Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $277.8400 (0.12%) ($275.2000 - $279.0400) on Wed. Jan. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $277.8400(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $276.72(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $274.27(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $271.46(2.35%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2014	281.99	271.46	274.27	276.72			277.84(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	2	137	0.62	45%	-0.11	-30.6	1%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Jan_28_2014	282.29	271.67	272.97	276.45			277.52(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	8	130	0.54	45%	-0.12	-29.6	1.01%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Jan_27_2014	282.64	272.02	271.51	275.33			273.84(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	-10000	6	108	0.69	43%	-0.15	-28.9	0.99%	0	0.3	58	0
4	Jan_24_2014	283.06	272.51	270.7	274.46			276.64(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	11	92	0.62	44%	-0.12	-25.9	0.99%	0	0.6	60	0
5	Jan_23_2014	283.4	272.79	269.48	272.98			277.76(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	11	56	0.71	42%	-0.11	-26.9	0.99%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Jan_22_2014	283.7	272.97	268.17	271.46			276.48(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	18	5	0.62	40%	-0.12	-30.3	1%	0	0.5	38	0
7	Jan_21_2014	284.04	273.26	267.28	269.02			271.92(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	14	-59	0.49	34%	-0.13	-33.9	1%	0	-0.2	30	0
8	Jan_17_2014	284.41	273.76	266.87	267.14			269.52(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	6	-124	0.86	32%	-0.14	-36.9	0.99%	0	-0.5	23	0
9	Jan_16_2014	284.82	274.29	266.85	266.34			269.2(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	7	-162	0.54	35%	-0.15	-38.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	26	0
10	Jan_15_2014	285.26	274.79	267.22	265.42			270.16(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-43	-10000	7	-193	0.91	35%	-0.15	-44.2	1.02%	0	-0.5	30	0

11	Jan_14_2014	285.68	275.26	268.28	264.45			264.32(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-10000	-7	-223	0.5	30%	-0.14	-47.7	0.98%	0	-1.3	21	0
12	Jan_13_2014	286.09	275.96	270.16	265.31			262.48(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-10000	-9	-215	0.78	30%	-0.15	-49.3	0.98%	0	-1.7	16	0
13	Jan_10_2014	286.51	276.88	272.53	266.53			265.52(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-7	-196	0.68	35%	-0.13	-50	0.98%	0	-1.5	22	0
14	Jan_9_2014	286.87	277.65	274.46	267.42			264.64(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10000	-14	-177	0.82	32%	-0.12	-50.2	1%	0	-1.9	27	0
15	Jan_8_2014	287.21	278.6	276.43	269.26			265.28(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-25	-149	0.72	32%	-0.13	-43.5	1.03%	0	-2.1	31	0

16	Jan_7_2014	287.57	279.38	278.27	272.72			268.64(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-22	-106	0.39	34%	-0.13	-24.9	1.02%	0	-2	34	0
17	Jan_6_2014	287.95	280.02	279.86	275.84			268.56(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-34	-10000	-25	-60	0.57	34%	-0.14	1.2	1.02%	0	-2.4	40	0
18	Jan_3_2014	288.35	280.64	281.38	279.47			270(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-19	-10000	-21	-12	1.21	34%	-0.13	43.9	1.02%	0	-2.7	38	0
19	Jan_2_2014	288.72	281.16	282.55	282.51			273.84(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-4	-10000	-14	28	1.34	40%	-0.16	101.9	1.01%	0	-2.5	42	0
20	Dec_31_2013	289.18	281.34	283.21	284.53			282.56(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-10000	-0	53	0.67	45%	-0.07	144.8	0.98%	0	0.5	50	0

21	Dec_30_2013	289.38	280.74	282.95	284.59			284.24(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	56	0.38	45%	-0.06	103.8	0.98%	0	0.9	61	0
22	Dec_27_2013	289.55	279.96	282.27	284.51			286.72(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	52	0.47	45%	-0.03	79	0.97%	0	1.5	62	0
23	Dec_26_2013	289.63	278.93	281.54	283.68			285.2(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	7	44	0.36	45%	-0.07	74.4	0.97%	0	1.4	62	0
24	Dec_24_2013	289.84	278.15	280.98	282.69			283.92(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	34	0.11	45%	-0.07	55.7	0.97%	0	1.1	61	0
25	Dec_23_2013	290.03	277.49	280.78	281.7			282.88(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	5	34	0.28	43%		52.1	0.97%	0	1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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