Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $253.2800 (-1.74%) ($251.2800 - $254.6500) on Thu. Dec. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $253.2800(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $256.06
5 Day Moving Average   $258.31(-1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $257.51(-1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $256.06(-1.09%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2012	270.04	256.06	257.51	258.31			253.28(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	0	-10000	-4	13	0.81	34%	-0.06	35	1.63%	0	-0.9	54	0
2	Dec_5_2012	270.2	255.93	257.93	259.13			257.76(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	3	26	0.6	36%	-0.04	33.3	1.62%	0	0.5	56	0
3	Dec_4_2012	270.3	256.03	257.74	258.44			259.24(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	27	0.4	36%	-0.02	35	1.62%	0	0.9	62	0
4	Dec_3_2012	270.36	255.71	257.9	257.76			260.8(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	3	33	0.64	36%	0	28.7	1.62%	0	1.5	61	0
5	Nov_30_2012	270.36	255.2	257.35	257.1			260.48(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	2	30	0.48	36%	0.01	20.9	1.64%	0	1.5	59	0

6	Nov_29_2012	270.33	254.96	256.51	256.72			257.36(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	0	29	0.71	36%	-0.01	20.6	1.63%	0	0.8	61	0
7	Nov_28_2012	270.35	254.96	256.2	256.64			254.32(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-1	35	0.84	36%	0.01	7.3	1.63%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Nov_27_2012	270.33	254.8	255.97	256.9			255.84(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-5	24	0.58	36%	-0	-7.9	1.63%	0	0.3	44	0
9	Nov_26_2012	270.34	254.72	255.69	258			257.52(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	2	36	0.36	36%	0.02	-23.1	1.63%	0	0.8	55	0
10	Nov_23_2012	270.29	254.48	255.31	257.58			258.56(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	6	39	0.27	36%	-0.01	-54.3	1.63%	0	1.3	58	0

11	Nov_21_2012	270.32	254.31	254.5	256.25			256.96(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	3	20	1.15	36%	-0.02	-97.5	1.62%	0	0.9	50	0
12	Nov_20_2012	270.38	254.56	253.79	255.69			255.6(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	4	10	2.12	36%	0.01	-117.1	1.62%	0	0.4	52	0
13	Nov_19_2012	270.34	255.05	254.19	254.83			261.36(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	9	13	1.16	38%	0.03	-111.3	1.6%	0	1.8	56	0
14	Nov_16_2012	270.27	255.48	253.26	253.1			255.42(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	2	-6	1.26	34%	0.07	-107.2	1.58%	0	-0	51	0
15	Nov_15_2012	270.07	256.26	252.8	252.78			251.92(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-11	1.5	34%	0.04	-79.7	1.57%	0	-0.7	50	0

16	Nov_14_2012	269.96	257.26	253.23	252.48			254.16(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-12	1.49	34%	0.06	-69.7	1.57%	0	-0.5	48	0
17	Nov_13_2012	269.8	258.1	253.22	251.58			251.28(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-9	-38	0.78	34%	0.05	-62.2	1.57%	0	-0.9	37	0
18	Nov_12_2012	269.67	259.11	253.54	253.42			252.72(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-0	-36	0.62	34%	0.04	-50.6	1.57%	0	-0.8	35	0
19	Nov_9_2012	269.55	260.15	253.69	253.46			253.84(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	3	-60	0.86	34%	0.07	-47.6	1.57%	0	-0.7	31	0
20	Nov_8_2012	269.36	260.98	253.62	252.85			250.4(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-6	-96	0.94	34%	0.03	-42.7	1.56%	0	-1.2	27	0

21	Nov_7_2012	269.29	262.13	254.17	254.06			249.68(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-5	-110	1.77	34%	-0.01	-39.3	1.56%	0	-1.4	26	0
22	Nov_6_2012	269.33	262.99	255.49	254.98			260.48(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	7	-117	1.22	38%	0.04	-41.7	1.48%	0	-0.3	34	0
23	Nov_5_2012	269.23	263.31	255.94	253.74			252.88(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-2	-145	0.87	32%	0	-49.1	1.44%	0	-1.2	20	0
24	Nov_2_2012	269.23	264.26	257.79	254.02			250.8(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-36	-10000	-2	-136	1	41%	-0.01	-51.6	1.55%	0	-1.6	14	0
25	Nov_1_2012	269.26	264.87	259.93	254.46			256.48(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	1	-132	0.99	44%		-57.4	1.54%	0	-1.1	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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