Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $286.1600 (-0.14%) ($284.9600 - $289.1200) on Tue. Mar. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $286.1600(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(60%)    VT(35%)    XLB(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $288.6
5 Day Moving Average   $285.95(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $284.62(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $288.6(-0.85%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2014	279.52	288.6		285.95			286.16(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.27	44%	0.05	-39.8	1.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
2	Mar_24_2014	279.38	288.93	284.62	285.65			286.56(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	7	-62	0.21	44%	0.05	-41.9	1.02%	0	-0.5	35	0
3	Mar_21_2014	279.24	289.3	284.92	284.58			286.72(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.34	44%	0.04	-41.9	1.01%	0	-0.5	31	0
4	Mar_20_2014	279.14	289.64	285.56	284.08			284.64(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	3	-103	0.29	44%	0.02	-38.5	1.01%	0	-1	39	0
5	Mar_19_2014	279.08	290.16	286.3	283.7			285.68(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	4	-111	0.29	44%	0.01	-33.9	1.01%	0	-0.9	41	0

6	Mar_18_2014	279.05	290.64	286.7	283.12			284.64(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-3	-128	0.32	44%	0	-29.5	1.02%	0	-1.2	39	0
7	Mar_17_2014	279.05	291.1	287.81	283.49			281.2(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.32	41%	-0.01	-20.8	1.01%	0	-2	37	0
8	Mar_14_2014	279.07	291.48	289.67	285.33			284.24(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-14	-97	0.45	43%	0.02	-9.6	1%	0	-1.6	38	0
9	Mar_13_2014	279.02	291.68	290.67	287.33			282.72(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-14	-76	0.28	43%	0.01	10.6	1%	0	-2	37	0
10	Mar_12_2014	278.99	291.95	291.83	289.3			282.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-10000	-10	-55	0.82	43%	0	34.3	1.01%	0	-2.2	35	0

11	Mar_11_2014	278.99	291.95	293.04	290.72			286.48(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-14	-44	0.45	45%	-0	56.5	1%	0	-1.5	39	0
12	Mar_10_2014	279	292.15	293.75	292.72			290.4(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-13	-23	0.4	50%	-0.01	79.4	0.99%	0	-0.4	47	0
13	Mar_7_2014	279.02	291.93	294.18	294.67			294.24(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	0	18	0.28	53%	0.01	95.9	0.98%	0	0.5	62	0
14	Mar_6_2014	278.98	291.23	294.11	294.61			292.56(0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-1	29	0.46	53%	-0.01	81.9	0.98%	0	0.3	61	0
15	Mar_5_2014	279.01	290.55	294.37	294.8			289.92(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-6	47	0.69	53%	-0.01	72.2	0.98%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Mar_4_2014	279.03	290.02	294.94	295.62			296.48(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	86	0.47	58%	0	70.3	0.93%	0	1	74	0
17	Mar_3_2014	279.02	289.03	294.62	294.86			300.16(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	30	-10000	8	96	0.93	66%	0.03	64.7	0.92%	0	1.6	84	0
18	Feb_28_2014	278.95	287.93	293.33	293.7			293.92(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10000	1	85	0.32	62%	-0.01	63.8	0.93%	0	0.9	79	0
19	Feb_27_2014	278.98	287.22	292.69	293.62			293.52(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-2	101	0.34	58%	0	64.9	0.93%	0	1	85	0
20	Feb_26_2014	278.97	286.44	292.03	293.92			294(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-10000	-2	122	0.25	58%	-0.02	66.8	0.96%	0	1.1	87	0

21	Feb_25_2014	279.02	285.62	291.18	294.16			292.72(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	35	-10000	-1	143	0.42	58%	-0.01	72.8	0.96%	0	1.1	86	0
22	Feb_24_2014	279.06	284.69	290.45	294.27			294.32(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	50	-10000	10	170	0.44	58%	-0.02	75.2	0.96%	0	1.4	92	0
23	Feb_21_2014	279.11	283.79	289.53	292.86			293.52(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	-10000	9	170	0.54	61%	-0.01	77.1	0.96%	0	1.5	82	0
24	Feb_20_2014	279.14	282.97	288.15	291.55			295.04(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	12	155	0.34	61%	-0.02	81.8	0.98%	0	1.9	81	0
25	Feb_19_2014	279.19	282	286.43	289.82			295.2(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	45	-10000	14	138	0.59	61%		91.7	0.98%	0	2.3	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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