Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $273.3600 (0.86%) ($272.4800 - $274.5600) on Thu. Jan. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $273.3600(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $271.7(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $269.74(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $264.2(3.47%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2013	266.82	264.2	269.74	271.7			273.36(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	4	97	0.43	39%	-0.06	73.8	1.25%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Jan_9_2013	266.99	263.13	268.92	271.01			271.04(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	1	105	0.34	45%	-0.07	66.1	1.25%	0	1.2	76	0
3	Jan_8_2013	267.17	262.14	267.68	270.91			271.68(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	5	107	0.48	45%	-0.06	57.9	1.3%	0	1.4	79	0
4	Jan_7_2013	267.33	261.16	266.44	269.97			271.36(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	8	108	0.36	45%	-0.06	48.2	1.3%	0	1.5	80	0
5	Jan_4_2013	267.5	260.24	265.47	268.56			271.04(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	110	0.74	49%	-0.05	41	1.32%	0	1.7	81	0

6	Jan_3_2013	267.64	259.52	264.47	267.46			269.92(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	5	105	0.49	44%	-0.04	41.2	1.42%	0	1.7	76	0
7	Jan_2_2013	267.76	258.92	263.22	266.51			270.56(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	13	103	0.69	44%	-0.07	43.6	1.52%	0	2.1	79	0
8	Dec_31_2012	267.95	258.35	261.74	263.98			266.96(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	8	89	0.59	44%	-0.05	39.6	1.51%	0	1.8	77	0
9	Dec_28_2012	268.08	257.97	260.5	262.37			264.32(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	3	79	0.51	44%	-0.06	35.7	1.5%	0	1.4	72	0
10	Dec_27_2012	268.23	257.58	259.36	261.87			265.52(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	4	76	0.49	47%	-0.05	35.2	1.5%	0	1.9	71	0

11	Dec_26_2012	268.37	256.99	258.2	261.04			265.2(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	8	66	0.7	47%	-0.08	31.3	1.53%	0	2.2	59	0
12	Dec_24_2012	268.59	256.48	256.83	259.49			257.92(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	2	42	0.19	43%	-0.06	16	1.49%	0	0.4	46	0
13	Dec_21_2012	268.74	256.45	256.19	259.11			258.88(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	5	27	0.78	43%	-0.01	15.9	1.5%	0	0.8	44	0
14	Dec_20_2012	268.76	256.41	255.53	258.23			261.84(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	10	10	0.4	43%	-0.01	17.3	1.49%	0	1.7	49	0
15	Dec_19_2012	268.8	256.13	254.61	256.39			261.36(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	7	-13	0.69	39%	0	5.9	1.5%	0	1.7	55	0

16	Dec_18_2012	268.8	255.81	254.14	254.97			257.44(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	6	-21	0.44	37%	-0.04	-0.9	1.57%	0	0.6	56	0
17	Dec_17_2012	268.9	255.97	254.23	253.83			256.04(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	5	-27	0.35	34%	-0.05	1.7	1.56%	0	0	50	0
18	Dec_14_2012	269.04	255.94	254.62	252.85			254.48(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-31	0.32	34%	-0.05	-5.1	1.6%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Dec_13_2012	269.17	255.85	255.16	252.4			252.64(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0.34	34%	-0.05	-6.6	1.6%	0	-1	39	0
20	Dec_12_2012	269.31	255.95	255.65	252.53			254.24(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.75	34%	-0.04	0.8	1.61%	0	-0.6	45	0

21	Dec_11_2012	269.42	255.84	255.69	253.23			251.76(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-7	-33	0.61	34%	-0.05	-5.6	1.61%	0	-1.3	44	0
22	Dec_10_2012	269.55	255.93	256.15	254.73			251.12(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-9	-29	0.4	34%	-0.09	7.3	1.61%	0	-1.5	33	0
23	Dec_7_2012	269.78	256.1	256.84	256.66			252.24(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-9	-10000	-8	-11	0.44	34%	-0.1	29.9	1.61%	0	-1.3	47	0
24	Dec_6_2012	270.04	256.06	257.51	258.31			253.28(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	0	-10000	-4	13	0.81	34%	-0.06	35	1.63%	0	-0.9	54	0
25	Dec_5_2012	270.2	255.93	257.93	259.13			257.76(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	3	26	0.6	36%		33.3	1.62%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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