Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $309.4400 (2.49%) ($302.4800 - $310.4000) on Wed. Sep. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $309.4400(2.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    JNK(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $307.59(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $308.72(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $307.61(0.59%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2013	288.59	307.61	308.72	307.59			309.44(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.99	63%	0.16	15.7	1.24%	0	0.4	46	0
2	Sep_17_2013	288.14	307.17	308.46	307.27			301.92(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-5	-25	0.85	61%	0.12	10.1	1.21%	0	-1.1	40	0
3	Sep_16_2013	287.8	307.38	309.34	308.22			304.88(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-7	-9	0.77	61%	0.14	19.4	1.2%	0	-0.6	54	0
4	Sep_13_2013	287.4	307.51	309.71	309.55			310.8(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-4	11	0.4	64%	0.16	35	1.18%	0	0.7	60	0
5	Sep_12_2013	286.94	307.25	309.49	310.37			310.92(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	33	0.61	64%	0.18	53.2	1.18%	0	0.8	64	0

6	Sep_11_2013	286.43	306.94	309.61	310.09			307.84(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	1	54	0.69	64%	0.19	61.9	1.18%	0	0.2	65	0
7	Sep_10_2013	285.89	306.72	309.93	309.86			306.68(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-4	66	1.34	64%	0.19	63.8	1.19%	0	-0	59	0
8	Sep_9_2013	285.36	306.51	309.73	310.54			311.52(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	76	0.99	66%	0.22	66.9	1.17%	0	1.1	57	0
9	Sep_6_2013	284.74	305.97	308.98	309.81			314.88(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	7	67	1.3	68%	0.22	60	1.17%	0	2	57	0
10	Sep_5_2013	284.11	304.96	307.54	308.56			309.52(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-3	45	0.55	66%	0.22	40.3	1.16%	0	1	54	0

11	Sep_4_2013	283.49	304.31	306.39	309.18			306.72(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-5	40	0.54	66%	0.19	39.5	1.16%	0	0.5	53	0
12	Sep_3_2013	282.95	303.97	305.79	310.03			310.08(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	7	50	0.99	68%	0.29	50.3	1.14%	0	1.3	59	0
13	Aug_30_2013	282.13	303.56	305.26	308.75			307.84(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	5	41	1.3	64%	0.14	52.7	1.18%	0	1	59	0
14	Aug_29_2013	281.73	303.32	305.15	307.9			308.64(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	9	45	1.02	61%	0.14	54.1	1.18%	0	1.2	62	0
15	Aug_28_2013	281.34	303.15	304.82	306.24			312.64(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	17	50	1.62	63%	0.16	50.7	1.2%	0	2.2	74	0

16	Aug_27_2013	280.9	302.43	303.93	303.18			310.96(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	18	-10000	12	34	1.81	63%	0.15	32.1	1.2%	0	2	70	0
17	Aug_26_2013	280.47	301.55	303.08	301.02			303.68(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	2	-10000	-2	14	0.71	61%	0.14	7.1	1.18%	0	0.6	56	0
18	Aug_23_2013	280.09	301.22	302.92	301.36			303.6(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	1	-10000	-4	16	0.74	61%	0.13	1.6	1.18%	0	0.6	51	0
19	Aug_22_2013	279.72	300.93	302.65	302.08			300.32(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-6	18	0.56	58%	0.11	-4.7	1.18%	0	-0.2	45	0
20	Aug_21_2013	279.42	300.95	302.2	303.2			297.36(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-8	11	0.69	58%	0.08	-3.1	1.2%	0	-0.9	37	0

21	Aug_20_2013	279.21	301.07	302.2	304.67			300.16(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-3	23	0.85	58%	0.08	3.1	1.2%	0	-0.2	53	0
22	Aug_19_2013	278.98	301.29	302.19	305.28			305.36(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	4	42	0.43	61%	0.1	13.3	1.18%	0	1.1	66	0
23	Aug_16_2013	278.71	301.15	301.87	304.62			307.2(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	7	47	0.67	61%	0.1	10.5	1.18%	0	1.5	62	0
24	Aug_15_2013	278.42	301.1	301.41	303.33			305.92(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	13	46	0.57	61%	0.11	9.8	1.18%	0	1.2	60	0
25	Aug_14_2013	278.11	301.08	301.33	301.09			304.72(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	10	33	0.64	61%		6.3	1.18%	0	0.9	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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