Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $269.5200 (0.12%) ($268.8000 - $270.8800) on Mon. Jan. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $269.5200(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $273.76
5 Day Moving Average   $267.14(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $266.87(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $273.76(-1.55%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2014	284.41	273.76	266.87	267.14			269.52(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	6	-124	0.86	32%	-0.14	-36.9	0.99%	0	-0.5	23	0
2	Jan_16_2014	284.82	274.29	266.85	266.34			269.2(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	7	-162	0.54	35%	-0.15	-38.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	26	0
3	Jan_15_2014	285.26	274.79	267.22	265.42			270.16(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-43	-10000	7	-193	0.91	35%	-0.15	-44.2	1.02%	0	-0.5	30	0
4	Jan_14_2014	285.68	275.26	268.28	264.45			264.32(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-10000	-7	-223	0.5	30%	-0.14	-47.7	0.98%	0	-1.3	21	0
5	Jan_13_2014	286.09	275.96	270.16	265.31			262.48(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-10000	-9	-215	0.78	30%	-0.15	-49.3	0.98%	0	-1.7	16	0

6	Jan_10_2014	286.51	276.88	272.53	266.53			265.52(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-7	-196	0.68	35%	-0.13	-50	0.98%	0	-1.5	22	0
7	Jan_9_2014	286.87	277.65	274.46	267.42			264.64(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10000	-14	-177	0.82	32%	-0.12	-50.2	1%	0	-1.9	27	0
8	Jan_8_2014	287.21	278.6	276.43	269.26			265.28(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-25	-149	0.72	32%	-0.13	-43.5	1.03%	0	-2.1	31	0
9	Jan_7_2014	287.57	279.38	278.27	272.72			268.64(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-22	-106	0.39	34%	-0.13	-24.9	1.02%	0	-2	34	0
10	Jan_6_2014	287.95	280.02	279.86	275.84			268.56(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-34	-10000	-25	-60	0.57	34%	-0.14	1.2	1.02%	0	-2.4	40	0

11	Jan_3_2014	288.35	280.64	281.38	279.47			270(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-19	-10000	-21	-12	1.21	34%	-0.13	43.9	1.02%	0	-2.7	38	0
12	Jan_2_2014	288.72	281.16	282.55	282.51			273.84(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-4	-10000	-14	28	1.34	40%	-0.16	101.9	1.01%	0	-2.5	42	0
13	Dec_31_2013	289.18	281.34	283.21	284.53			282.56(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-10000	-0	53	0.67	45%	-0.07	144.8	0.98%	0	0.5	50	0
14	Dec_30_2013	289.38	280.74	282.95	284.59			284.24(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	56	0.38	45%	-0.06	103.8	0.98%	0	0.9	61	0
15	Dec_27_2013	289.55	279.96	282.27	284.51			286.72(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	52	0.47	45%	-0.03	79	0.97%	0	1.5	62	0

16	Dec_26_2013	289.63	278.93	281.54	283.68			285.2(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	7	44	0.36	45%	-0.07	74.4	0.97%	0	1.4	62	0
17	Dec_24_2013	289.84	278.15	280.98	282.69			283.92(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	34	0.11	45%	-0.07	55.7	0.97%	0	1.1	61	0
18	Dec_23_2013	290.03	277.49	280.78	281.7			282.88(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	5	34	0.28	43%	-0.07	52.1	0.97%	0	1	66	0
19	Dec_20_2013	290.24	276.96	280.41	281.02			283.84(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	-10000	10	48	0.4	43%	-0.08	50.5	0.98%	0	1.3	77	0
20	Dec_19_2013	290.46	276.41	280.02	279.68			282.56(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	17	-10000	4	55	0.78	40%	-0.06	47.6	0.98%	0	1.2	77	0

21	Dec_18_2013	290.63	275.73	279.68	279.12			280.24(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	1	76	0.55	45%	-0.04	43.2	0.99%	0	0.9	78	0
22	Dec_17_2013	290.76	275.21	279.56	279.04			278.96(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-5	89	0.28	45%	-0.06	43.5	1.04%	0	0.7	66	0
23	Dec_16_2013	290.94	274.72	279.32	279.74			279.52(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	0	113	0.5	43%	-0.07	42.9	1.04%	0	0.9	65	0
24	Dec_13_2013	291.13	274.28	278.41	279.7			277.12(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-4	105	0.78	43%	-0.08	43	1.06%	0	0.6	58	0
25	Dec_12_2013	291.36	273.99	277.58	280.35			279.76(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	0	108	0.54	43%		46.8	1.05%	0	1.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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