26			291.44(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	11	-10000	-2	48	0.3	52%	0.07	-31.2	0.94%	0	1.2	71	0

6	Apr_3_2014	280.85	287.31	288.84	289.57			289.12(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-4	57	0.23	49%	0.07	-28.3	0.95%	0	0.5	60	0
7	Apr_2_2014	280.66	287.44	288.43	290.14			286.4(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	15	-10000	-3	69	0.42	43%	0.06	-25	0.96%	0	-0.3	59	0
8	Apr_1_2014	280.48	287.61	288.41	290.61			286.64(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	20	-10000	1	77	0.59	43%	0.05	-23.6	1.04%	0	-0.2	59	0
9	Mar_31_2014	280.35	288.06	288.26	290.51			292.72(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	9	80	0.27	46%	0.07	-17.8	1.01%	0	1	61	0
10	Mar_28_2014	280.14	288.35	287.12	289.28			292.96(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	9	49	0.25	46%	0.08	-19.4	1.01%	0	0.9	51	0

11	Mar_27_2014	279.92	288.34	286.2	288.03			292(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	10	18	0.26	46%	0.07	-26.3	1.02%	0	0.7	43	0
12	Mar_26_2014	279.72	288.37	285.24	286.56			288.72(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	4	-20	0.24	44%	0.07	-35.6	1.01%	0	0.1	41	0
13	Mar_25_2014	279.52	288.6	285.24	285.95			286.16(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.27	44%	0.05	-39.8	1.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
14	Mar_24_2014	279.38	288.93	284.62	285.65			286.56(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	7	-62	0.21	44%	0.05	-41.9	1.02%	0	-0.5	35	0
15	Mar_21_2014	279.24	289.3	284.92	284.58			286.72(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.34	44%	0.04	-41.9	1.01%	0	-0.5	31	0

16	Mar_20_2014	279.14	289.64	285.56	284.08			284.64(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	3	-103	0.29	44%	0.02	-38.5	1.01%	0	-1	39	0
17	Mar_19_2014	279.08	290.16	286.3	283.7			285.68(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	4	-111	0.29	44%	0.01	-33.9	1.01%	0	-0.9	41	0
18	Mar_18_2014	279.05	290.64	286.7	283.12			284.64(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-3	-128	0.32	44%	0	-29.5	1.02%	0	-1.2	39	0
19	Mar_17_2014	279.05	291.1	287.81	283.49			281.2(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.32	41%	-0.01	-20.8	1.01%	0	-2	37	0
20	Mar_14_2014	279.07	291.48	289.67	285.33			284.24(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-14	-97	0.45	43%	0.02	-9.6	1%	0	-1.6	38	0

21	Mar_13_2014	279.02	291.68	290.67	287.33			282.72(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-14	-76	0.28	43%	0.01	10.6	1%	0	-2	37	0
22	Mar_12_2014	278.99	291.95	291.83	289.3			282.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-10000	-10	-55	0.82	43%	0	34.3	1.01%	0	-2.2	35	0
23	Mar_11_2014	278.99	291.95	293.04	290.72			286.48(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-14	-44	0.45	45%	-0	56.5	1%	0	-1.5	39	0
24	Mar_10_2014	279	292.15	293.75	292.72			290.4(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-13	-23	0.4	50%	-0.01	79.4	0.99%	0	-0.4	47	0
25	Mar_7_2014	279.02	291.93	294.18	294.67			294.24(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	0	18	0.28	53%		95.9	0.98%	0	0.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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