Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $296.4800 (-1.23%) ($295.1600 - $297.6000) on Tue. Mar. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $296.4800(-1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $295.62(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $294.94(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $290.02(2.23%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2014	279.03	290.02	294.94	295.62			296.48(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	86	0.47	58%	0	70.3	0.93%	0	1	74	0
2	Mar_3_2014	279.02	289.03	294.62	294.86			300.16(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	30	-10000	8	96	0.93	66%	0.03	64.7	0.92%	0	1.6	84	0
3	Feb_28_2014	278.95	287.93	293.33	293.7			293.92(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10000	1	85	0.32	62%	-0.01	63.8	0.93%	0	0.9	79	0
4	Feb_27_2014	278.98	287.22	292.69	293.62			293.52(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-2	101	0.34	58%	0	64.9	0.93%	0	1	85	0
5	Feb_26_2014	278.97	286.44	292.03	293.92			294(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-10000	-2	122	0.25	58%	-0.02	66.8	0.96%	0	1.1	87	0

6	Feb_25_2014	279.02	285.62	291.18	294.16			292.72(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	35	-10000	-1	143	0.42	58%	-0.01	72.8	0.96%	0	1.1	86	0
7	Feb_24_2014	279.06	284.69	290.45	294.27			294.32(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	50	-10000	10	170	0.44	58%	-0.02	75.2	0.96%	0	1.4	92	0
8	Feb_21_2014	279.11	283.79	289.53	292.86			293.52(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	-10000	9	170	0.54	61%	-0.01	77.1	0.96%	0	1.5	82	0
9	Feb_20_2014	279.14	282.97	288.15	291.55			295.04(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	12	155	0.34	61%	-0.02	81.8	0.98%	0	1.9	81	0
10	Feb_19_2014	279.19	282	286.43	289.82			295.2(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	45	-10000	14	138	0.59	61%	0.01	91.7	0.98%	0	2.3	83	0

11	Feb_18_2014	279.17	280.81	284.67	287.81			293.28(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	38	-10000	12	117	0.59	61%	-0.07	98.9	0.97%	0	2.4	82	0
12	Feb_14_2014	279.36	279.61	282.93	286.16			287.28(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	3	104	0.22	57%	-0.03	101.1	0.94%	0	1.5	82	0
13	Feb_13_2014	279.45	278.71	282.03	285.73			286.96(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	12	108	0.27	57%	-0.03	101.6	0.94%	0	1.6	70	0
14	Feb_12_2014	279.54	277.86	281.26	284.18			286.4(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	13	95	0.55	53%	-0.04	100	0.94%	0	1.7	66	0
15	Feb_11_2014	279.65	276.78	280.37	282.43			285.12(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	11	74	0.26	53%	-0.05	81.3	0.97%	0	1.6	67	0

16	Feb_10_2014	279.79	275.67	279.58	280.99			285.04(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	13	69	0.37	53%	-0.06	64.1	0.98%	0	1.6	73	0
17	Feb_7_2014	279.96	274.69	278.44	279.22			285.12(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	10	56	0.79	53%	-0.07	53.1	0.98%	0	1.8	75	0
18	Feb_6_2014	280.16	273.65	277.53	277.87			279.2(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-1	53	0.28	52%	-0.11	40.8	0.95%	0	1	71	0
19	Feb_5_2014	280.48	272.96	277.36	277.95			277.68(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	-0	71	0.46	52%	-0.09	27.3	0.96%	0	0.8	66	0
20	Feb_4_2014	280.73	272.5	277.25	277.98			277.92(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	1	98	0.33	52%	-0.1	15.3	0.97%	0	1	74	0

21	Feb_3_2014	281	272.02	276.69	277.9			276.16(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	4	120	1.53	52%	-0.13	0	0.97%	0	0.8	75	0
22	Jan_31_2014	281.36	271.7	276.1	277.44			278.4(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	3	122	0.62	48%	-0.12	-15.2	0.99%	0	1.3	71	0
23	Jan_30_2014	281.7	271.42	275.22	277.09			279.6(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	3	130	0.41	45%	-0.1	-26.5	0.99%	0	1.6	74	0
24	Jan_29_2014	281.99	271.46	274.27	276.72			277.84(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	2	137	0.62	45%	-0.11	-30.6	1%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Jan_28_2014	282.29	271.67	272.97	276.45			277.52(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	8	130	0.54	45%		-29.6	1.01%	0	1.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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