Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $282.5600 (0.83%) ($281.8400 - $284.9600) on Thu. Dec. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $282.5600(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    JNK(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $279.68(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $280.02(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $276.41(2.22%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2013	290.46	276.41	280.02	279.68			282.56(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	17	-10000	4	55	0.78	40%	-0.06	47.6	0.98%	0	1.2	77	0
2	Dec_18_2013	290.63	275.73	279.68	279.12			280.24(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	1	76	0.55	45%	-0.04	43.2	0.99%	0	0.9	78	0
3	Dec_17_2013	290.76	275.21	279.56	279.04			278.96(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-5	89	0.28	45%	-0.06	43.5	1.04%	0	0.7	66	0
4	Dec_16_2013	290.94	274.72	279.32	279.74			279.52(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	0	113	0.5	43%	-0.07	42.9	1.04%	0	0.9	65	0
5	Dec_13_2013	291.13	274.28	278.41	279.7			277.12(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-4	105	0.78	43%	-0.08	43	1.06%	0	0.6	58	0

6	Dec_12_2013	291.36	273.99	277.58	280.35			279.76(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	0	108	0.54	43%	-0.07	46.8	1.05%	0	1.1	60	0
7	Dec_11_2013	291.56	273.54	276.24	280.29			279.84(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	1	103	0.91	43%	-0.09	46.7	1.06%	0	1.3	66	0
8	Dec_10_2013	291.81	272.99	275.23	280.13			282.48(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	9	106	0.72	41%	-0.07	47.1	1.06%	0	2	68	0
9	Dec_9_2013	292.02	272.51	273.99	278.85			279.28(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	13	98	0.71	39%	-0.1	47.1	1.06%	0	1.6	67	0
10	Dec_6_2013	292.31	272.11	273.24	276.88			280.4(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	17	80	0.34	42%	-0.09	36.1	1.07%	0	2.1	63	0

11	Dec_5_2013	292.58	271.63	272.44	274.34			279.44(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-10000	19	55	0.61	42%	-0.08	13.5	1.09%	0	2.3	61	0
12	Dec_4_2013	292.81	271.28	271.35	271.55			279.04(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	14	-10000	13	18	1.19	42%	-0.07	-19.4	1.1%	0	2.6	61	0
13	Dec_3_2013	293.02	270.76	270.34	269.65			276.08(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	4	-10000	7	-5	1.75	42%	-0.09	-72.4	1.1%	0	2.3	61	0
14	Dec_2_2013	293.27	270.53	269.57	268.54			269.44(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.54	37%	-0.11	-123.4	1.05%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	Nov_29_2013	293.59	270.71	269.72	269.12			267.68(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-8	-29	0.48	36%	-0.12	-135.9	1.05%	0	-1.4	43	0

16	Nov_27_2013	293.93	271.18	270.1	270.26			265.52(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-8	-10000	-5	-16	0.98	40%	-0.1	-93.4	1.04%	0	-2	39	0
17	Nov_26_2013	294.22	271.84	270.72	270.96			269.52(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-0	-11	0.41	42%	-0.07	-72.9	1.08%	0	-0.7	42	0
18	Nov_25_2013	294.43	272.48	270.71	271.01			270.56(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.65	42%	-0.07	-60.3	1.08%	0	-0.5	53	0
19	Nov_22_2013	294.65	273.12	271.03	270.69			272.32(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.72	42%	-0.08	-61.2	1.09%	0	-0.2	50	0
20	Nov_21_2013	294.88	273.59	270.98	270.43			273.36(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	3	-15	0.69	42%	-0.04	-69.3	1.1%	0	-0	50	0

21	Nov_20_2013	295.01	273.89	270.78	270.05			269.04(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-3	-33	0.65	37%	-0.04	-79.6	1.08%	0	-1	34	0
22	Nov_19_2013	295.14	274.42	270.78	270.48			269.76(0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	1	-36	0.5	37%	-0.03	-88.8	1.1%	0	-0.9	33	0
23	Nov_18_2013	295.22	275.08	271.22	270.35			268.96(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-7	-66	0.67	37%	-0.01	-88.8	1.1%	0	-1.1	27	0
24	Nov_15_2013	295.26	275.98	271.58	271.38			271.04(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-1	-75	0.5	37%	-0.01	-80.8	1.1%	0	-0.8	27	0
25	Nov_14_2013	295.3	276.96	271.77	271.58			271.44(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-1	-91	0.79	37%		-76.5	1.1%	0	-0.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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