Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 17, 2013

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $248.0800 (-2.36%) ($246.3200 - $251.6800) on Wed. Apr. 17, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $248.0800(-2.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    EEM(33%)    VWO(33%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $267.13
5 Day Moving Average   $256.4(-3.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $261.9(-5.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $267.13(-7.13%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2013	268.17	267.13	261.9	256.4			248.08(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-75	-10000	-31	-207	1.25	20%	-0.03	-37.1	1.12%	0	-2.3	19	0
2	Apr_16_2013	268.25	268.09	264.2	260.91			254.08(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-10000	-21	-170	0.74	21%	-0.01	-27.4	1.1%	0	-2	23	0
3	Apr_15_2013	268.29	268.92	266.51	263.92			251.92(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-49	-10000	-22	-129	1.36	21%	-0.03	-14.5	1.1%	0	-2.8	30	0
4	Apr_12_2013	268.36	269.86	269.14	267.12			260.24(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-9	-80	1.27	23%	-0.03	4	1.02%	0	-2	41	0
5	Apr_11_2013	268.44	270.29	270.94	268.32			267.68(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	1	-39	0.52	26%	0.04	16.8	0.97%	0	-0.6	58	0

6	Apr_10_2013	268.33	270.22	271.8	268.21			270.64(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.49	27%	0.06	21.4	0.96%	0	0.1	56	0
7	Apr_9_2013	268.17	270.01	272.28	268.1			269.12(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-13	-8	0.46	27%	0.03	25.3	0.96%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Apr_8_2013	268.09	269.81	272.5	269.71			267.92(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-10000	-15	16	0.38	27%	0.05	39.6	0.96%	0	-0.4	50	0
9	Apr_5_2013	267.96	269.67	272.69	271.62			266.24(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-18	41	0.73	27%	0.06	52.9	0.95%	0	-0.7	48	0
10	Apr_4_2013	267.81	269.58	272.67	273.97			267.12(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	7	-10000	-14	68	1.09	27%	0.05	65.7	0.96%	0	-0.5	52	0

11	Apr_3_2013	267.67	269.3	272.83	275.82			270.08(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	20	-10000	-8	102	1.09	28%	0.07	65.6	0.95%	0	0.2	58	0
12	Apr_2_2013	267.47	268.91	272.39	276.93			277.2(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	10	131	0.57	31%	0.09	64.4	0.89%	0	1.5	68	0
13	Apr_1_2013	267.22	268.01	271.56	275.65			277.44(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	14	126	0.44	31%	0.16	53.5	0.91%	0	1.7	71	0
14	Mar_28_2013	266.8	267.21	270.65	273.94			278(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	22	118	0.44	31%	0.11	42.5	0.91%	0	2.2	71	0
15	Mar_27_2013	266.5	266.48	269.52	271.22			276.4(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	14	87	0.58	31%	0.06	28.6	0.91%	0	2.3	71	0

16	Mar_26_2013	266.33	265.95	268.39	269.46			275.6(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	33	-10000	18	78	0.83	39%	0.09	13	0.91%	0	2.6	74	0
17	Mar_25_2013	266.1	265.44	267.37	267.25			270.8(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	3	51	0.81	34%	0.08	-24.3	0.95%	0	1.8	67	0
18	Mar_22_2013	265.89	265.15	266.71	266.93			268.88(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	0	58	0.39	34%	0.05	-48.6	0.95%	0	1.3	68	0
19	Mar_21_2013	265.76	265.11	266.25	266.91			264.4(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-5	63	0.54	29%	0.04	-72.5	0.94%	0	-0.3	56	0
20	Mar_20_2013	265.65	265.25	266.22	267.5			267.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	3	75	0.56	31%	0.01	-76.9	0.93%	0	0.7	55	0

21	Mar_19_2013	265.63	265.48	265.53	267.09			264.56(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-2	54	0.82	32%	-0.01	-68.5	0.92%	0	-0.2	44	0
22	Mar_18_2013	265.65	266.17	265.27	267.39			269.2(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	53	0.43	35%	0.06	-67.3	0.91%	0	0.7	53	0
23	Mar_15_2013	265.49	266.52	264.28	266.42			268.8(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	7	25	0.31	35%	0.06	-64.9	0.91%	0	0.4	55	0
24	Mar_14_2013	265.33	267.1	263.56	265.54			267.36(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	6	-3	0.26	35%	0.06	-55	0.92%	0	0	45	0
25	Mar_13_2013	265.18	267.73	263.21	264.77			265.52(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	8	-20	0.42	35%		-52.2	0.92%	0	-0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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