Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $270.0800 (-2.57%) ($269.6000 - $277.3200) on Wed. Apr. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $270.0800(-2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    EEM(33%)    VWO(33%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $275.82(-2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $272.83(-1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $269.3(0.29%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2013	267.67	269.3	272.83	275.82			270.08(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	20	-10000	-8	102	1.09	28%	0.07	65.6	0.95%	0	0.2	58	0
2	Apr_2_2013	267.47	268.91	272.39	276.93			277.2(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	10	131	0.57	31%	0.09	64.4	0.89%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Apr_1_2013	267.22	268.01	271.56	275.65			277.44(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	14	126	0.44	31%	0.16	53.5	0.91%	0	1.7	71	0
4	Mar_28_2013	266.8	267.21	270.65	273.94			278(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	22	118	0.44	31%	0.11	42.5	0.91%	0	2.2	71	0
5	Mar_27_2013	266.5	266.48	269.52	271.22			276.4(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	14	87	0.58	31%	0.06	28.6	0.91%	0	2.3	71	0

6	Mar_26_2013	266.33	265.95	268.39	269.46			275.6(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	33	-10000	18	78	0.83	39%	0.09	13	0.91%	0	2.6	74	0
7	Mar_25_2013	266.1	265.44	267.37	267.25			270.8(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	3	51	0.81	34%	0.08	-24.3	0.95%	0	1.8	67	0
8	Mar_22_2013	265.89	265.15	266.71	266.93			268.88(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	0	58	0.39	34%	0.05	-48.6	0.95%	0	1.3	68	0
9	Mar_21_2013	265.76	265.11	266.25	266.91			264.4(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-5	63	0.54	29%	0.04	-72.5	0.94%	0	-0.3	56	0
10	Mar_20_2013	265.65	265.25	266.22	267.5			267.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	3	75	0.56	31%	0.01	-76.9	0.93%	0	0.7	55	0

11	Mar_19_2013	265.63	265.48	265.53	267.09			264.56(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-2	54	0.82	32%	-0.01	-68.5	0.92%	0	-0.2	44	0
12	Mar_18_2013	265.65	266.17	265.27	267.39			269.2(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	53	0.43	35%	0.06	-67.3	0.91%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Mar_15_2013	265.49	266.52	264.28	266.42			268.8(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	7	25	0.31	35%	0.06	-64.9	0.91%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Mar_14_2013	265.33	267.1	263.56	265.54			267.36(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	6	-3	0.26	35%	0.06	-55	0.92%	0	0	45	0
15	Mar_13_2013	265.18	267.73	263.21	264.77			265.52(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	8	-20	0.42	35%	0.04	-52.2	0.92%	0	-0.3	45	0

16	Mar_12_2013	265.08	268.51	263.31	263.73			266.08(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	8	-48	0.42	35%	0.01	-50.7	0.92%	0	-0.3	36	0
17	Mar_11_2013	265.05	269.2	263.3	262.82			264.32(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	8	-89	0.25	35%	-0.01	-50.2	0.93%	0	-0.6	26	0
18	Mar_8_2013	265.07	269.86	263.4	261.79			264.4(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10000	4	-134	0.38	35%	-0.03	-56.6	0.92%	0	-0.7	30	0
19	Mar_7_2013	265.16	270.51	263.78	261.3			263.52(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-45	-10000	-2	-172	0.7	35%	-0.04	-61.4	0.93%	0	-0.9	25	0
20	Mar_6_2013	265.26	271.34	264.14	261.49			260.32(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-60	-10000	-11	-208	0.61	28%	-0.05	-62.8	0.92%	0	-1.4	21	0

21	Mar_5_2013	265.39	272.36	265.4	262.86			261.52(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-10000	-8	-207	0.52	28%	-0.04	-61.9	0.94%	0	-1.4	21	0
22	Mar_4_2013	265.5	273.23	267.13	263.89			259.2(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-10000	-10	-200	0.75	28%	-0.05	-62.9	0.94%	0	-1.9	20	0
23	Mar_1_2013	265.64	274.45	268.98	265.18			261.92(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-10000	-11	-189	0.62	29%	-0.05	-60.6	0.93%	0	-1.8	30	0
24	Feb_28_2013	265.77	275.5	270.97	266.56			264.48(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-5	-162	0.66	31%	-0.03	-57.3	0.93%	0	-1.7	32	0
25	Feb_27_2013	265.84	276.5	272.65	267.15			267.2(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-10000	-10	-156	0.63	32%		-53.4	0.93%	0	-1.5	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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