Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $282.8000 (0.2%) ($279.5200 - $284.1600) on Fri. Feb. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $282.8000(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $282.16(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $280.34(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $276.8(2.17%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2013	265.6	276.8	280.34	282.16			282.8(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	79	0.67	48%	-0.04	88.2	1.14%	0	1.4	71	0
2	Jan_31_2013	265.7	276.16	279.79	281.25			282.24(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	5	77	0.55	48%	-0.02	88.2	1.15%	0	1.4	68	0
3	Jan_30_2013	265.76	275.57	279.02	280.42			283.92(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	9	78	0.68	48%	-0.02	100	1.14%	0	2	75	0
4	Jan_29_2013	265.81	274.71	277.82	279.01			282.32(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	3	62	0.74	48%	-0.02	111.9	1.15%	0	2.1	71	0
5	Jan_28_2013	265.86	273.82	276.99	278.56			279.52(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	63	0.46	48%	-0.03	113.4	1.16%	0	1.6	68	0

6	Jan_25_2013	265.94	273.13	276.3	278.29			278.24(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10000	1	64	0.48	48%	-0.02	107.5	1.16%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Jan_24_2013	265.98	272.48	275.82	278.11			278.08(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	5	71	0.6	48%	-0.03	111.7	1.16%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Jan_23_2013	266.05	271.52	275.13	277.34			276.88(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	6	65	0.77	42%	-0.03	107	1.17%	0	1.2	65	0
9	Jan_22_2013	266.12	270.65	274.62	276.35			280.08(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	21	-10000	7	62	0.55	42%	-0.03	107.6	1.22%	0	2.2	80	0
10	Jan_18_2013	266.2	269.73	273.71	275.18			278.16(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	7	61	0.5	39%	-0.02	88.3	1.25%	0	1.6	81	0

11	Jan_17_2013	266.24	268.88	272.97	274.05			277.36(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	19	-10000	5	60	0.83	39%	-0.02	91.2	1.25%	0	1.6	76	0
12	Jan_16_2013	266.3	267.89	272.2	273.25			274.24(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	4	61	0.53	39%	-0.05	95.3	1.24%	0	1.3	73	0
13	Jan_15_2013	266.42	267	271.82	272.61			271.92(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	0	75	0.37	39%	-0.05	91.6	1.24%	0	0.9	80	0
14	Jan_14_2013	266.56	266.16	271.37	272.56			274.24(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	3	91	0.39	39%	-0.04	87.6	1.23%	0	1.4	82	0
15	Jan_11_2013	266.68	265.1	270.41	271.98			272.48(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	2	91	0.45	39%	-0.05	81.7	1.24%	0	1.2	71	0

16	Jan_10_2013	266.82	264.2	269.74	271.7			273.36(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	4	97	0.43	39%	-0.06	73.8	1.25%	0	1.4	73	0
17	Jan_9_2013	266.99	263.13	268.92	271.01			271.04(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	1	105	0.34	45%	-0.07	66.1	1.25%	0	1.2	76	0
18	Jan_8_2013	267.17	262.14	267.68	270.91			271.68(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	5	107	0.48	45%	-0.06	57.9	1.3%	0	1.4	79	0
19	Jan_7_2013	267.33	261.16	266.44	269.97			271.36(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	8	108	0.36	45%	-0.06	48.2	1.3%	0	1.5	80	0
20	Jan_4_2013	267.5	260.24	265.47	268.56			271.04(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	110	0.74	49%	-0.05	41	1.32%	0	1.7	81	0

21	Jan_3_2013	267.64	259.52	264.47	267.46			269.92(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	5	105	0.49	44%	-0.04	41.2	1.42%	0	1.7	76	0
22	Jan_2_2013	267.76	258.92	263.22	266.51			270.56(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	13	103	0.69	44%	-0.07	43.6	1.52%	0	2.1	79	0
23	Dec_31_2012	267.95	258.35	261.74	263.98			266.96(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	8	89	0.59	44%	-0.05	39.6	1.51%	0	1.8	77	0
24	Dec_28_2012	268.08	257.97	260.5	262.37			264.32(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	3	79	0.51	44%	-0.06	35.7	1.5%	0	1.4	72	0
25	Dec_27_2012	268.23	257.58	259.36	261.87			265.52(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	4	76	0.49	47%		35.2	1.5%	0	1.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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